Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Muddy Waters and Beike: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] must deal with an allegation of “significant” fraud by short seller from Muddy Waters at a large investment: KE Holdings (BEKE.US) [Beike];</li>
<li>
Value At Risk: Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares, having a market value of USD 1.8 bn; and</li>
<li>
Fundamental and Regulatory Challenges Remain:Tencent still has numerous challenges: weaker revenues in its core business, mainland China’s clampdown on gaming/internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech businesses.</li>
</ul>



Muddy Waters and Beike: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] must deal with an allegation of “significant” fraud by short seller from Muddy Waters at a large investment: KE Holdings (BEKE.US) [Beike];

Value At Risk: Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares, having a market value of USD 1.8 bn; and

Fundamental and Regulatory Challenges Remain:Tencent still has numerous challenges: weaker revenues in its core business, mainland China’s clampdown on gaming/internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech businesses.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Chervon Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chervon Holdings Limited (CHL) plans to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CHL is the largest China-based global provider of power tools and outdoor power equipment (OPE). </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Chervon Holdings Limited (CHL) plans to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
CHL is the largest China-based global provider of power tools and outdoor power equipment (OPE). 
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Chervon Holdings Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Patchy Disclosures Including About Its Largest Customers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

<ul>
<li>
Fundamental/Regulatory Constraints: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent]  has many challenges: weaker revenues attributed to both a slowing economy and mainland China’s clampdown on internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech;</li>
<li>
Litigation:A class action has been filed on behalf of investors who purchased Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME.US) ADRs, alleging that two prime brokers illegally traded in TME shares; and</li>
<li>
Deniability: Tencent and TME have an awful lot of hair and the timing of the regulatory screw tightening on Tencent’s businesses was intensifying just as the Archegos situation unraveled.   </li>
</ul>



Fundamental/Regulatory Constraints: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent]  has many challenges: weaker revenues attributed to both a slowing economy and mainland China’s clampdown on internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech;

Litigation:A class action has been filed on behalf of investors who purchased Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME.US) ADRs, alleging that two prime brokers illegally traded in TME shares; and

Deniability: Tencent and TME have an awful lot of hair and the timing of the regulatory screw tightening on Tencent’s businesses was intensifying just as the Archegos situation unraveled.   


<ul>
<li>Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.</li>
<li>The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.
The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

China

PDD Holdings Inc. is a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The Company focuses on digital economy so that local communities and small businesses can benefit from the increased productivity and new opportunities. PDD Holdings has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities for its underlying businesses.

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PDD Holdings (PDD US)

Tencent Holdings – Adding To Its Woes

TENCENT: Tencent must now deal with a “significant” fraud allegation at its investment, Beike. Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Chervon Holdings Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Patchy Disclosures Including About Its Largest Customers

Chervon Holdings Limited (CHL) plans to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we look at the not so pleasant aspects.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

Tencent Holdings – Dirty Birds

TENCENT: Tencent has many challenges already. A class action has been filed on behalf of investors who purchased Tencent Music ADRs, alleging that...

Thomas J. Monaco

Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021. In this note, we will talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

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