Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We also include a list of bonds for which we see good value. The direct impact from the actions taken to stop the war (including sanctions) should be insignificant or moderate for most companies under our coverage, but these names could be severely affected: Air Baltic, Consolis, Kem One, KME, Lecta, Naviera Armas, Nobian, Nordex, Norican, Oriflame, Pro-Gest, Profine, Raffinerie Heide, Stada and Vedanta Resources.

  In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We also include a list of bonds for which we see good value. The direct impact from the actions taken to stop the war (including sanctions) should be insignificant or moderate for most companies under our coverage, but these names could be severely affected: Air Baltic, Consolis, Kem One, KME, Lecta, Naviera Armas, Nobian, Nordex, Norican, Oriflame, Pro-Gest, Profine, Raffinerie Heide, Stada and Vedanta Resources. 

Impact Of Ukraine Conflict On Lucror’S European Coverage Universe - Lucror Analytics

Global Head of Research & Head of Europe, Lucror Analytics

Felix Fischer

Global Head of Research & Head of Europe

The Europe HY Trade Book for September 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for September 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - September 2024 - Lucror Analytics

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)</li>
<li>We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."</li>
<li>Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.</li>
</ul>


The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)
We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."
Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.


Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Polish semiconductor suppliers are gearing up for SEMICON Taiwan 2024, showcasing their capabilities and technologies on an international platform.</li><li>Kaynes in India is continuing its investment and commitment to Telangana, highlighting its dedication to the region despite recent project approvals in Gujarat.</li><li>The sales success of Black Myth: Wukong in China's gaming market has the potential to create significant disruption, with Google also rumored to be planning a major data center in Vietnam. Broadcomm's purchase of VMware signals a strategic growth move with synergies. Tamil Nadu's partnership with US companies aims to boost the manufacturing industry, positioning the region as a hub for production.</li></ul>

Polish semiconductor suppliers are gearing up for SEMICON Taiwan 2024, showcasing their capabilities and technologies on an international platform.Kaynes in India is continuing its investment and commitment to Telangana, highlighting its dedication to the region despite recent project approvals in Gujarat.The sales success of Black Myth: Wukong in China's gaming market has the potential to create significant disruption, with Google also rumored to be planning a major data center in Vietnam. Broadcomm's purchase of VMware signals a strategic growth move with synergies. Tamil Nadu's partnership with US companies aims to boost the manufacturing industry, positioning the region as a hub for production.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Sep-2024): Polish suppliers prepare for SEMICON Taiwan 2024

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
<li>The rankings will be finalized at the end of this week. Currently, we see one expected ADD/DEL but the expectations can change since there are three more trading days left.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.
The rankings will be finalized at the end of this week. Currently, we see one expected ADD/DEL but the expectations can change since there are three more trading days left.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: DSM Addition Unlikely; Engie Could Replace Kering (US$1bn+ Flows)

Finland

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company that operates a network of production facilities for location intelligence and network infrastructure, as well as a network of sales and customer service. The Company also operates research and software development facilities worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)

Impact Of Ukraine Conflict On Lucror’S European Coverage Universe - Lucror Analytics

In this report, we analyse the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the various sectors and companies in our European coverage universe. We...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - September 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for September 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support, Yet Another Recessionary Signal; Bearish Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside;...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Sep-2024): Polish suppliers prepare for SEMICON Taiwan 2024

Semiconductor industry news includes preparations for SEMICON Taiwan 2024, Kaynes staying committed to Telangana, Black Myth: Wukong's anticipated...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: DSM Addition Unlikely; Engie Could Replace Kering (US$1bn+ Flows)

The ES50 Sep 24 index review results will be announced later today. We see Kering (KER FP) as an expected DEL and Engie (ENGI FP) as an expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)