Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Since the BoJ interest rate hike in July, the Yen appreciated ~5% to ¥142.74. Considerable amount of appreciation may be dilutive on the overall performance of export-oriented industry.</li>
<li>Top healthcare players have assumed a higher exchange rate (than the current prevailing rate) for their respective full-year FY25 guidance.</li>
<li>With benefit of favorable foreign exchange gradually fading and potentially diminishing guidance, investors need to be selective in picking healthcare bets in Japan.</li>
</ul>


Since the BoJ interest rate hike in July, the Yen appreciated ~5% to ¥142.74. Considerable amount of appreciation may be dilutive on the overall performance of export-oriented industry.
Top healthcare players have assumed a higher exchange rate (than the current prevailing rate) for their respective full-year FY25 guidance.
With benefit of favorable foreign exchange gradually fading and potentially diminishing guidance, investors need to be selective in picking healthcare bets in Japan.


Japan Healthcare: Strong Yen to Negatively Impact Financial Performance; Volatility to Continue

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> was able to hang in well after the announcement, up until the day or two before pricing date, then the shares were walloped into Pricing. </li>
<li>After pricing, they have fallen and erased most of the discount. That's an opportunity. </li>
<li>The shares have underperformed Peers, and there is flow to come. This deal was, as advertised, smaller than it first appeared. </li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) was able to hang in well after the announcement, up until the day or two before pricing date, then the shares were walloped into Pricing. 
After pricing, they have fallen and erased most of the discount. That's an opportunity. 
The shares have underperformed Peers, and there is flow to come. This deal was, as advertised, smaller than it first appeared. 


Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> has reported record high quarterly revenue and profit in Q1FY25, thanks to strong demand across all the business segments, effects of pricing measures, and favorable Fx.</li>
<li>With the steady progress in profit improvement measures, Q1FY25 gross profit margin (53.3%) reached to its highest level since Q2FY22. Operating and net profit growth outpaced that of revenue.</li>
<li>Amid currency uncertainties and inflation, Terumo has maintained its full-year FY25 guidance issued in May. Growth will be driven by US and Europe owing to the sustained increase in demand.</li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) has reported record high quarterly revenue and profit in Q1FY25, thanks to strong demand across all the business segments, effects of pricing measures, and favorable Fx.
With the steady progress in profit improvement measures, Q1FY25 gross profit margin (53.3%) reached to its highest level since Q2FY22. Operating and net profit growth outpaced that of revenue.
Amid currency uncertainties and inflation, Terumo has maintained its full-year FY25 guidance issued in May. Growth will be driven by US and Europe owing to the sustained increase in demand.


Terumo Corp (4543 JP): Stellar Performance in Q1; Cost Control Measures Are Bearing Fruits

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>8697 Japan Exchange and retail facing brokers such as Matsui, SBI, and Monex may do better with Cboe +4.3% given the outlook for increased trading amid higher market volatility. </li>
<li>Japanese MedTech firms Terumo, Asahi Intecc, and Olympus underperformed globally. While FX plays a role, lower rates boost elective surgeries, making them prime candidates for a rebound.</li>
<li>NKY225 inclusion candidates 7453 Ryohin Keikaku and 7453 NRI look attractive as oversold longs as Index arbs will no doubt be rushing back as soon as the panic subsides.</li>
</ul>


8697 Japan Exchange and retail facing brokers such as Matsui, SBI, and Monex may do better with Cboe +4.3% given the outlook for increased trading amid higher market volatility. 
Japanese MedTech firms Terumo, Asahi Intecc, and Olympus underperformed globally. While FX plays a role, lower rates boost elective surgeries, making them prime candidates for a rebound.
NKY225 inclusion candidates 7453 Ryohin Keikaku and 7453 NRI look attractive as oversold longs as Index arbs will no doubt be rushing back as soon as the panic subsides.


Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. We continue to recommend buying dips as long as MSCI $ACWI and $EEM remain above important supports at $110 and $41-$42, respectively.</li>
<li>We are reiterating Japan as an Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out. And 2+ year RS uptrends remain intact on TOPIX and Nikkei 225</li>
<li>We take a break from recommending Technology (though we are still bullish) and highlight buys within global Energy, Health Care, Telecommunications, and Utilities</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. We continue to recommend buying dips as long as MSCI $ACWI and $EEM remain above important supports at $110 and $41-$42, respectively.
We are reiterating Japan as an Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out. And 2+ year RS uptrends remain intact on TOPIX and Nikkei 225
We take a break from recommending Technology (though we are still bullish) and highlight buys within global Energy, Health Care, Telecommunications, and Utilities


Reiterating Japan Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out

Japan

OLYMPUS CORPORATION manufactures optoelectronic products.  The Company's products include cameras, video sets, endoscopes for medicine and industrial use, microscopes, analytical equipment, office communication systems, laseroptical scanners, and ionic printers.

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Olympus Corp (7733 JP)

Japan Healthcare: Strong Yen to Negatively Impact Financial Performance; Volatility to Continue

Healthcare players in Japan are expected to adjust FY25 guidance due to exchange rate appreciation, requiring investors to be cautious in their...

Tina Banerjee

Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow

The Terumo offering saw shares slammed into Pricing, then price at a discount, then trade down on the day following pricing (today). It's cheaper...

Travis Lundy

Terumo Corp (4543 JP): Stellar Performance in Q1; Cost Control Measures Are Bearing Fruits

Terumo announced buyback of 15K shares (~1% of total outstanding shares) for ¥30B. The company will also conduct a secondary offering of 73M shares...

Tina Banerjee

Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...

Andrew Jackson

Reiterating Japan Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out

Reiterating Japan Overweight; $Nikkei 225, $TOPIX, TOPIX Small, $DXJ All Breaking Out with 2+ year RS uptrends intact on Nikkei and TOPIX. Still...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

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Japan Healthcare: Strong Yen to Negatively Impact Financial Performance; Volatility to Continue

Healthcare players in Japan are expected to adjust FY25 guidance due to exchange rate appreciation, requiring investors to be cautious in their...

Tina Banerjee

Taking Advantage of Terumo (4543) Weakness And After-Offering Flow

The Terumo offering saw shares slammed into Pricing, then price at a discount, then trade down on the day following pricing (today). It's cheaper...

Travis Lundy

Terumo Corp (4543 JP): Stellar Performance in Q1; Cost Control Measures Are Bearing Fruits

Terumo announced buyback of 15K shares (~1% of total outstanding shares) for ¥30B. The company will also conduct a secondary offering of 73M shares...

Tina Banerjee

Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

​Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...

Andrew Jackson

Reiterating Japan Overweight -- Add Exposure; Nikkei 225, TOPIX, TOPIX Small All Breaking Out

Reiterating Japan Overweight; $Nikkei 225, $TOPIX, TOPIX Small, $DXJ All Breaking Out with 2+ year RS uptrends intact on Nikkei and TOPIX. Still...

Vermilion Research

Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...