Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>IOI Properties (IOIPG MK) S$1.508bn sole bid for Marina View white site</h3><p>The white site along Marina View earmarked largely for private residences and hotel use drew just one bid at tender at S$1.508bn or S$1,379psf per plot ratio from a wholly-owned unit of IOIPG, and was just S$101 more than the price at which the group successfully applied for the site to be released from the reserve list of the 1H21 GLS Programme. The 0.78ha (about 84,000sqft) site can generate a maximum GFA of 1.09m sqft. Of this, at least 548,959sqft has to be for residential use and at least 279,861sqft for hotel use. The project can have up to 21,528sqft for optional office space and up to 21,528sqft of space for other commercial uses (including retail and F&amp;B). Most developers may have been put off by the huge total development cost, which a veteran developer estimates at S$2.3bn. Moreover, the development period for the Marina View site is likely to be longer than usual. The URA has stipulated a seven-year project completion period, compared with the usual five years for a typical residential development site.</p>

SingaporeIOI Properties (IOIPG MK) S$1.508bn sole bid for Marina View white siteThe white site along Marina View earmarked largely for private residences and hotel use drew just one bid at tender at S$1.508bn or S$1,379psf per plot ratio from a wholly-owned unit of IOIPG, and was just S$101 more than the price at which the group successfully applied for the site to be released from the reserve list of the 1H21 GLS Programme. The 0.78ha (about 84,000sqft) site can generate a maximum GFA of 1.09m sqft. Of this, at least 548,959sqft has to be for residential use and at least 279,861sqft for hotel use. The project can have up to 21,528sqft for optional office space and up to 21,528sqft of space for other commercial uses (including retail and F&amp;B). Most developers may have been put off by the huge total development cost, which a veteran developer estimates at S$2.3bn. Moreover, the development period for the Marina View site is likely to be longer than usual. The URA has stipulated a seven-year project completion period, compared with the usual five years for a typical residential development site.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascott-residence-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560" rel="noopener">Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)</a> acquires student accommodation property in Texas for US$70m; 5.1% EBITDA yield</h3><ul><li>ART has entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire a student accommodation property located in Texas, USA for US$70m (~S$93.8m). Based on the independent valuation, the property is valued at US$72.0m (~S$96.5m). The property is a freehold, off-campus facility with 1,005 beds and serves Texas Tech University and is 100% leased for the 2021 academic year. Texas Tech University has over 40,000 students</li><li>On a pro forma basis, the acquisition is expected to contribute additional EBITDA of US$3.6m (~S$4.8m), translating to an expected EBITDA yield of 5.1%, and increase distributable income by S$3.3m for FY20, translating to an increase in pro forma distribution per stapled security of ~1.5%</li><li>Completion is subject to and conditional upon, the fulfilment of the conditions precedent in the Sale and Purchase Agreement and is expected to take place on or around 21Sep. ART proposes to finance the total acquisition costs from the private placement to raise gross proceeds of ~S$150.0m and debt financing. Following completion of the acquisition, ART’s aggregate leverage would remain at 35.9%.</li></ul>

SingaporeAscott Residence Trust (ART SP) acquires student accommodation property in Texas for US$70m; 5.1% EBITDA yieldART has entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire a student accommodation property located in Texas, USA for US$70m (~S$93.8m). Based on the independent valuation, the property is valued at US$72.0m (~S$96.5m). The property is a freehold, off-campus facility with 1,005 beds and serves Texas Tech University and is 100% leased for the 2021 academic year. Texas Tech University has over 40,000 studentsOn a pro forma basis, the acquisition is expected to contribute additional EBITDA of US$3.6m (~S$4.8m), translating to an expected EBITDA yield of 5.1%, and increase distributable income by S$3.3m for FY20, translating to an increase in pro forma distribution per stapled security of ~1.5%Completion is subject to and conditional upon, the fulfilment of the conditions precedent in the Sale and Purchase Agreement and is expected to take place on or around 21Sep. ART proposes to finance the total acquisition costs from the private placement to raise gross proceeds of ~S$150.0m and debt financing. Following completion of the acquisition, ART’s aggregate leverage would remain at 35.9%.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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Equity Bottom-Up

<div><em><strong>Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX.&nbsp;</strong>SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external contributors. Please refer to the Disclaimer in the attached report.</em></div>
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<h2>Oxley Holdings</h2>
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<h3>With the red-hot residential market, here's a property developer to watch</h3>
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<p>Oxley Holdings (SGX:5UX) specialises in the development of residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality projects. We believe that its deleveraging efforts could drive a re-rating in its share price moving forward.</p>
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<li>Since its incorporation in 2010, property developer Oxley Holdings (SGX:5UX) has a launched portfolio of 48 projects spanning across Singapore as well as international markets including the United Kingdom.</li>
<li>With a substantial amount of unbilled sales, Oxley is expected to generate a steady income stream over the next three years.</li>
<li>The strong generation of cash flow generation has supported Oxley’s deleveraging efforts. We believe that the continuous reduction in its net gearing ratio could drive a re-rating in its share price.</li>
<li>We expect the streamlining of Oxley’s portfolio to focus on its core competency – property development – to deliver greater value to shareholders and further support its deleveraging.</li>
<li>We value Oxley at a target price of SGD 0.28, derived from a 50% discount to our estimated revalued net asset value (RNAV). This represents a potential upside of 17% based on the closing price of SGD 0.24 on 18 August 2021.</li>
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Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX.&nbsp;SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external contributors. Please refer to the Disclaimer in the attached report.





Oxley Holdings



With the red-hot residential market, here's a property developer to watch



Oxley Holdings (SGX:5UX) specialises in the development of residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality projects. We believe that its deleveraging efforts could drive a re-rating in its share price moving forward.





Since its incorporation in 2010, property developer Oxley Holdings (SGX:5UX) has a launched portfolio of 48 projects spanning across Singapore as well as international markets including the United Kingdom.
With a substantial amount of unbilled sales, Oxley is expected to generate a steady income stream over the next three years.
The strong generation of cash flow generation has supported Oxley’s deleveraging efforts. We believe that the continuous reduction in its net gearing ratio could drive a re-rating in its share price.
We expect the streamlining of Oxley’s portfolio to focus on its core competency – property development – to deliver greater value to shareholders and further support its deleveraging.
We value Oxley at a target price of SGD 0.28, derived from a 50% discount to our estimated revalued net asset value (RNAV). This represents a potential upside of 17% based on the closing price of SGD 0.24 on 18 August 2021.















(Non-SGX Report) Oxley Holdings: With the Red-Hot Residential Market, Here's a Property Developer to Watch

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>Jul 21 new private home sales surge 82% MoM; On track for a record year (since 2013)</h3><ul><li>Sales of new private homes surged in Jul21 with developers selling 1,589 units, up 82% MoM from 872 units in Jun21. On a YoY basis, sales were up 47% from 1,080 units in Jul20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,744 new homes last month, 81% higher MoM and 53% higher YoY</li><li>Developers launched 1,104 units in Jul21, up 36% MoM and 27% YoY higher. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jul21 take-up rate was robust at 144% (from 107% in Jun21 and 124% in Jul20). Pasir Ris 8 was the top seller last month, moving 418 units, or 86% of its 487 units, with median price of S$1,624psf</li><li>Sales in Jul21 were driven by Pasir Ris 8, followed by Normanton Park, which sold 125 units, Midwood, which sold 91 units and Sengkang Grand Residences, which sold 89 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jul21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 1,012 (64%), 438 (28%) and 139 (9%) units, respectively</li><li>Almost 50% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 29% were between S$1.5-2m, and 21.5% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.7m. In the first seven months of 2021, developers have sold an estimated 8,004 units. Barring new cooling measures, total new private home sales is on course to exceed 11,000 units (excluding ECs) by the end of 2021, locking in the highest annual new sales figure since 2013, which saw 14,948 new sales.</li></ul>

SingaporeJul 21 new private home sales surge 82% MoM; On track for a record year (since 2013)Sales of new private homes surged in Jul21 with developers selling 1,589 units, up 82% MoM from 872 units in Jun21. On a YoY basis, sales were up 47% from 1,080 units in Jul20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,744 new homes last month, 81% higher MoM and 53% higher YoYDevelopers launched 1,104 units in Jul21, up 36% MoM and 27% YoY higher. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jul21 take-up rate was robust at 144% (from 107% in Jun21 and 124% in Jul20). Pasir Ris 8 was the top seller last month, moving 418 units, or 86% of its 487 units, with median price of S$1,624psfSales in Jul21 were driven by Pasir Ris 8, followed by Normanton Park, which sold 125 units, Midwood, which sold 91 units and Sengkang Grand Residences, which sold 89 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jul21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 1,012 (64%), 438 (28%) and 139 (9%) units, respectivelyAlmost 50% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 29% were between S$1.5-2m, and 21.5% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.7m. In the first seven months of 2021, developers have sold an estimated 8,004 units. Barring new cooling measures, total new private home sales is on course to exceed 11,000 units (excluding ECs) by the end of 2021, locking in the highest annual new sales figure since 2013, which saw 14,948 new sales.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p> </p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>ELITE (GBP)</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Period</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>1H21</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Gross Revenue (S$ m)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>15.9 (+37.7% vs forecast)</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>NPI (S$ m)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>15.4 (+37% vs forecast)</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>DPU (S$ c)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>2.63 (+8.7% vs forecast)</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>NAV per Unit (S$)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>0.62</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>P/B (x)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>1.08</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Occupancy (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>100</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 7px;"><p>Reversion (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 7px;"><p>Not Disclosed</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Gearing (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>42.1</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Cost of Debt (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>1.9</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>7.41</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Debt Hedged (%)</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>63</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Target Price</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>N/A</p></td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"><p>Rating</p></td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;"><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) ELITE (GBP)Period1H21Gross Revenue (S$ m)15.9 (+37.7% vs forecast)NPI (S$ m)15.4 (+37% vs forecast)DPU (S$ c)2.63 (+8.7% vs forecast)NAV per Unit (S$)0.62P/B (x)1.08Occupancy (%)100Reversion (%)Not DisclosedGearing (%)42.1Cost of Debt (%)1.91 Yr Fwd Yield (%)7.41Debt Hedged (%)63Target PriceN/ARatingN/A

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (02Jul21) - ELITE >7% GBP Yield with Min Collection Risks

Singapore

Yoma Strategic Holdings Limited develops real estate; sells private residential properties; and designs, constructs and project manages real estate developments in Myanmar and the People's Republic of China.

Bund Center Investment, Ltd. invests in commercial property in China. The Company owns office buildings, hotels, and retail malls.

Hiap Hoe Limited is an integrated property developer. The Company develops luxury and mid-tier residential properties. Hiap Hoe also seeks out civil engineering and construction contracts but its main focus is developing its own residential properties.

Tuan Sing Holdings Limited an investment holding company with interest mainly in property development, property investment and hotel ownership.

Far East Orchard Limited operates a diversified portfolio focusing on property development, hospitality real estate development and management and healthcare real estate. The Company operates a hospitality portfolio spanning Australia, China, Denmark, Germany, Hungary, Malaysia, New Zealand, and Singapore and owns purpose-built medical suites in Singapore.

Hong Fok Corporation Limited is an investment holding company whose principal activities consist of property investment, property development, property management, and investment trading.

Sing Holdings Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company develops residential, commercial, and industrial properties and retains a stake in certain properties.

China New Town Development Company Limited is a real estate development company. The Company develops new towns in the People's Republic of China.

Heeton Holdings Limited develops and sells private residential properties.  The Company also manages and invests in residential, retail, and commercial properties.

Aspial Corporation Limited manufactures and retails contemporary jewelry.  The Company also develops and invests in properties.

Langham Hospitality Investments and Langham Hospitality Investment Limited is a stapled entity. The Company primarily owns and invests in a portfolio of hotels in Asia.

TOKYO RAKUTENCHI CO., LTD. leases real estate properties mainly in Kinshi-cho, Tokyo.  The Company also operates restaurants, saunas, bowling alleys, game centers, karaoke places, and theaters.

Kee Tai Properties Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent builders.

PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk is a diversified and integrated property group and is involved in townships, residential homes, hospitals, hotels, retail malls and industrial estate development and management.  PT Lippo Karawaci through its subsidiaries is also engaged in property and REIT management.

Beijing North Star Company Limited develops, leases, and invests in properties. The Company operates shopping centers, hotels, restaurants, and recreation businesses.  The Company also provides property management.

Shahe Industry Co., Ltd. develops and markets residential buildings in Shenzhen, China.  The properties under development include the Shiji Village, the Luming Garden, and Baoruixuan.

L.M. Development Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic products. The Company's products include desktop CD-ROM drives, portable CD drives, digital cameras, copy towers, and CD recordable (CD-R) and CD rewritable (CD-RW).

Liu Chong Hing Investment Limited, through its subsidiaries, invests, develops, and manages properties as well as providing other financial services.  The Company also has activities in treasury investment, trading, and manufacturing businesses.

Tande Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets special steel products including bearing steel, spring steel, alloy structure steel, and other related products. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in commercial trading and real estate development.

P2P Financial Information Service Co Ltd is mainly engaged in commercial real estate development and services.

P2 P Financial Information Service (600696 CH)

Oxley Holdings Ltd. develops real estate. The Company develops residential and commercial projects in accessible locations. Oxley also develops light industrial buildings that include swimming pools and other recreational amenities.

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Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (22Sep21)

IOIPG sole bid for Marina View white site; OHL divests Sydney CBD land parcels; MSGB focuses on affordable homes; Phils demand for large condo...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Sep21)

ART acquires Texas student housing asset; AAREIT conducting due diligence on AUS asset; FRAG applies for delisting; LPKR increases FY21 mktg sales...

SCCM Asia Research

(Non-SGX Report) Oxley Holdings: With the Red-Hot Residential Market, Here's a Property Developer to Watch

Non- SGX Report: These equity research reports are not written by the SGX. SGX supports the distribution of the research reports by external...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Aug21)

SG new home sales on track for a record year; OHL SG resi >90% sold; FLI supported by resi recovery; FILRT focuses on BPO tenants; NOBLE shifts...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (02Jul21) - ELITE >7% GBP Yield with Min Collection Risks

ELITE >7% GBP yield with min collection risks; EAGLEHT Dalls hotel sold at lower price; GLP sees frothy valuations in most markets; DILD 1H21 mktg...

SCCM Asia Research

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