Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 24th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, CCB, ICBC, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan, Xiaomi, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 24th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, CCB, ICBC, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan, Xiaomi, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 24th): BOC, CCB, ICBC, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan, Xiaomi, CNOOC

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.</li>
<li>High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline</li>
<li>Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?</li>
</ul>


Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.
High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline
Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?


Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 17th): BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI is well-known and well-followed but sees less passive tracking than you might expect. Quiddity teammember Janaghan had expected up to two ADDs and two DELETEs.</li>
<li>We got one ADD and one DELETE instead as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> was "saved" from deletion by a FFW/FAF increase. </li>
<li>Relatively smaller flows here at 3% one-way with the big flows on the name changes.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI is well-known and well-followed but sees less passive tracking than you might expect. Quiddity teammember Janaghan had expected up to two ADDs and two DELETEs.
We got one ADD and one DELETE instead as SenseTime Group (20 HK) was "saved" from deletion by a FFW/FAF increase. 
Relatively smaller flows here at 3% one-way with the big flows on the name changes.


HSCEI June 2024 Rebal - Zijin Mining (2899) ADDed, Xinyi Solar (968) DELETEd

Postal Savings Bank of China C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NIM is continuing to decline, from ~2.5% at its recent peak to ~1.8% in the most recent quarter. This may be from higher rescheduled loans. </li>
<li>Loan growth ascent is strangely steady, and not indicative at all, of any business cycle. This alone is a concern, for true visibility of figures. </li>
<li>Impairment costs do not suggest concern on underlying credit metrics, but with far higher loan balances in the past few years, this is an even greater worry.</li>
</ul>


NIM is continuing to decline, from ~2.5% at its recent peak to ~1.8% in the most recent quarter. This may be from higher rescheduled loans. 
Loan growth ascent is strangely steady, and not indicative at all, of any business cycle. This alone is a concern, for true visibility of figures. 
Impairment costs do not suggest concern on underlying credit metrics, but with far higher loan balances in the past few years, this is an even greater worry.


China Postal Savings Bank - Lower NIM, But Steady Lending & Credit Costs Suggests All Is Fine?

China

Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund settlement, and other services. Postal Savings Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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Postal Savings Bank of China C (1658 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 24th): BOC, CCB, ICBC, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan, Xiaomi, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, CCB, ICBC, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan, Xiaomi, CNOOC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Chailease shows major stresses in net profit in China and Asean, with declines also in Taiwan. Credit costs are incredibly elevated for past 2...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 17th): BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI June 2024 Rebal - Zijin Mining (2899) ADDed, Xinyi Solar (968) DELETEd

The HSCEI Index sees one add and one delete. The ADD of Zijin was expected. Quiddity expected Xinyi Solar to be deleted, and Sensetime too, but it...

Travis Lundy

China Postal Savings Bank - Lower NIM, But Steady Lending & Credit Costs Suggests All Is Fine?

China Postal Savings Bank shows far higher loans with almost no increase of impairment costs. NIM reduction is radical, we wonder if this is partly...

Daniel Tabbush

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