External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Titan: While Titan continued to clock healthy revenue growth of INR 103.6bn (up 33%; 4-year CAGR: 21%; HSIE: INR 98.8bn), the margin fell short of expectations</li><li>Jewellery sales (ex-bullion; standalone) grew 23.5% (4-year CAGR: 18.4%) in Q4FY23 as both the number of buyers and ticket sizes aided growth</li><li>Non-jewellery growth of 31% YoY (4-year CAGR: 13%) remained healthy too (in-line)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Titan: While Titan continued to clock healthy revenue growth of INR 103.6bn (up 33%; 4-year CAGR: 21%; HSIE: INR 98.8bn), the margin fell short of expectationsJewellery sales (ex-bullion; standalone) grew 23.5% (4-year CAGR: 18.4%) in Q4FY23 as both the number of buyers and ticket sizes aided growthNon-jewellery growth of 31% YoY (4-year CAGR: 13%) remained healthy too (in-line)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Havells India, Godrej Properties, Petronet LNG, CDSL, Orient Cement

<ul><li>We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher demand for petroleum products, higher refining throughput and GRMs</li><li>Upstream segment earnings are impacted by ~18/8% YoY/QoQ decline in crude oil prices and lower production, despite a YoY increase in domestic APM gas realisations</li><li>We expect lower gas volumes for City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies, owing to high retail CNG prices and spot LNG prices.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due to higher demand for petroleum products, higher refining throughput and GRMsUpstream segment earnings are impacted by ~18/8% YoY/QoQ decline in crude oil prices and lower production, despite a YoY increase in domestic APM gas realisationsWe expect lower gas volumes for City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies, owing to high retail CNG prices and spot LNG prices.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Gas: Improvement for downstream segment

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimate</li><li>Earnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimateEarnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Q1 PAT, at INR 14.7bn, was below our estimate of INR 16.5bn due to lower-than-expected margin in the FES segment</li><li>FES margin remained under pressure due to the inability to pass on rising costs and an adverse mix impact</li><li>We remain optimistic about M&amp;M’s aggressive future roadmap for its core auto and FES segments (target of 15-20% revenue growth CAGR over 2025 and 18% RoCE)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Q1 PAT, at INR 14.7bn, was below our estimate of INR 16.5bn due to lower-than-expected margin in the FES segmentFES margin remained under pressure due to the inability to pass on rising costs and an adverse mix impactWe remain optimistic about M&amp;M’s aggressive future roadmap for its core auto and FES segments (target of 15-20% revenue growth CAGR over 2025 and 18% RoCE)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Petronet LNG

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 revenue grew by 47.3% YoY due to the 55.7% increase in COGS caused by the YoY increase in term gas price following the 62% YoY jump in Brent crude oil price.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 capacity utilisation: Dahej utilisation stood at 79.4% vs 91% in 4QFY21. Kochi utilisation stood at 20% vs 23% a year ago.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>BITDA margin reflected a miss of 231bps at 10.47% while EBITDA came in 9.9% below our estimate and a 9.6% miss vs street estimate.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 revenue grew by 47.3% YoY due to the 55.7% increase in COGS caused by the YoY increase in term gas price following the 62% YoY jump in Brent crude oil price.4QFY22 capacity utilisation: Dahej utilisation stood at 79.4% vs 91% in 4QFY21. Kochi utilisation stood at 20% vs 23% a year ago.BITDA margin reflected a miss of 231bps at 10.47% while EBITDA came in 9.9% below our estimate and a 9.6% miss vs street estimate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Petronet LNG - Kochi Tariff-Cut Hits Earnings

India

Petronet LNG Ltd. was formed by the Government of India to import liquefied natural gas (LNG) into the country. The Company is a joint venture between GAIL, ONGC, IOC and BPCL. Petronet LNG has also selected GAZ de France as a strategic partner. The Company has set up LNG receiving ports in Dahej (Gujarat) and Kochi (Kerala).

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Petronet LNG (PLNG IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Havells India, Godrej Properties, Petronet LNG, CDSL, Orient Cement

Titan: While Titan continued to clock healthy revenue growth of INR 103.6bn (up 33%; 4-year CAGR: 21%; HSIE: INR 98.8bn), the margin fell short of...

HDFC Securities

Oil and Gas: Improvement for downstream segment

We expect our coverage universe EBITDA to increase by +2% YoY, +10% QoQ, owing to an improvement in profitability from the downstream segment due...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Petronet LNG

Mahindra & Mahindra: Mahindra & Mahindra Q1 PAT, at INR 14.7bn, was below our estimate of INR 16.5bn due to lower-than-expected margin in the FES...

HDFC Securities

Petronet LNG - Kochi Tariff-Cut Hits Earnings

Petronet LNG’s (PLNG) 4QFY22 consolidated PAT came in at Rs7.91bn – 3.6%/2.2% miss vs. NBIE/Consensus estimates. There was a 9%/231bps miss on...

Nirmal Bang

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