Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

A breakout late last week in the high yield spread over 10-year Treasuries can now be added to the already long list of concerns we have for the market. Continued volatility remains our expectation, and it is becoming increasingly likely that the February 2018 lows will be tested, with new YTD lows a very real possibility.  In today’s report we reiterate our U.S. investment thesis, and highlight attractive Groups within Utilities and Financials.

A breakout late last week in the high yield spread over 10-year Treasuries can now be added to the already long list of concerns we have for the market. Continued volatility remains our expectation, and it is becoming increasingly likely that the February 2018 lows will be tested, with new YTD lows a very real possibility.  In today’s report we reiterate our U.S. investment thesis, and highlight attractive Groups within Utilities and Financials.

U.S. Equity Strategy: How Much Worse Can It Get?

In today’s report we take a look at the S&amp;P 500 and long-term breadth. We also provide commentary on the USD, interest rates, growth vs. value, and large- vs. small-caps. We also spotlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology, Financials, and Utilities.

In today’s report we take a look at the S&amp;P 500 and long-term breadth. We also provide commentary on the USD, interest rates, growth vs. value, and large- vs. small-caps. We also spotlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology, Financials, and Utilities.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy

Amareos

Ryan Shea

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Summary: Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble occurs when the price of an asset is significantly overvalued making it increasingly difficult to justify based on underlying fundamentals. In such situations it is the overriding optimism of the crowd, with unrealistically high expectations, that acts as the propellant for further gains. Ten years on from the bursting of the US housing market…

Summary: Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble occurs when the price of an asset is significantly overvalued making it increasingly difficult to justify based on underlying fundamentals. In such situations it is the overriding optimism of the crowd, with unrealistically high expectations, that acts as the propellant for further gains. Ten years on from the bursting of the US housing market…

The Market Sentimentalist: Global Real Estate – Where Are The Risks Residing?

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Three quick takeaways from the annual 2016 data on commercial property sales transactions - income producing assets in office, retail, industrial, apartment and hotel sectors, excluding the development sites. Select data/charts courtesy of our data partner <a href="http://www.rcanalytics.com" target="_blank">Real Capital Analytics</a>:1. GLOBAL DOLLAR VOLUMES DOWNFor the first time since 2009, the global volumes declined overall and across the major regions. Low interest rates had clearly given a boost to volumes over the past 7 years, with the rich…

Three quick takeaways from the annual 2016 data on commercial property sales transactions - income producing assets in office, retail, industrial, apartment and hotel sectors, excluding the development sites. Select data/charts courtesy of our data partner Real Capital Analytics:1. GLOBAL DOLLAR VOLUMES DOWNFor the first time since 2009, the global volumes declined overall and across the major regions. Low interest rates had clearly given a boost to volumes over the past 7 years, with the rich…

Global Capital Trends In Real Estate In 2016

We have updated our currency impact tables 'post-Brexit' for USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP, and CNY. We make a simple assumption that a property investor uses his/her domestic 'investor' currency to buy assets in 'investment' currency at a spot rate on a given start date and then repatriates that back into investor currency on a given end date. Change in the value at end date vs start date in investor currency represents the approximate currency impact, not adjusted for any transaction or other costs…

We have updated our currency impact tables 'post-Brexit' for USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP, and CNY. We make a simple assumption that a property investor uses his/her domestic 'investor' currency to buy assets in 'investment' currency at a spot rate on a given start date and then repatriates that back into investor currency on a given end date. Change in the value at end date vs start date in investor currency represents the approximate currency impact, not adjusted for any transaction or other costs…

4 Months After Brexit - Currency Impact Tables For International Property Investors

United States

OMEGA Healthcare Investors, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT).  The Company invests in and provides financing to the long-term care industry. OMEGA operates healthcare facilities in the United States which are operated by independent healthcare operating companies.

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Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: How Much Worse Can It Get?

A breakout late last week in the high yield spread over 10-year Treasuries can now be added to the already long list of concerns we have for the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy

In today’s report we take a look at the S&P 500 and long-term breadth. We also provide commentary on the USD, interest rates, growth vs. value,...

Vermilion Research

The Market Sentimentalist: Global Real Estate – Where Are The Risks Residing?

Summary: Housing has several characteristics that mean it is almost perfectly designed to be prone to bubble-like behaviour. By definition a bubble...

Amareos

Global Capital Trends In Real Estate In 2016

Three quick takeaways from the annual 2016 data on commercial property sales transactions - income producing assets in office, retail, industrial,...

Robert Ciemniak

4 Months After Brexit - Currency Impact Tables For International Property Investors

We have updated our currency impact tables 'post-Brexit' for USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP, and CNY. We make a simple assumption that a property investor...

Robert Ciemniak

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