Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11776:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Financial Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-fire-marine-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20468:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see three potential changes. There are a few stocks that are close to inclusion and could lead to more changes.
There should be a couple of index changes prior to the June review due to the merger of Meritz Financial Group, Meritz Securities and Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance.
Passive trackers need to trade between KRW 5-23bn on the stocks and short interest is quite low on the potential inclusions and exclusions.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of Nongshim Holdings (072710 KS) (go long) and Nongshim Co Ltd (004370 KS) (go short).  </li>
<li>We believe the price gap between these two stocks have widened too much in the past six months and this gap is likely to decrease again.</li>
<li>Nongshim Holdings' stake in Youlchon Chem has been rising rapidly in the past six months which should also act as a positive catalyst on Nongshim Holdings. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of Nongshim Holdings (072710 KS) (go long) and Nongshim Co Ltd (004370 KS) (go short).  
We believe the price gap between these two stocks have widened too much in the past six months and this gap is likely to decrease again.
Nongshim Holdings' stake in Youlchon Chem has been rising rapidly in the past six months which should also act as a positive catalyst on Nongshim Holdings. 


A Pair Trade Between Nongshim Co & Nongshim Holdings (Youlchon Chem Is Breaking Out)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between Orion Holdings (001800 KS) (go long) and Orion Corp (271560 KS) (go short). </li>
<li>Orion Holdings has a dividend yield of 4.6% versus 0.7% for Orion Corp. For the value investors that seek higher dividends, Orion Holdings is more attractive versus Orion Corp. </li>
<li>We believe the price gap between these two stocks have widened too much in the past several months and this gap is likely to decrease again.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between Orion Holdings (001800 KS) (go long) and Orion Corp (271560 KS) (go short). 
Orion Holdings has a dividend yield of 4.6% versus 0.7% for Orion Corp. For the value investors that seek higher dividends, Orion Holdings is more attractive versus Orion Corp. 
We believe the price gap between these two stocks have widened too much in the past several months and this gap is likely to decrease again.


A Pair Trade Between Orion Holdings and Orion Corp

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We discuss the share price performances of the top 50 F&amp;B companies in Korea and whether these Korean F&amp;B companies could continue to outperform the market amid higher inflation rates.</li>
<li>In general, we do believe that the Korean F&amp;B sector as a whole could continue to outperform the market in times of higher inflation rates. </li>
<li>The F&amp;B sector tends to have lower sensitivity to demand relative to higher product prices and many of them can generally offset higher raw material costs with higher product prices. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the share price performances of the top 50 F&amp;B companies in Korea and whether these Korean F&amp;B companies could continue to outperform the market amid higher inflation rates.
In general, we do believe that the Korean F&amp;B sector as a whole could continue to outperform the market in times of higher inflation rates. 
The F&amp;B sector tends to have lower sensitivity to demand relative to higher product prices and many of them can generally offset higher raw material costs with higher product prices. 


Korean Food & Beverage: An Outperforming Sector Beating Inflation & KOSPI

<ul>
<li>On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.</li>
<li><strong>The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. </strong></li>
<li><em>Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  </em></li>
</ul>


On 19 April, the US CDC stated that the national mask requirement on public transportation is no longer in effect in the United States.
The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months. 
Will the world likely to become more like Shanghai and enforce even greater lockdown policies or will they become more like the US and drop social distancing and mask mandates?  


CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

South Korea

Nongshim Co., Ltd. manufactures, and markets instant noodles, snacks, and beverages.  The Company also produces refined palm oil and food ingredients.

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Nongshim Co Ltd (004370 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes from Now to June

There could be two changes in Jan & April and then another 3 changes in June. Impact on the stocks is not excessive and short interest is minimal....

Brian Freitas

A Pair Trade Between Nongshim Co & Nongshim Holdings (Youlchon Chem Is Breaking Out)

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of Nongshim Holdings (072710 KS) (go long) and Nongshim Co Ltd (004370 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

A Pair Trade Between Orion Holdings and Orion Corp

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between Orion Holdings (001800 KS) (go long) and Orion Corp (271560 KS) (go short).

Douglas Kim

Korean Food & Beverage: An Outperforming Sector Beating Inflation & KOSPI

In this insight, we discuss the share price performances of the top 50 F&B companies in Korea and whether these Korean F&B companies could continue...

Douglas Kim

CDC Ends Public Transportation Mask Mandate & Will the World Follow Shanghai or Vice Versa?

The CDC lifting the mask mandate is a key catalyst and other major countries are likely to follow the US in the coming months.

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)