Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Olam's FY 2018 results were barely satisfactory. While revenue grew 16% y-o-y, EBITDA declined 7%. The weaker profitability was attributed to a poor performance from the peanut, coffee, rice and dairy businesses. Positively, net debt decreased 8% y-o-y at FYE 2018, thanks to lower capex, as well as inflows from working capital and divestments. That said, leverage is still very high, with Debt/Reported EBITDA at c. 9x, while Debt/Capitalisation stood at 63%. Management stated that the FY 2018 performance was below its expectations, given tougher-than-anticipated market conditions, particularly in H2. Going forward, the company aims to execute its six-year strategic plan, including initiatives to invest USD 3.5 bn in 12 priority business segments, while exiting four non-core businesses.

   Olam's FY 2018 results were barely satisfactory. While revenue grew 16% y-o-y, EBITDA declined 7%. The weaker profitability was attributed to a poor performance from the peanut, coffee, rice and dairy businesses. Positively, net debt decreased 8% y-o-y at FYE 2018, thanks to lower capex, as well as inflows from working capital and divestments. That said, leverage is still very high, with Debt/Reported EBITDA at c. 9x, while Debt/Capitalisation stood at 63%.    Management stated that the FY 2018 performance was below its expectations, given tougher-than-anticipated market conditions, particularly in H2. Going forward, the company aims to execute its six-year strategic plan, including initiatives to invest USD 3.5 bn in 12 priority business segments, while exiting four non-core businesses. 

Olam - Earnings Flash - FY 2018 Results - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We also review recent performance and prospects for the O&G issuers under our coverage. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

   In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We also review recent performance and prospects for the O&G issuers under our coverage.    The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Oil & Gas Overview - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar. 

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 01 Mar 2019

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for February includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

   The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for February includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - February 2019 - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at agency ratings for Asian issuers. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

   In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at agency ratings for Asian issuers.    The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Agency Ratings For Asian Issuers - Lucror Analytics

Singapore

Olam Group Ltd operates as a food and agri-business company. The Company supplies food ingredients, feed, fibre, and edible oil. Olam Group serves customers worldwide.

Through our purpose to ‘Re-imagine Global Agriculture and Food Systems’, Olam aims to address the many challenges involved in meeting the needs of a growing global population, while achieving positive impact for farming communities, our planet and all our stakeholders. 

Headquartered and listed in Singapore, Olam currently ranks among the top 30 largest primary listed companies in terms of market capitalisation on SGX-ST.

More information on Olam can be found at www.olamgroup.com. 
	 	 
Olam is located at 7 Straits View, Marina One East Tower #20-01, Singapore 018936. Telephone: +65 63394100, Facsimile: +65 63399755.

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Olam Group (OLG SP)

Olam - Earnings Flash - FY 2018 Results - Lucror Analytics

Olam's FY 2018 results were barely satisfactory. While revenue grew 16% y-o-y, EBITDA declined 7%. The weaker profitability was attributed to a...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Oil & Gas Overview - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at key developments in the global oil & gas markets in 2018 and consider the 2019 outlook. We...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 01 Mar 2019

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - February 2019 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for February includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Agency Ratings For Asian Issuers - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we look at agency ratings for Asian issuers. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events,...

Lucror Analytics

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