Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.</li>
<li>We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.
We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

<ul>
<li>With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be two changes before that if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16969:1" rel="noopener">HLB Inc (028300 KS)</a> complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.</li>
</ul>


With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
There could be two changes before that if L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) and HLB Inc (028300 KS) complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 19 July, there were local media accounts that L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) is considering on switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. </li>
<li>L&amp;F's main business involves making cathode active materials for rechargeable batteries.</li>
<li>Despite this positive move, we believe the valuations of L&amp;F have become too high. Its operating margins also worsened from 9.6% in 1Q 2022 to 3.0% in 1Q 2023. </li>
</ul>


On 19 July, there were local media accounts that L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) is considering on switching its listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI. 
L&amp;F's main business involves making cathode active materials for rechargeable batteries.
Despite this positive move, we believe the valuations of L&amp;F have become too high. Its operating margins also worsened from 9.6% in 1Q 2022 to 3.0% in 1Q 2023. 


L&F Considering On Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> rallied 50% following approval of its application to transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market. Then the stock dropped 20% following completion of the transfer.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> applying for a section transfer a couple of weeks after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a>, approval could be imminent. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> is up 46% since the start of November, but the stock has performed in line with the average of its peers.</li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) rallied 50% following approval of its application to transfer from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI market. Then the stock dropped 20% following completion of the transfer.
With L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) applying for a section transfer a couple of weeks after Posco DX (022100 KS), approval could be imminent. 

L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) is up 46% since the start of November, but the stock has performed in line with the average of its peers.


L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD9.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia

South Korea

Posco DX Company Ltd. provides information and technology services. The Company provides computer systems design, computer and server merchant wholesale, computer and office machine repair and maintenance services. Posco DX also offers eic engineering, smart factory, wireless networking equipment, steel manufacturing, and digital video recorder manufacturing services.

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Posco DX (022100 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

We see 34 migrations and 6 new inclusions for the KOSPI Size indices. Stocks migrating higher have outperformed stocks migrating lower. Some stocks...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

There could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes and the index since the start of the...

Brian Freitas

L&F Considering On Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Korea Exchange announced today that L&F has met the listing requirement for KOSPI. As a result, the listing of L&F will be changed from KOSDAQ to...

Douglas Kim

L&F (066970 KS): Will the Stock Move Like PoscoDX Following the KOSDAQ to KOSPI Transfer?

The approval of L&F's transfer to the KOSPI market could come shortly. The stock is +46% since November but has performed in line with peers. Short...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 5th): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electron, Naver, Kia.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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