Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.
We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Inflows into consumer staple were offset by the outflows from materials.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Moutai, East Money, Gree, Wuxi Apptec, and Tongwei.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Inflows into consumer staple were offset by the outflows from materials.
We highlight inflows into Moutai, East Money, Gree, Wuxi Apptec, and Tongwei.


Northbound Flows: Moutai, East Money, Gree, Wuxi Apptec, Tongwei

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime (20 HK)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng (881 HK)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">CPIC (2601 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health (241 HK)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There will be buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.</li>
</ul>



Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) is still suspended from trading and could be deleted from the index in July and replaced by SenseTime Group (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK). 

SenseTime (20 HK) or PetroChina (857 HK), Great Wall (2333 HK) and Zhongsheng (881 HK) could replace Haidilao (6862 HK), CPIC (2601 HK) and Alibaba Health (241 HK) in September.
There will be buying on SenseTime Group (20 HK) from HSCEI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX trackers. But there is also a big lock-up expiry on 29 June.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> after the close of trading on 10 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> has been kept in the index for now, though suspension till 30 June will see it deleted early July.</li>
<li>Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping results in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.7% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,977m.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Lenovo (992 HK) will replace Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) after the close of trading on 10 June.

Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) has been kept in the index for now, though suspension till 30 June will see it deleted early July.
Changes to the stocks, number of shares, float and capping results in an estimated one-way turnover of 3.7% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,977m.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Lenovo In, Hansoh Out; Sunac Survives (For Now)

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 139 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Healthcare, consumer discretionary and energy led the week on week A-H premium increase of 3.8ppt. </li>
<li>We highlight A-H premium changes in CICC, GWM, Cansino, CCC, Shanghai Fudan, CNOOC, PetroChina.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 139 stocks over the last week.
Healthcare, consumer discretionary and energy led the week on week A-H premium increase of 3.8ppt. 
We highlight A-H premium changes in CICC, GWM, Cansino, CCC, Shanghai Fudan, CNOOC, PetroChina.


A-H Premium Weekly: CICC, Great Wall Motor, Cansino

China

PetroChina Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company offers crude oil and oil products exploration, development, production and marketing. PetroChina also markets petrochemical products and derivative chemicals.

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PetroChina (601857 CH)

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

We estimate $11bn inflow into A-share market through northbound in June and highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows: Moutai, East Money, Gree, Wuxi Apptec, Tongwei

We highlight northbound Hong Kong Connect inflows into Moutai, East Money, Gree, Wuxi Apptec, and Tongwei from offshore investors.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Four Sets of Changes from July to September

There should be one change to the HSCEI in July and then three more in September. Sensetime, Petrochina, GWM and Zhongsheng are expected to replace...

Brian Freitas

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Lenovo In, Hansoh Out; Sunac Survives (For Now)

As expected, Lenovo will replace Hansoh Pharma in the HSCEI at the close on 10 June. Sunac stays in the index for now but could be deleted in July....

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly: CICC, Great Wall Motor, Cansino

We highlight weekly A-H premium changes in CICC, Great Wall Motor, Cansino, China Communication Construction, Shanghai Fudan, CNOOC, PetroChina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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