Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> went ex-dividend on the 4th of October. The stock gapped down more than what it paid out and now trades at 6x trailing PE.  </li>
<li>Cash at 1.1 bn HKD is greater than 50% of market capitalization, with a high trailing dividend yield of 16.2% and a rich history of paying chunky dividends. </li>
<li>We monitor the sales environment for HK/China, which shows a reasonably good pick-up in HK but lackluster for China.</li>
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Oriental Watch (398 HK) went ex-dividend on the 4th of October. The stock gapped down more than what it paid out and now trades at 6x trailing PE.  
Cash at 1.1 bn HKD is greater than 50% of market capitalization, with a high trailing dividend yield of 16.2% and a rich history of paying chunky dividends. 
We monitor the sales environment for HK/China, which shows a reasonably good pick-up in HK but lackluster for China.


Oriental Watch: Gone Ex-Dividend, Higher Yield, But Sales Softening in The Short-Term

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<li>Rolex acquisition of Bucherer signals the company's intention to own retail distribution and gain access to what its competitors are doing, with the battleground currently being Europe.</li>
<li>We believe it will take years for Rolex to digest this acquisition before foraying into other markets, but with a similar approach, potentially making <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK) </a>a target.  </li>
<li>Trading at 6.9x PE with 50% of the market cap in cash and a ~15% dividend yield, the company presents a great investment opportunity. </li>
</ul>


Rolex acquisition of Bucherer signals the company's intention to own retail distribution and gain access to what its competitors are doing, with the battleground currently being Europe.
We believe it will take years for Rolex to digest this acquisition before foraying into other markets, but with a similar approach, potentially making Oriental Watch (398 HK) a target.  
Trading at 6.9x PE with 50% of the market cap in cash and a ~15% dividend yield, the company presents a great investment opportunity. 


Oriental Watch: Addressing the Rolex Acquisition of Bucherer

Value Investing in Asia, Oriental Value

Oriental Value

Value Investing in Asia

<ul><li>Oriental Watch is a prominent luxury watch retailer in the Greater China region.</li><li>While the company offers various brands, the majority of its sales, over 80%, come from its core brands, particularly Rolex and Tudor, a sister brand of Rolex.</li><li>Over the past two years, Oriental Watch has benefited greatly from the strong popularity of Rolex watches and has rewarded its shareholders with a dividend payout of over 100%.</li></ul>

Oriental Watch is a prominent luxury watch retailer in the Greater China region.While the company offers various brands, the majority of its sales, over 80%, come from its core brands, particularly Rolex and Tudor, a sister brand of Rolex.Over the past two years, Oriental Watch has benefited greatly from the strong popularity of Rolex watches and has rewarded its shareholders with a dividend payout of over 100%.

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<li>We remain cautious on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> despite the recovery in sales in June this year. Wealth destruction in financial markets could impact sales in the short term.</li>
<li>Having said that, the stock is extremely cheap at 6.7x FY23 earnings (-32% YoY from FY22), with more than one bn HKD in cash (60% of market capitalization). </li>
<li>With a generous payout ratio of &gt;100%, the stock trades at &gt;17% yield. We believe the company will dip into cash reserves to maintain a high yield.</li>
</ul>


We remain cautious on Oriental Watch (398 HK) despite the recovery in sales in June this year. Wealth destruction in financial markets could impact sales in the short term.
Having said that, the stock is extremely cheap at 6.7x FY23 earnings (-32% YoY from FY22), with more than one bn HKD in cash (60% of market capitalization). 
With a generous payout ratio of &gt;100%, the stock trades at &gt;17% yield. We believe the company will dip into cash reserves to maintain a high yield.


Oriental Watch: Trading at 17% Yield, 60% Mkt Cap in Cash

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a> profit alert for &gt;350 mn HKD affirms our conviction on the increasing dividend (74 HKD cents for FY22, implying a 15.7% dividend yield). </li>
<li>Lockdowns in China (accounting for 67% of the revenue) cast doubt around how H1 2023 will shape up. </li>
<li>With cash &gt; 50% of market capitalization, we remain positive on the company maintaining its high dividend payout for FY23 despite weakness in H1. </li>
</ul>



Oriental Watch (398 HK) profit alert for &gt;350 mn HKD affirms our conviction on the increasing dividend (74 HKD cents for FY22, implying a 15.7% dividend yield). 
Lockdowns in China (accounting for 67% of the revenue) cast doubt around how H1 2023 will shape up. 
With cash &gt; 50% of market capitalization, we remain positive on the company maintaining its high dividend payout for FY23 despite weakness in H1. 


Oriental Watch: Good Results in the Bag, Cautious H1 2023

Hong Kong

Oriental Watch Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, trades watches and invests in properties.

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Oriental Watch (398 HK)

Oriental Watch: Gone Ex-Dividend, Higher Yield, But Sales Softening in The Short-Term

Oriental Watch (398 HK) went ex-dividend on the 4th of October. The stock went down more than it paid out and now trades at 6x trailing PE with...

Sameer Taneja

Oriental Watch: Addressing the Rolex Acquisition of Bucherer

At 6.9x PE with 50% of the market cap in cash and a ~15% dividend yield, Oriental Watch is a great investment opportunity. We summarize our...

Sameer Taneja