Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,807.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 28th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,807.3 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.
We highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL. 


Northbound Flows (Oct 28th): Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.


HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.</li>
<li>At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> / short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH)</a> trade has never been better.</li>
<li>The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.</li>
</ul>


The selloff in the broader market has led to the A/H premium on PingAn blowing out to levels not seen in the last few years and outpacing the HSASP Index.
At a 24% premium, the risk/reward for a long Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) / short Ping An Insurance Group (601318 CH) trade has never been better.
The shift from A-shares to H-shares is already taking place - Southbound Stock Connect holdings have been increasing while the Northbound Stock Connect holdings have been decreasing.


Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

China

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China Limited provides a variety of insurance service in China.  The Company writes property, casualty, and life insurance.  Ping An Insurance also offers financial services.

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Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Oct 28th): Moutai, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Apptec, Ping An Insurance, CATL

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tianqi Lithium, Longi Green, Shenzhen Mindray, Moutai, Ping...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of {} and highlight short interest changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sunshine Insurance Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lacks Growth

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, aims to raise up to US$1bn in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Ping An A/H Premium: Outpacing the Market

The A/H premium on Ping An has reached 24% and that has outpaced the increase in the HSAHP Index. We expect the premium to drop quickly once...

Brian Freitas

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