External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><ul><li>Hybrid structures to gain more traction: We expect India will add ~342GW of RES capacity over FY22-FY30, led by solar +280GW which represents a capex opportunity of INR11.2 trillion (debt funding of INR9.0trillion).</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Duty imposition and incentives to amplify domestic solar equipment industry: Duty imposition on cells/modules and other supportive schemes will provide the much- needed price parity for domestic manufacturers, to compete with Chinese players.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Green hydrogen—huge potential ahead: We believe that green hydrogen’s early adoption will take place across the fertilizer, refining, ammonia, marine, and steel industries.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Hybrid structures to gain more traction: We expect India will add ~342GW of RES capacity over FY22-FY30, led by solar +280GW which represents a capex opportunity of INR11.2 trillion (debt funding of INR9.0trillion).Duty imposition and incentives to amplify domestic solar equipment industry: Duty imposition on cells/modules and other supportive schemes will provide the much- needed price parity for domestic manufacturers, to compete with Chinese players.Green hydrogen—huge potential ahead: We believe that green hydrogen’s early adoption will take place across the fertilizer, refining, ammonia, marine, and steel industries.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power - Shifting Energy Landscape: Grey to Green Gains Pace

<div><div><div><ul><li>NTPC: Generation/sales increased 3.0%/2.4%YoYto79.9/73.9bnunitsinQ4FY22 on higher YoY base, led by improved demand.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Shree Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on Shree Cement, with a revised SOTP target price of INR 22,200/share.</li></ul></div><div><div><div><ul><li>V-GuardIndustries: V-Guard delivered a beat on revenue, with 24 % YoY. growth (12% three-year CAGR), while EBITDA came in line.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NTPC: Generation/sales increased 3.0%/2.4%YoYto79.9/73.9bnunitsinQ4FY22 on higher YoY base, led by improved demand.Shree Cement: We maintain our REDUCE rating on Shree Cement, with a revised SOTP target price of INR 22,200/share.V-GuardIndustries: V-Guard delivered a beat on revenue, with 24 % YoY. growth (12% three-year CAGR), while EBITDA came in line.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Shree Cement, V-Guard Industries, Sobha

<ul><li>Our power universe is expected to report a strong 30.8% YoY earnings growth, owing to better power demand in the latter part of Q4FY22 and overall improved merchant realisations</li><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 7.5% YoY, while PAT is likely to grow 30.8% YoY during the quarter</li><li>The quarter also witnessed a steep rise in imported coal prices and domestic supply constraints, which led to almost 80 plants operating at low inventory levels</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Our power universe is expected to report a strong 30.8% YoY earnings growth, owing to better power demand in the latter part of Q4FY22 and overall improved merchant realisationsRevenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by 7.5% YoY, while PAT is likely to grow 30.8% YoY during the quarterThe quarter also witnessed a steep rise in imported coal prices and domestic supply constraints, which led to almost 80 plants operating at low inventory levelsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power: Better Realisation and Low YoY Base to Boost PAT

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>The base deficit rose marginally to 0.4% in Dec-21 while peak deficit fell to 0.1% vs 0.6% MoM, with the merchant rate at INR3.2/unit. As of Jan-22, discoms' outstanding dues have risen to INR1066 bn (+18%/+8% on YoY/MoM). We expect power demand to revive during Feb-Mar-22. NTPC, PGCIL, and CESC are our top picks. Generation growth remained subdued in Dec-21 at 2.5% YoY due to low temperatures at the onset of peak winter, which dampened power demand. In the MTD Jan-22 period as well, demand growth stood at 1.5% YoY, mainly due to a partial lockdown imposed across states due to rising COVID cases.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

The base deficit rose marginally to 0.4% in Dec-21 while peak deficit fell to 0.1% vs 0.6% MoM, with the merchant rate at INR3.2/unit. As of Jan-22, discoms' outstanding dues have risen to INR1066 bn (+18%/+8% on YoY/MoM). We expect power demand to revive during Feb-Mar-22. NTPC, PGCIL, and CESC are our top picks. Generation growth remained subdued in Dec-21 at 2.5% YoY due to low temperatures at the onset of peak winter, which dampened power demand. In the MTD Jan-22 period as well, demand growth stood at 1.5% YoY, mainly due to a partial lockdown imposed across states due to rising COVID cases.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power Plus: Peak winter demand remains subdued

<p>While the Centre has dropped the DBT scheme from the proposed bill, other reforms like delicencing and smart metering can be the silver lining that will revive the sector. NTPC, PGCIL, and CESC are our top picks. Given the onset of winter and muted power demand, generation growth remained subdued in Nov-21 at 2.1% YoY. During MTD Dec-21 as well, demand growth has been low at 2% YoY. Lower power demand and improved coal supply led to a 1.5x increase in coal stocks across stations compared to the critical Oct-21 level.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

While the Centre has dropped the DBT scheme from the proposed bill, other reforms like delicencing and smart metering can be the silver lining that will revive the sector. NTPC, PGCIL, and CESC are our top picks. Given the onset of winter and muted power demand, generation growth remained subdued in Nov-21 at 2.1% YoY. During MTD Dec-21 as well, demand growth has been low at 2% YoY. Lower power demand and improved coal supply led to a 1.5x increase in coal stocks across stations compared to the critical Oct-21 level.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power Plus: Low demand, better supply ups coal inventory 1.5x

India

NTPC Ltd. owns and operates power generation plants that supply power to state electricity boards throughout India.  The Company is a public sector undertaking of the Government of India and it also undertakes turnkey consulting projects to set up power plants.

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NTPC Ltd (NTPC IN)

Power - Shifting Energy Landscape: Grey to Green Gains Pace

Renewables are poised to play a huge role in India’s energy sector, with capacity increasing fourfold by 2030, aided by stringent Renewable Power...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: NTPC, Shree Cement, V-Guard Industries, Sobha

NTPC:Generation/salesincreased3.0%/2.4%YoYto79.9/73.9bnunitsinQ4FY22 on higher YoY base, led by improved demand. Coal PAF improved marginally in Q4...

HDFC Securities

Power: Better Realisation and Low YoY Base to Boost PAT

Our power universe is expected to report a strong 30.8% YoY earnings growth, owing to better power demand in the latter part of Q4FY22 and overall...

HDFC Securities

Power Plus: Peak winter demand remains subdued

The base deficit rose marginally to 0.4% in Dec-21 while peak deficit fell to 0.1% vs 0.6% MoM, with the merchant rate at INR3.2/unit. As of Jan...

HDFC Securities

Power Plus: Low demand, better supply ups coal inventory 1.5x

While the Centre has dropped the DBT scheme from the proposed bill, other reforms like delicencing and smart metering can be the silver lining that...

HDFC Securities

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