Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 6-month uptrend continues on ACWI-US, which generally coincides with the 50-day MA.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 6-month uptrend (currently at $139.40), the 50-day MA (currently $137.95), and $135.70.


Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Smartkarma AI, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma AI

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h">PetroChina</a> is a dominant integrated oil and gas company in China with significant scale and a strong resource base, positioning it to benefit from the country's continued economic growth and energy demand.</li>
 <li>The company is actively pursuing a transition towards a greener and lower-carbon energy mix, with increasing investments in natural gas and renewable energy sources, which could provide long-term growth opportunities.</li>
 <li>Despite a favorable dividend yield and relatively low valuation multiples compared to global peers, the company faces risks from volatile commodity prices, government regulation, and the global push towards decarbonization.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
PetroChina is a dominant integrated oil and gas company in China with significant scale and a strong resource base, positioning it to benefit from the country's continued economic growth and energy demand.
  The company is actively pursuing a transition towards a greener and lower-carbon energy mix, with increasing investments in natural gas and renewable energy sources, which could provide long-term growth opportunities.
  Despite a favorable dividend yield and relatively low valuation multiples compared to global peers, the company faces risks from volatile commodity prices, government regulation, and the global push towards decarbonization.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HK$82bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$90+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down. Net rebounded to +HK$16bn.</li>
<li>Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. This is getting heavy. It matters because some have less international buying support (they are Trump military names).</li>
<li>The data tables below update daily in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$82bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity last week vs HK$90+bn the week before. Gross flows are winding down. Net rebounded to +HK$16bn.
Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. This is getting heavy. It matters because some have less international buying support (they are Trump military names).
The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 19 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Buying, but High-Div SOEs Sold

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 19th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Petrochina, SMIC, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 19th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Petrochina, SMIC, HKEx.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 19th): Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile

China

PetroChina Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company offers crude oil and oil products exploration, development, production and marketing. PetroChina also markets petrochemical products and derivative chemicals.

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PetroChina (601857 CH)

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI

Expecting Upside to Continue into Early-2026 for Global Equities $ACWI. Discussed Thursday to expect support at the 50-day MA. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Primer: PetroChina (857 HK) - Sep 2025

PetroChina is a dominant integrated oil and gas company in China with significant scale and a strong resource base, positioning it to benefit...

αSK

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 19 Dec 2025) - Lower Activity, Net Buying, but High-Div SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND flows are still low in a year-end-lull but net flows are back to positive. High-div SOEs are seeing outflow. TECH and CONSUMER seeing...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke, Petrochina

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 12th and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, Alibaba, ZTE, Ke,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 19th): Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Meituan, Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, Ke, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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