European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during May. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 50.1%; GBL, 40.5% (!); Heineken Holding, 16.0%; Industrivärden C, 5.2%; Investor B, 11.6%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.1%. </li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 17.2%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during May. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 50.1%; GBL, 40.5% (!); Heineken Holding, 16.0%; Industrivärden C, 5.2%; Investor B, 11.6%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.1%. 
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 17.2%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding/Heineken, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May’23 Report

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. </li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. 
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now tightening. </li>
<li>Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.2%; GBL, 35.8%; Heineken Holding, 14.6%; Industrivärden C, 11.1%; Investor B, 9.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.6%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 18.9%.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now tightening. 
Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.2%; GBL, 35.8%; Heineken Holding, 14.6%; Industrivärden C, 11.1%; Investor B, 9.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.6%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 18.9%.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'23 Report

Porsche Automobil Holding  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Net debt of Porsche SE (HoldCo) amounted to €6,672 million, as a result from the debt financing of around €7.1 billion to purchase ordinary shares of Porsche AG (operating company).</li>
<li>Porsche SE trades at a <strong>49.2% discount to NAV</strong>, but maintaining the dividend involves maintaining the net debt position and its detrimental effect on value.</li>
<li>The attractiveness of Porsche SE shares has been reduced as a result of the acquisition of the Porsche AG stake, still the discount is massive, even accounting for litigation risk.</li>
</ul>


Net debt of Porsche SE (HoldCo) amounted to €6,672 million, as a result from the debt financing of around €7.1 billion to purchase ordinary shares of Porsche AG (operating company).
Porsche SE trades at a 49.2% discount to NAV, but maintaining the dividend involves maintaining the net debt position and its detrimental effect on value.
The attractiveness of Porsche SE shares has been reduced as a result of the acquisition of the Porsche AG stake, still the discount is massive, even accounting for litigation risk.


Porsche Automobile Holding: FY 22 Results and Discount

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during February. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 53.2%; GBL, 34.9%; Heineken Holding, 16.1%; Industrivärden C, 10.6%; </li>
<li>Investor B, 11.2%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 50.5%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 12.6%. Spreads tend to tighten in favourable market conditions.</li>
<li>Recommended trades are: GBL, Heineken Holding, Porsche Automobile Holding, and possibly CF Alba (long).</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during February. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 53.2%; GBL, 34.9%; Heineken Holding, 16.1%; Industrivärden C, 10.6%; 
Investor B, 11.2%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 50.5%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 12.6%. Spreads tend to tighten in favourable market conditions.
Recommended trades are: GBL, Heineken Holding, Porsche Automobile Holding, and possibly CF Alba (long).


Selected European Holdcos and DLC: February‘23 Report

Germany

Porsche Automobil Holding SE is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers development, production, and sale of automobiles along with financial services. Porsche operates worldwide.

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Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3 GR)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: May’23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during May. The discount to NAV of GBL has reached a very high level, in my view. That...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

Discounts to Net Asset Value of covered holdcos generally tightened during April, although some remained at the same levels. Rio DLC tightened.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads sharply widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Porsche Automobile Holding: FY 22 Results and Discount

The attractiveness of Porsche SE shares has been reduced as a result of the acquisition of the Porsche AG stake, still the discount is massive,...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European Holdcos and DLC: February‘23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during February. Recommended trades are: GBL, Heineken Holding, Porsche Automobile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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