FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p><em>After a volatile start to the year that has involved a significant downward revision to global growth expectations, we try to take stock of the major global market developments to attempt to develop a sense of the prevailing themes in the market.  A key driver of global developments has been the price of oil; it made two almost identical lows on 20 Jan and 11 Feb.  Through this phase of the year, global market uncertainty and volatility was at its highest in some years, sending many in the market looking for risk havens.  In this environment JPY and gold have been strong performers.</em></p><p><em>The second phase of the fall in oil prices from 29-Jan to 11-Feb was far more depressing for developed market assets.  A key contributing factor was a deep fall in financial equites.  In hindsight, we can see now that emerging market equities, commodity producer equites, including energy stocks, and many emerging market currencies were proving quite resilient during this second phase of intense risk aversion, many of them strengthening through this period.</em></p><p><em>After a double bottom the market appears more confident that the most recent rise in oil prices from the 11-Feb low is sustainable. The stronger oil price has reinforced the rebound in EM and commodity producer assets that were already appearing more inclined to recover from the earlier low in oil prices. </em></p><p><em>The persistent weakness in the USD against risk havens (JPY, EUR and Gold) is harder to explain during the solid rebound in global asset prices in recent weeks and recovery in US yields, amidst higher US inflation and strong US employment data.  But the market has lost confidence and visibility on the outlook for monetary policy in Japan and Europe, fears they are running out of policy options, and appears more assured that Fed policy will adopt a more growth friendly demeanor.  We doubt broad-USD weakness will persist but the onus appears to be on the US data to confirm it is on a sustainable growth path and generating higher inflation.</em></p>

After a volatile start to the year that has involved a significant downward revision to global growth expectations, we try to take stock of the major global market developments to attempt to develop a sense of the prevailing themes in the market.  A key driver of global developments has been the price of oil; it made two almost identical lows on 20 Jan and 11 Feb.  Through this phase of the year, global market uncertainty and volatility was at its highest in some years, sending many in the market looking for risk havens.  In this environment JPY and gold have been strong performers.The second phase of the fall in oil prices from 29-Jan to 11-Feb was far more depressing for developed market assets.  A key contributing factor was a deep fall in financial equites.  In hindsight, we can see now that emerging market equities, commodity producer equites, including energy stocks, and many emerging market currencies were proving quite resilient during this second phase of intense risk aversion, many of them strengthening through this period.After a double bottom the market appears more confident that the most recent rise in oil prices from the 11-Feb low is sustainable. The stronger oil price has reinforced the rebound in EM and commodity producer assets that were already appearing more inclined to recover from the earlier low in oil prices. The persistent weakness in the USD against risk havens (JPY, EUR and Gold) is harder to explain during the solid rebound in global asset prices in recent weeks and recovery in US yields, amidst higher US inflation and strong US employment data.  But the market has lost confidence and visibility on the outlook for monetary policy in Japan and Europe, fears they are running out of policy options, and appears more assured that Fed policy will adopt a more growth friendly demeanor.  We doubt broad-USD weakness will persist but the onus appears to be on the US data to confirm it is on a sustainable growth path and generating higher inflation.

AmpGFX - Taking Stock on a Confusing Start to the Year

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics weekly condensed </strong>Saturday 27 February 2016</p><div>*Condensed repport due to travel this weekend</div><div><strong>Risk on caps</strong></div><div><strong>Oil, US and Europe equity webcast- To view click on this link or paste:</strong></div><div>http://www.screencast.com/t/gf21FaJdM</div><p>8:03 min.</p><div>We are watching the bull breakout attempt in oil with interest as energy shares lack the same upside bias and the AUD appears to be chiseling out a key reversal above 0.72 while copper backed off of the key 2.14 barrier. A number of counter balance assets are not…</div>

Chartonics weekly condensed Saturday 27 February 2016*Condensed repport due to travel this weekendRisk on capsOil, US and Europe equity webcast- To view click on this link or paste:http://www.screencast.com/t/gf21FaJdM8:03 min.We are watching the bull breakout attempt in oil with interest as energy shares lack the same upside bias and the AUD appears to be chiseling out a key reversal above 0.72 while copper backed off of the key 2.14 barrier. A number of counter balance assets are not…

Japan

NITTO DENKO CORPORATION manufactures and markets a wide range of chemical products which are used as materials for industrial and electronic components. The Company's products include materials for sealants, semiconductors, and wrappings.  Nitto Denko has a network of sales/manufacturing subsidiaries worldwide.

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Nitto Denko (6988 JP)

AmpGFX - Taking Stock on a Confusing Start to the Year

After a volatile start to the year that has involved a significant downward revision to global growth expectations, we try to take stock of the...

Greg Gibbs

Risk on Caps

Chartonics weekly condensed Saturday 27 February 2016*Condensed repport due to travel this weekendRisk on capsOil, US and Europe equity webcast- To...

Thomas Schroeder

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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