External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.</li><li>Sinoboom (not listed), Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Genie (brand owned by Terex [TEX US, NR]) and JLG (brand owned by Oshkosh [OSK US, NR]) are subject to 56.1%, 31.3%, 25.6% and 23.6% AD duties, respectively.</li><li>Besides, other major AWP manufacturers that cooperated with the investigation are subject to 32% of AD duties, including Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), XCMG (000425 CH, NR), Liugong (000528 CH, NR), Hangcha (603298 CH, NR), Lingong (not listed), Haulotte (PIG FP) etc. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.Sinoboom (not listed), Dingli (603338 CH, BUY), Genie (brand owned by Terex [TEX US, NR]) and JLG (brand owned by Oshkosh [OSK US, NR]) are subject to 56.1%, 31.3%, 25.6% and 23.6% AD duties, respectively.Besides, other major AWP manufacturers that cooperated with the investigation are subject to 32% of AD duties, including Zoomlion (1157 HK / 000157 CH, BUY), XCMG (000425 CH, NR), Liugong (000528 CH, NR), Hangcha (603298 CH, NR), Lingong (not listed), Haulotte (PIG FP) etc. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Overhang largely removed following EU’s preliminary results of AD duties on AWP

<ul><li>For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.</li><li>That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.</li><li>Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For Chinese machinery manufacturers, penetration overseas remains a longterm driver.That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy in 2024E, especially when the overseas competitors are recovering from the supply chain bottleneck.Geographically, we expect strong demand to continue in the US and the Middle East, but weakness in Europe and China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.</li>
<li>Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.</li>
<li>Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.</li>
</ul>


US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.
Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.
Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.


US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

<ul><li>Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.</li><li>We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).</li><li>Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.We see little upside potential in the near term, as (1) the recovery could be more seasonal (MoM) than structural (YoY), with sales of excavator (proxy for the sector) likely falling short of expectation in Mar; (2) We expect the strong credit growth will only translate into a moderate recovery of excavator demand this year (+10% YoY in our industry assumption).Therefore, we are selective in our universe, and prefer only AWP (the only type of machinery that stands out by achieving 15% YoY growth in Jan). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

<ul><li>Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.</li><li>Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.</li><li>All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

United States

Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures and markets fire and emergency apparatuses and specialty commercial and military trucks. The Company provides products such as pumpers, aerial and ladder trucks, tankers, rescue vehicles, snow removal vehicles, refuse truck bodies, and concrete mixers.

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Oshkosh Corp (OSK US)

Capital Goods - Overhang largely removed following EU’s preliminary results of AD duties on AWP

The European Union (EU) announced this week the proposed anti-dumping (AD) duties on aerial work platforms (AWP) made in China.

CMB International

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2024 Outlook

That said, with growth trend reversing since mid-2023 after 2-3 years of extraordinary growth, the way to overseas expansion will likely be bumpy...

CMB International

US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

US active mutual fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.

Steven Holden

China Construction Machinery – Near-Term Recovery More Seasonal than Structural

Following a rally since early Feb, we believe the market has already priced in the upcoming recovery of machinery demand.

CMB International

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E...

CMB International

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