Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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India: Q3 GDP 8.8% y/y - strongest growth since the 3Q08, Driven by 13.3% rise in private consumption, investment and government spending.</li>
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Mexico: Gross fixed investment in September fell 2.6% y/y. Biggest drop in five months, as investment in machinery went down 3.3%.  This is a trend to monitor - is the strength in the US not expanding Mexico as had been expected?</li>
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Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Razak’s self-declared ‘mother of all budgets’ is loaded with vote-getting goodies ahead of ’18…</li>
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India: Q3 GDP 8.8% y/y - strongest growth since the 3Q08, Driven by 13.3% rise in private consumption, investment and government spending.

Mexico: Gross fixed investment in September fell 2.6% y/y. Biggest drop in five months, as investment in machinery went down 3.3%.  This is a trend to monitor - is the strength in the US not expanding Mexico as had been expected?

Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Razak’s self-declared ‘mother of all budgets’ is loaded with vote-getting goodies ahead of ’18…


The US Goes Its Own Way - What Are the Implications for Economies and Markets?

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

We had the chance to meet up with Khaleed Hasheem, founder of PSL (one of Thailand's three big shippers), this week and catch up on some of his ideas on the Asian shipping outlook. PSL currently has a fleet of 36 ships. The only guys bigger than this would be TTA of the Mahagitsiri fortune ( <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hidden-tigers-season-premiere-chocolate-ship-donuts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:9781">Hidden Tigers (Season Premiere): Chocolate Ship Donuts</a>) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11430" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11430:1">Regional Container Line Pcl (RCL TB)</a> yo. After listening to Khaleed, my sense is I'd rather buy a coal producer like Banpu, which we already own…

We had the chance to meet up with Khaleed Hasheem, founder of PSL (one of Thailand's three big shippers), this week and catch up on some of his ideas on the Asian shipping outlook. PSL currently has a fleet of 36 ships. The only guys bigger than this would be TTA of the Mahagitsiri fortune ( Hidden Tigers (Season Premiere): Chocolate Ship Donuts) and Regional Container Line Pcl (RCL TB) yo. After listening to Khaleed, my sense is I'd rather buy a coal producer like Banpu, which we already own…

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

A sure sign that we are still in the tender underbelly of shipping markets for equities (and that shipping’s recovery is a long drawn out affair) is when a placement manages to contribute to tanking other shares, and shares of the target placement company get hit 15+% as soon as a whiff of placement hits the market.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/929" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1">Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK)</a> and its proposed<a href="http://www.pacificbasin.com/upload//e2343_Announcement_RightIssue(18Apr16).pdf" target="_blank">cash raising</a>in the form of warrants issue in April 2016 running through to Summer 2016  was particularly painful:  1) It was the…

A sure sign that we are still in the tender underbelly of shipping markets for equities (and that shipping’s recovery is a long drawn out affair) is when a placement manages to contribute to tanking other shares, and shares of the target placement company get hit 15+% as soon as a whiff of placement hits the market.Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK) and its proposedcash raisingin the form of warrants issue in April 2016 running through to Summer 2016  was particularly painful:  1) It was the…

Bulk's (Shipping's) Thin Market for Placements…Again/Still ...Today Being Diana Shipping's Turn

Pacific Basin Shipping / Equity Bottom-Up

A boring passive ship owner stock like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21069" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21069:1">Diana Shipping Inc (DSX US)</a>  exploded to the upside last week. There were some upgrades. And there were stories of Force Majeure in Australia affecting things like coal as a result of heavy rains. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/929" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1">Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK)</a> also put out 1Q17 Trading Results, which point to break-even levels for the company. The stock jumped the day after the data release.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/023/924/original/Pac%20Basin%201%20Q17.PNG?1491779511" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="23924"></figure>Source: Pacific BasinIn fact, Pac Basin over-shot a little to the upside above HK$1.9 levels…

A boring passive ship owner stock like Diana Shipping Inc (DSX US)  exploded to the upside last week. There were some upgrades. And there were stories of Force Majeure in Australia affecting things like coal as a result of heavy rains. Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK) also put out 1Q17 Trading Results, which point to break-even levels for the company. The stock jumped the day after the data release.Source: Pacific BasinIn fact, Pac Basin over-shot a little to the upside above HK$1.9 levels…

A Breakthrough in Bulk Last Week – and Some of the Drivers

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul><li>Learn from the experts – To become successful, find the right mentors who will share their experience with you and train you</li><li>Manage your risks – PSL has no common ports, meaning it has no geographical concentration risk. Its fleet is spread 50:50 between the Pacific and the Atlantic oceans, which is how PSL diversifies away risk.</li><li>Find an unserviced niche – Khalid realized early on that no other shipping companies could provide reliable service in the smaller-size sector, so that became the niche for PSL. Today, the company has “become like a brand name within the smaller sector.” To stay in the smaller sizes and never venture into larger sizes has become the DNA of PSL’s business</li><li>Work with integrity and accountability – Khalid’s motto is “Your word is your bond.” Another core value for him is, “when you make a mistake, acknowledge it” and take full responsibility, even if you are not the sole cause of the problem. Doing so is always the first—and often the most important—step in rectifying the problem at hand</li></ul>

Learn from the experts – To become successful, find the right mentors who will share their experience with you and train youManage your risks – PSL has no common ports, meaning it has no geographical concentration risk. Its fleet is spread 50:50 between the Pacific and the Atlantic oceans, which is how PSL diversifies away risk.Find an unserviced niche – Khalid realized early on that no other shipping companies could provide reliable service in the smaller-size sector, so that became the niche for PSL. Today, the company has “become like a brand name within the smaller sector.” To stay in the smaller sizes and never venture into larger sizes has become the DNA of PSL’s businessWork with integrity and accountability – Khalid’s motto is “Your word is your bond.” Another core value for him is, “when you make a mistake, acknowledge it” and take full responsibility, even if you are not the sole cause of the problem. Doing so is always the first—and often the most important—step in rectifying the problem at hand

Thailand

Precious Shipping Public Company Limited is a ship owner providing regional marine shipping services. The Company operates in the tramp freight market sector where its vessels are employed on a time charter as well as voyage charter basis.  Precious Shipping has a network of shipping agents worldwide.

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Precious Shipping (PSL TB)

The US Goes Its Own Way - What Are the Implications for Economies and Markets?

India: Q3 GDP 8.8% y/y - strongest growth since the 3Q08, Driven by 13.3% rise in private consumption, investment and government...

David Riedel

The View Through a Shipper's Lens & More

We had the chance to meet up with Khaleed Hasheem, founder of PSL (one of Thailand's three big shippers), this week and catch up on some of his...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Bulk's (Shipping's) Thin Market for Placements…Again/Still ...Today Being Diana Shipping's Turn

A sure sign that we are still in the tender underbelly of shipping markets for equities (and that shipping’s recovery is a long drawn out affair)...

Charles De Trenck

A Breakthrough in Bulk Last Week – and Some of the Drivers

A boring passive ship owner stock like Diana Shipping Inc (DSX US) exploded to the upside last week. There were some upgrades. And there were...

Charles De Trenck

Business DNA: Your Word Is Your Bond

Learn from the experts – To become successful, find the right mentors who will share their experience with you and train you Manage your risks –...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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