Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul><li>On Friday, JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction.</li><li>There will be no constituent changes to the Top 40, FINI, FINDI, INDI or RESI indices (ALSI gets reviewed in March and September).</li><li>The upcoming rebalance will be the first review since the vanilla and SWIX indices were merged in March</li></ul>

On Friday, JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction.There will be no constituent changes to the Top 40, FINI, FINDI, INDI or RESI indices (ALSI gets reviewed in March and September).The upcoming rebalance will be the first review since the vanilla and SWIX indices were merged in March

JSE June '24 Rebalance: Top Buys (Banks!) And Sells (NPN, PRX)

<ul>
<li>MSC indices were rebalanced in the closing auction on Friday. Turnover for the day on the JSE was R41.9bn, R25bn traded in the closing auction (60%).</li>
<li>Turnover at the February rebalance was R25.6bn. Most SA constituents were pushed lower in the closing auction and for the day, consistent with the downweighting of SA Inc.</li>
<li>China was downweighted in the ACWI and EM indices for a second straight quarter, reducing the country weight in ACWI by 6bps to 2.69%.</li>
</ul>


MSC indices were rebalanced in the closing auction on Friday. Turnover for the day on the JSE was R41.9bn, R25bn traded in the closing auction (60%).
Turnover at the February rebalance was R25.6bn. Most SA constituents were pushed lower in the closing auction and for the day, consistent with the downweighting of SA Inc.
China was downweighted in the ACWI and EM indices for a second straight quarter, reducing the country weight in ACWI by 6bps to 2.69%.


MSC May Rebalance: SA & China Net Sells, NPN, PRX & Tencent Sold Down on Buybacks

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
<li>We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail </li>
</ul>


New multi-year highs on the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes -- combined with overwhelmingly healthy market dynamics -- validates our bullish outlook on global equities.
We continue to view the latest 5-6% pullback on $ACWI as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and we expect higher prices ahead.
Global Energy Sector appears to be topping, and Materials could be next. We highlight buys in Technology (quickly becoming leadership again) and Consumer Discretionary/Retail 


Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

<ul>
<li>Naspers and Prosus have announced the appointment of Fabrício Bloisi as Group CEO, effective from 1 July 2024. Unlike his predecessor, Bloisi has an entrepreneurial background.</li>
<li>Prosus and Naspers have sold off on the news. Prosus is down 1.7%, widening the discount by 80bps. Naspers is down 1.3%, widening the discount by 50bps.</li>
<li>Since Bob van Dijk stepped down in September last year, both discounts have narrowed.</li>
</ul>


Naspers and Prosus have announced the appointment of Fabrício Bloisi as Group CEO, effective from 1 July 2024. Unlike his predecessor, Bloisi has an entrepreneurial background.
Prosus and Naspers have sold off on the news. Prosus is down 1.7%, widening the discount by 80bps. Naspers is down 1.3%, widening the discount by 50bps.
Since Bob van Dijk stepped down in September last year, both discounts have narrowed.


Naspers X Prosus (NPN, PRX): Market Reacts Negatively to Appointment of CEO

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX SJ)

JSE June '24 Rebalance: Top Buys (Banks!) And Sells (NPN, PRX)

On Friday, JSE indices will be rebalanced in the closing auction. There will be no constituent changes to the Top 40, FINI, FINDI, INDI or RESI...

DMA

MSC May Rebalance: SA & China Net Sells, NPN, PRX & Tencent Sold Down on Buybacks

Trade analytics covering the May rebalance, China a net sell for the second consecutive quarter. Tencent, Naspers and Prosus sold down at...

DMA

Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs; Global Energy Sector Deteriorating, Is Materials Next?

There are few things more bullish than Global MSCI Indexes at Multi-Year Highs $ACWI $ACWX $EFA $EEM; Buys in Tech $TSM; Global Energy Sector...

Vermilion Research

Naspers X Prosus (NPN, PRX): Market Reacts Negatively to Appointment of CEO

A recap on the market reaction to the appointment of Bloisi as Naspers and Prosus CEO. Naspers ended the day down 4.09% on Friday. Prosus closed...

DMA

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

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