Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.</li><li>In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.</li><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1Q23 production was 6,320 bbl/d (we expected 7,250 bbl/d) as the FPSO in Gabon was shut down for an extended period to complete the necessary final tie-in work of the Hibiscus Ruche Phase I development at the Dussafu Marin Permit.</li><li>Gross production in Gabon was 7 mbbl/d in the quarter (we assumed 10 mbbl/d).</li><li>Production ramp-up in Gabon 1Q23 gross production in Gabon was ~7 mbbl/d (Panoro WI: 17.5%).</li></ul>

1Q23 production was 6,320 bbl/d (we expected 7,250 bbl/d) as the FPSO in Gabon was shut down for an extended period to complete the necessary final tie-in work of the Hibiscus Ruche Phase I development at the Dussafu Marin Permit.Gross production in Gabon was 7 mbbl/d in the quarter (we assumed 10 mbbl/d).Production ramp-up in Gabon 1Q23 gross production in Gabon was ~7 mbbl/d (Panoro WI: 17.5%).

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 1Q23 financials in line

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d.</li><li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations.</li><li>Seplat Energy (SEPL LN): 1Q23 results – 1Q23 WI production in Nigeria was 51,720 boe/d.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d.Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations.Seplat Energy (SEPL LN): 1Q23 results – 1Q23 WI production in Nigeria was 51,720 boe/d.

<ul><li>YE22 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively ~23 mmbbl, 36 mmbbl and 49 mmbbl, broadly equal to the estimates at YE21.</li><li>Reserves at the other assets reflect the YE21 estimates net of production during 2022.</li><li>Contingent resources in Tunisia Net contingent resources in Tunisia have increased from 1.6 mmbbl to 3.9 mmbbl.</li></ul>

YE22 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively ~23 mmbbl, 36 mmbbl and 49 mmbbl, broadly equal to the estimates at YE21.Reserves at the other assets reflect the YE21 estimates net of production during 2022.Contingent resources in Tunisia Net contingent resources in Tunisia have increased from 1.6 mmbbl to 3.9 mmbbl.

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 92% reserves replacement in 2022

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.</li><li>While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.</li><li>The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. 

Norway

Panoro Energy ASA explores for oil and natural gas in Brazil, Gabon, and Nigeria . The Company operates offshore in the Camamu-Almada and Santos basins.

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Panoro Energy ASA (PEN NO)

Auctus on Friday - 05/05/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.

Auctus Advisors

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 1Q23 financials in line

Gross production in Gabon was 7 mbbl/d in the quarter (we assumed 10 mbbl/d). Production ramp-up in Gabon 1Q23 gross production in Gabon was ~7...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 28/04/2023

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations.

Auctus Advisors

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 92% reserves replacement in 2022

YE22 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively ~23 mmbbl, 36 mmbbl and 49 mmbbl, broadly equal to the estimates at YE21.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with...

Auctus Advisors

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