Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> would seek to divest its $24bn stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.</li>
<li>The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" </li>
<li>With Q3 earnings, Tencent today <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1116/2022111600357.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.</li>
</ul>


In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters article suggested Tencent (700 HK) would seek to divest its $24bn stake in Meituan (3690 HK) this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.
The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" 
With Q3 earnings, Tencent today announced a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.


Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have spoken about the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.
In our previous notes, we have spoken about the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about valuations and run the deal through our ECM framework.


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> provided a welcome respite with a positive listing, while South Korean IPOs continued to struggle.</li>
<li>There was only one large placement this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glp-j-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11009:1" rel="noopener">GLP J-REIT (3281 JP)</a> deciding to brave the markets.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Socionext (6526 JP) provided a welcome respite with a positive listing, while South Korean IPOs continued to struggle.
There was only one large placement this week, with GLP J-REIT (3281 JP) deciding to brave the markets.


ECM Weekly (16th Oct 2022) - Socionext, Betagro, Lionheart, Five-Star, Giant Biogene, GLP J-REIT

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points:Chinese foreign reserves, currency, net exports and inflation data, South Africa GDP</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points:Chinese foreign reserves, currency, net exports and inflation data, South Africa GDP

 Companies mentioned:Tencent (700 HK), Prosus (PRX NA), Naspers (NPN SJ)



GEM Weekly (9 Sep 2022): China FX, Inflation, South Africa GDP; Tencent, Prosus, Naspers

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The initial impact, of the share repurchase program, was for Prosus’ simple discount to listed NAV to reduce from roughly 50% to around 25% within 4 weeks of implementation.</li>
<li>The weekly size of the share repurchase program has been reduced by ~40%, on a 4-week rolling average basis, since the discount has been below 30%.</li>
<li>We remain constructive on Tencent and, with Prosus at 25% or less simple discount to NAV, would own Tencent directly (long-only), or be long Tencent, short Prosus/Naspers.</li>
</ul>


The initial impact, of the share repurchase program, was for Prosus’ simple discount to listed NAV to reduce from roughly 50% to around 25% within 4 weeks of implementation.
The weekly size of the share repurchase program has been reduced by ~40%, on a 4-week rolling average basis, since the discount has been below 30%.
We remain constructive on Tencent and, with Prosus at 25% or less simple discount to NAV, would own Tencent directly (long-only), or be long Tencent, short Prosus/Naspers.


China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX NA)

Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent will distribute 90% of its holdings in Meituan in an in-specie distribution, which goes ex- on 5 January and gets settled 24 March 2023....

Travis Lundy

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (16th Oct 2022) - Socionext, Betagro, Lionheart, Five-Star, Giant Biogene, GLP J-REIT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

GEM Weekly (9 Sep 2022): China FX, Inflation, South Africa GDP; Tencent, Prosus, Naspers

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Prosus: 30% Discount Seems About Right

In this insight, we analyse Prosus/Naspers’ share repurchases over the past 2 months and how these relate to holding company discounts and share...

Wium Malan, CFA

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