Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>While the market remains in consolidation/pullback mode and we are not out of the woods, it is possible that further downside is limited from here on the S&amp;P 500</li>
<li>Since late-February, we've discussed important gap support from 2/22/24 at 4983-5050 on the SPX, with bulls in control if above 4983. Selling last week has simply filled this gap</li>
<li>4920-4950 is now support near last week's lows. Downgrade: Technology (XLK) to market weight. Upgrades: Manufacturing/Industrials (XLI) to overweight and Utilities (XLU) to market weight; individual stock buys highlighted.</li>
</ul>


While the market remains in consolidation/pullback mode and we are not out of the woods, it is possible that further downside is limited from here on the S&amp;P 500
Since late-February, we've discussed important gap support from 2/22/24 at 4983-5050 on the SPX, with bulls in control if above 4983. Selling last week has simply filled this gap
4920-4950 is now support near last week's lows. Downgrade: Technology (XLK) to market weight. Upgrades: Manufacturing/Industrials (XLI) to overweight and Utilities (XLU) to market weight; individual stock buys highlighted.


Shifting Exposure From Growth to Value; Downgrading Technology; Upgrades: Manufacturing & Utilities

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

INOX India Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inox-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40138:1" rel="noopener">INOX India Limited (INOX IN)</a> raised around US$175m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at INR660/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 21st Dec 2023.</li>
<li>Inox India is a manufacturer of cryogenic equipment. As per CRISIL, the firm was the largest Indian exporter of cryogenic tanks in terms of FY23 sales.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



INOX India Limited (INOX IN) raised around US$175m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at INR660/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on 21st Dec 2023.
Inox India is a manufacturer of cryogenic equipment. As per CRISIL, the firm was the largest Indian exporter of cryogenic tanks in terms of FY23 sales.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.


Inox India IPO Trading - Hot Demand for Cryogenics

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In the fourth quarter, Parker-Hannifin achieved a decent performance across all aspects of its operations.</li><li>Safety remained a top priority, with a remarkable 20% reduction in recordable incidents, placing the company in the top quartile for safety.</li><li>Sales for the quarter reached a record-breaking $5.1 billion, marking a substantial 22% increase compared to the previous year, with organic growth contributing to 6% of this growth.</li></ul>

In the fourth quarter, Parker-Hannifin achieved a decent performance across all aspects of its operations.Safety remained a top priority, with a remarkable 20% reduction in recordable incidents, placing the company in the top quartile for safety.Sales for the quarter reached a record-breaking $5.1 billion, marking a substantial 22% increase compared to the previous year, with organic growth contributing to 6% of this growth.

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: The Strategic Shift That Doubled Their Presence in Key Industries! - Major Drivers

Dow Jones Industrial Average / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 has marginally surpassed the 4300-4325 area which we have anticipated would cap upside for 2023. </li>
<li>As noted in our 6/6/23 Compass, we are vigilant at these levels given we expect inflation to remain elevated, but we <em><strong>cannot be bearish</strong></em>if the SPX is above 4165-4200</li>
<li>Breadth has continued to improve within the Russell 2000, and the $IWM is approaching our first target of $190 following the breakout above $180. Also see breadth improving within SPX.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 has marginally surpassed the 4300-4325 area which we have anticipated would cap upside for 2023. 
As noted in our 6/6/23 Compass, we are vigilant at these levels given we expect inflation to remain elevated, but we cannot be bearishif the SPX is above 4165-4200
Breadth has continued to improve within the Russell 2000, and the $IWM is approaching our first target of $190 following the breakout above $180. Also see breadth improving within SPX.


Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials

<ul><li>Parker-Hannifin delivered a solid result and managed an all-around beat in the last quarter.</li><li>Organic sales increased by roughly 12% in the quarter, extending the company's track record of double-digit organic growth quarters.</li><li>Given these strong results, the company anticipates 4% organic growth for the next quarter, with segment operating margins of roughly 22.6%.</li></ul>

Parker-Hannifin delivered a solid result and managed an all-around beat in the last quarter.Organic sales increased by roughly 12% in the quarter, extending the company's track record of double-digit organic growth quarters.Given these strong results, the company anticipates 4% organic growth for the next quarter, with segment operating margins of roughly 22.6%.

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Aerospace Business Recovery Is A Major Highlight – Key Drivers

United States

Parker-Hannifin Corporation manufactures motion control products, including fluid power systems, electromechanical controls, and related components.  The Company also produces fluid purification, fluid flow, process instrumentation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and electromagnetic shielding and thermal management products.

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Parker Hannifin (PH US)

Shifting Exposure From Growth to Value; Downgrading Technology; Upgrades: Manufacturing & Utilities

Shift Exposure From Growth to Value; Downgrading Tech to market weight $XLK; Upgrading Industrials $XLI to Overweight; Upgrading Utilities $XLU to...

Vermilion Research

Inox India IPO Trading - Hot Demand for Cryogenics

INOX India Limited (INOX IN) raised around US$175m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at INR660/share. It will begin trading tomorrow on...

Ethan Aw

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: The Strategic Shift That Doubled Their Presence in Key Industries! - Major Drivers

In the fourth quarter, Parker-Hannifin achieved a decent performance across all aspects of its operations. Safety remained a top priority, with a...

Baptista Research

Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials

Dow $DJI Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 ahead of FOMC. Breadth continues to improve within the Russell 2000 $IWM, and breadth improving within...

Vermilion Research

Parker-Hannifin Corporation: Aerospace Business Recovery Is A Major Highlight – Key Drivers

Parker-Hannifin delivered a solid result and managed an all-around beat in the last quarter. Organic sales increased by roughly 12% in the...

Baptista Research

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