Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li><strong>One of the interesting capital flow changes that is occurring amid the on-going war between Russia and Ukraine is the increasing capital flow to the major global cybersecurity stocks.</strong></li>
<li>The 20 largest IT security stocks listed in the US are up on average 5.5% in February, significantly outperforming S&amp;P500 which was down 3.1% in the same period.</li>
<li>
<strong>Palo Alto Networks (PANW US),</strong> Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US), Fortinet Inc (FTNT US), and Check Point Software Tech (CHKP US) have been clear winners in this period.</li>
</ul>


One of the interesting capital flow changes that is occurring amid the on-going war between Russia and Ukraine is the increasing capital flow to the major global cybersecurity stocks.
The 20 largest IT security stocks listed in the US are up on average 5.5% in February, significantly outperforming S&amp;P500 which was down 3.1% in the same period.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW US), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US), Fortinet Inc (FTNT US), and Check Point Software Tech (CHKP US) have been clear winners in this period.


The Russia & Ukraine War Forcing Capital to Shift into Cybersecurity Stocks

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Crowdstrike Holdings  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Cybersecurity is considered one of the hottest sub-sectors within the technology domain with SaaS-based companies having valuations going through the roof.</li><li>Both companies have seen a phenomenal price rise over the years with the increasing revenue growth and popularity of their offerings.</li><li>We also provide the financial forecasts of both companies and carry out a comparative discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation in order to determine which of the two players could generate higher returns in the years to come, based on our estimates.</li></ul>

Cybersecurity is considered one of the hottest sub-sectors within the technology domain with SaaS-based companies having valuations going through the roof.Both companies have seen a phenomenal price rise over the years with the increasing revenue growth and popularity of their offerings.We also provide the financial forecasts of both companies and carry out a comparative discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation in order to determine which of the two players could generate higher returns in the years to come, based on our estimates.

Palo Alto Networks vs. CrowdStrike - Which Cybersecurity Major Is The Better Performer? 02/22

Palo Alto Networks / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Palo Alto Networks witnessed a strong set of Q1 results which exceeded market expectations on all metrics.</li><li>Palo Alto Networks Next-Generation Security ARR has been continuing to rise in tandem with its business mix.</li><li>Overall, we believe that Palo Alto Networks has a strong upside potential and therefore, we maintain our 'Buy' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

Palo Alto Networks witnessed a strong set of Q1 results which exceeded market expectations on all metrics.Palo Alto Networks Next-Generation Security ARR has been continuing to rise in tandem with its business mix.Overall, we believe that Palo Alto Networks has a strong upside potential and therefore, we maintain our 'Buy' rating with a revised target price.

Palo Alto Networks Inc. - Investment Thesis

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With half of Nasdaq stocks down 50% from the top, is further meltdown ahead?  Valuation compression is already larger than recent big growth selloffs.  </li>
<li>We like a balance of highest quality high growth (CRWD, SNOW, RBLX) and attractive relative valuations (PANW, NOW, BABA)</li>
<li>Amazon is poised for a big 2022 as 1 day Prime shipping reaccelerates growth, and price increases hike profits.</li>
</ul>


With half of Nasdaq stocks down 50% from the top, is further meltdown ahead?  Valuation compression is already larger than recent big growth selloffs.  
We like a balance of highest quality high growth (CRWD, SNOW, RBLX) and attractive relative valuations (PANW, NOW, BABA)
Amazon is poised for a big 2022 as 1 day Prime shipping reaccelerates growth, and price increases hike profits.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>There will be large inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (FB US)</a> and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.
There will be large inflows on Meta Platforms (FB US) and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

United States

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. provides network security solutions. The Company offers firewalls that identify and control applications, scan content to stop threats, prevent data leakage, integrated application, user, and content visibility. Palo Alto Networks serves customers worldwide.

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Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)

The Russia & Ukraine War Forcing Capital to Shift into Cybersecurity Stocks

One of the interesting capital flow changes that is occurring amid the on-going war between Russia and Ukraine is the increasing capital flow to...

Douglas Kim

Palo Alto Networks vs. CrowdStrike - Which Cybersecurity Major Is The Better Performer? 02/22

Cybersecurity is considered one of the hottest sub-sectors within the technology domain with SaaS-based companies having valuations going through...

Baptista Research

Palo Alto Networks Inc. - Investment Thesis

Palo Alto Networks witnessed a strong set of Q1 results which exceeded market expectations on all metrics. Palo Alto Networks Next-Generation...

Baptista Research

1H22 Obex Research Long Portfolio

With the big rate driven selloff in growth stocks, we highlight our top long ideas including ON Semi, Palo Alto Networks, Alibaba, Amazon, and...

Aaron Gabin

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

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