Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Japan's largest Office REIT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-building-fund-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1900:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)</a> ("NBF") announced a ¥140bn (~US$1.3bn) <a href="https://www.nbf-m.com/nbf_e/release/files/20201009_Notice%20Concerning%20Issue%20of%20New%20Investment%20Units%20and%20Secondry%20Offering%20on%20Investments%20Units.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">follow-on equity offering</a> on 9th October 2020 to fund their recent acquisition of Shinjuku Mitsui Building and Gran Tokyo South Tower. 
This is the biggest REIT offering in Japan this year so far, is large historically, and is the first offering by NBF, the largest Office REIT by Market Cap since 2014.
NBF plans to offer 171,000 units in the Domestic Primary Offering and 58,000 units in the International Offering (mainly in the U.S., Europe and Asia). However, final allocation can be different depending on demand conditions. The over-allotment quantity will be 11,500 units. 
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<div class="content-caption">Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)</div>
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As always, there is more below the fold.

Japan's largest Office REIT Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) ("NBF") announced a ¥140bn (~US$1.3bn) follow-on equity offering on 9th October 2020 to fund their recent acquisition of Shinjuku Mitsui Building and Gran Tokyo South Tower. 
This is the biggest REIT offering in Japan this year so far, is large historically, and is the first offering by NBF, the largest Office REIT by Market Cap since 2014.
NBF plans to offer 171,000 units in the Domestic Primary Offering and 58,000 units in the International Offering (mainly in the U.S., Europe and Asia). However, final allocation can be different depending on demand conditions. The over-allotment quantity will be 11,500 units. 


Source: Quiddity, Capital IQ (Data)

As always, there is more below the fold. 

Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) REIT Offering: Take It

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nippon Building Fund / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-building-fund-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1900:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$1.2bn (JPY127bn) in order to part fund its purchase of two assets.This will be one of the largest JREIT placement that we have seen over the past few years. In addition, the stock hasn't been doing too well this year.In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) aims to raise around US$1.2bn (JPY127bn) in order to part fund its purchase of two assets.This will be one of the largest JREIT placement that we have seen over the past few years. In addition, the stock hasn't been doing too well this year.In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Nippon Building Fund Placement - Needs to Correct Some More Given the Weak Sentiment

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/123/994/original/2020-03-21_07-26-58.png?1584743238" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="123994"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div>TAKE PROFITS - Japanese equities, as measured by the TOPIX Index, rose by 1.7% over the last week in Yen terms and fell by only 0.86% in US dollars, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">ACWI (ACWI US)</a> fell by 13.6%. The 1% gain on Thursday was aided by the Bank of Japan US$1.8 billion purchase of ETFs which represented 4.3% of the value traded in TOPIX and is 80% of the average monthly total of such purchases over the last nine years. We expect the central bank to be in the market again at a similar level of commitment on Monday. We would use such generosity to now reduce exposure to Japan.<div class="content-highlight">In the DETAIL section below, we cover the outlook for a more prolonged Covid-19 bear market in Japan and suggest levels at which the market might offer some absolute value, hopefully within the next eighteen months.</div><blockquote>If there is no market economy, then the stock market is in a sense largely irrelevant at this time, although we would not close it either since it does give people something to do that does generate some information and some amount of GDP and income - Andrew Hunt</blockquote>

Source • Japan AnalyticsTAKE PROFITS - Japanese equities, as measured by the TOPIX Index, rose by 1.7% over the last week in Yen terms and fell by only 0.86% in US dollars, while ACWI (ACWI US) fell by 13.6%. The 1% gain on Thursday was aided by the Bank of Japan US$1.8 billion purchase of ETFs which represented 4.3% of the value traded in TOPIX and is 80% of the average monthly total of such purchases over the last nine years. We expect the central bank to be in the market again at a similar level of commitment on Monday. We would use such generosity to now reduce exposure to Japan.In the DETAIL section below, we cover the outlook for a more prolonged Covid-19 bear market in Japan and suggest levels at which the market might offer some absolute value, hopefully within the next eighteen months.If there is no market economy, then the stock market is in a sense largely irrelevant at this time, although we would not close it either since it does give people something to do that does generate some information and some amount of GDP and income - Andrew Hunt

🇯🇵 JAPAN MARKET UPDATE • Hit the BoJ Bid and Wait for the Absolute Value Opportunity

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report.

In this report we highlight attractive and actionable themes within developed int’l markets: Technology and Industrials continue to be two of the most attractive Sectors globally -- overweight. These two Sectors account for half of today’s individual recommendations Countries that are (1) developing positively in terms of price and RS and (2) have significant representation in this report include: Japan (TOPIX), Switzerland (SMI), and France (CAC 40).Outside of the above themes, a bottoms-up approach is required to uncover attractive and actionable stocks. On page 4 we include a table of all stocks highlighted in this report. 

Overweight Global Technology & Industrials

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Three quick takeaways from the annual 2016 data on commercial property sales transactions - income producing assets in office, retail, industrial, apartment and hotel sectors, excluding the development sites. Select data/charts courtesy of our data partner <a href="http://www.rcanalytics.com" target="_blank">Real Capital Analytics</a>:1. GLOBAL DOLLAR VOLUMES DOWNFor the first time since 2009, the global volumes declined overall and across the major regions. Low interest rates had clearly given a boost to volumes over the past 7 years, with the rich…

Three quick takeaways from the annual 2016 data on commercial property sales transactions - income producing assets in office, retail, industrial, apartment and hotel sectors, excluding the development sites. Select data/charts courtesy of our data partner Real Capital Analytics:1. GLOBAL DOLLAR VOLUMES DOWNFor the first time since 2009, the global volumes declined overall and across the major regions. Low interest rates had clearly given a boost to volumes over the past 7 years, with the rich…

Global Capital Trends In Real Estate In 2016

Japan

Kenedix Retail REIT Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which mainly invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. The Company invests mainly in commercial properties which are shopping centers, and super markets in Tokyo metropolitan, Osaka, Nagoya and Fukuoka area.

NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT INC. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that directly invests in real estate properties used for logistics businesses.

Japan Real Estate Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. The Company directly invests in office properties with a focus on 3 wards(Chiyoda, Chuo, and Minato) in Tokyo.

NOMURA REAL ESTATE MASTER FUND, INC. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is formed through merger of Nomura real estate master fund, Nomura real estate office fund, and Nomura real estate residential fund.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation operates real estate investment trust. The Company provides securitized real estate investment, real estate leasing, shopping centers investment, and other services. Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment provides its services throughout Japan.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation

GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company invests mainly in logistics facilities and related real estate properties.

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corp. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company mainly invests in residential rental properties and commercial properties.

KDX Realty Investment Corporation operates a real estate investment trust company. The Company invests in office and residential buildings. KDX Realty Investment provides its services throughout Japan.

Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust(REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company mainly invests in real estate properties used in hotels.

United Urban Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as shopping centers, offices, hotels, and residential buildings.

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust with a large and diversified portfolio of industrial properties. The Trust invests in a diverse portfolio of industrial properties with the primary objective of achieving an attractive level of return from rental income and for long-term capital growth.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust. The Trust invests on a long-term basis, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes, whether wholly or partially, as well as real estate-related assets.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

GPT Group is an active owner and manager of a diversified portfolio of Australian retail, office and industrial property assets. The Group's property portfolio include the MLC Centre, Australia Square, Rouse Hill Town Centre and Melbourne Central.

Vicinity Centres retails asset and property management services. The Company offers a retail property investment and services organization involved in the ownership, management, and development of retail properties. The Company operates shopping centers across Australia.

Dexus provides real estate services. The Company manages and invests in a portfolio of diversified properties, including office and industrial buildings, retail shopping centers, and car parks. Dexus serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

Stockland is a diversified Australian property group. The Group develops and manages Retail centers, Residential Communities and Retirement Living assets with a focus on regional centers and outer metropolitan. Stockland also owns a portfolio of Office and Industrial assets.

Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust specializing in group-oriented, destination hotel assets in urban and resort markets.

Agree Realty Corporation is a real estate investment trust that owns, manages and develops primarily neighborhood community shopping centers or single tenant properties, located in twelve states and leased under net leases to major retail tenants.

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. is a self-administered and fully integrated real estate investment trust which owns, manages, acquires and develops bulk warehouses and light industrial properties. The Company's interests in its properties are held through various partnerships controlled by the company.

Kite Realty Group Trust is a full-service, vertically integrated real estate company focused primarily on the development, construction, acquisition, ownership and operation of neighborhood and community shopping centers.  The company own properties in Indiana, Florida, Texas, Washington, Oregon, New Jersey, Illinois and Georgia.

Nippon Building Fund Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which mainly invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. Properties are mainly Business offices and are located in Tokyo Major 5 wards and Kanto area.

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Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)