Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.</li>
<li>As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). </li>
<li>The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.</li>
</ul>


1H23 production of 6,915 boe/d and net debt of US$16 mm at the end of June had already been reported.
As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d). 
The FY23 cash capex guidance has been reduced from ~US$23 mm to US$13.2 mm with no cash capex in Egypt.


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

<ul><li>________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).</li><li>The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.</li><li>The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).</li></ul>

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl 82 mmbbl of 1P reserves).The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl.The Ubaque reservoir alone is estimated to hold ~3 mmbbl of 2P reserves (out of 3.92 mmbbl total 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte).

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line.</li><li>Adding horizontal wells at Llanos-34 – 2Q23 production of 36,581 boe/d was in line with our expectations with strong performance at Llanos-34, Platanillo and CPO-5, offsetting lower production in Chile and Ecuador.</li><li>The company has re-iterated its FY23 production target of 38.0-40.0 mboe/d but the guidance is sensitive to the timing of production restart at Indico 6 and Indico 7.</li></ul>

________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line.Adding horizontal wells at Llanos-34 – 2Q23 production of 36,581 boe/d was in line with our expectations with strong performance at Llanos-34, Platanillo and CPO-5, offsetting lower production in Chile and Ecuador.The company has re-iterated its FY23 production target of 38.0-40.0 mboe/d but the guidance is sensitive to the timing of production restart at Indico 6 and Indico 7.

<ul>
<li>Pharos 1H23 trading update was dominated by the publication of the first independent resources assessment of Blocks 125 &amp; 126 that highlighted gross prospective (recoverable) resources of between 1.2 bnbbl and 29.8 bnbbl (mean of 13.3 bnbbl).</li>
<li>The resources estimate covers five high-graded prospects on 3D seismic over 23 prospective horizons (Prospect A Drape, Prospect A North, Lead A South, Prospect D and Prospect E1).</li>
<li>The Top F/G horizon is the most material (5.9 bnbbl at Lead A South and 2 bnbbl at Prospect A North) followed by the Basement (1.0 bnbbl and 0.5 bnbbl at the same prospects respectively).</li>
</ul>


Pharos 1H23 trading update was dominated by the publication of the first independent resources assessment of Blocks 125 &amp; 126 that highlighted gross prospective (recoverable) resources of between 1.2 bnbbl and 29.8 bnbbl (mean of 13.3 bnbbl).
The resources estimate covers five high-graded prospects on 3D seismic over 23 prospective horizons (Prospect A Drape, Prospect A North, Lead A South, Prospect D and Prospect E1).
The Top F/G horizon is the most material (5.9 bnbbl at Lead A South and 2 bnbbl at Prospect A North) followed by the Basement (1.0 bnbbl and 0.5 bnbbl at the same prospects respectively).


Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Enhancing investment profile with very high impact exploration asset

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).</li><li>With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.</li><li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.</li></ul>

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

United Kingdom

Pharos Energy PLC is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company focuses on growth and returns to stakeholders, headquartered in London and listed on the London Stock Exchange. Pharos Energy has production, development, and exploration interests in Egypt, Israel, and Vietnam.

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Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Net cash positive by YE23 and new growth opportunities

As a result, Pharos anticipates FY23 WI production in Egypt of 1.35-1.45 mbbl/d, at the lower end of the previous guidance range (1.35-1.80 mbbl/d).

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/07/2023

________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line. Adding horizontal wells at...

Auctus Advisors

Pharos Energy Plc (LSE: PHAR): Enhancing investment profile with very high impact exploration asset

Pharos 1H23 trading update was dominated by the publication of the first independent resources assessment of Blocks 125 & 126 that highlighted...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 16/06/2023

Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 & 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Auctus Advisors

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