Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.</li>
<li>The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.</li>
<li>There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.</li>
</ul>


With the 2021 futures expiring in 2 weeks, the focus now shifts to the HSCEI dividend futures expiring in 2022 where we see a fair value of 240.76 DIPS.
The current market is trading very close to our fair value for 2022 but there are a lot of potential catalysts that could result in a big move lower.
There are fewer catalysts for the 2022 futures to move higher. The regulatory changes in China plus the HFCAA could lead to the 2023 futures trading cheaper to 2022.


HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Didi's announced that it would delist from US and prepare for a public listing in Hongkong</li>
<li>Didi is racing against time to do so due to various factors such as, lock-up expiry, HK Stock Exchange review of listing applications, and potential cybersecurity review for HK issuers</li>
<li>There could be parallels in terms of key risks for other non-dual listed China ADSs</li>
</ul>


Didi's announced that it would delist from US and prepare for a public listing in Hongkong
Didi is racing against time to do so due to various factors such as, lock-up expiry, HK Stock Exchange review of listing applications, and potential cybersecurity review for HK issuers
There could be parallels in terms of key risks for other non-dual listed China ADSs


Didi (Didi US)'s Delisting and Its Implications for Non-Dual Listed China ADS

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's overall auto retail sales remained week in November due to limit car storage in dealers (less supply), less promotions and interruptions from regional Covid lockdown/restrictions</li>
<li>Xpeng ranked No.1 among EV brands by delivering 15,613 new cars in November. P5 delivery is ramming up.</li>
<li>Zeekr 001 delivered 2,012 new cars in November, in line with latest market expectation.</li>
</ul>


China's overall auto retail sales remained week in November due to limit car storage in dealers (less supply), less promotions and interruptions from regional Covid lockdown/restrictions
Xpeng ranked No.1 among EV brands by delivering 15,613 new cars in November. P5 delivery is ramming up.
Zeekr 001 delivered 2,012 new cars in November, in line with latest market expectation.


Research from EqualOcean, EqualOcean

EqualOcean

Research from EqualOcean

EqualOcean is an investment research firm and information service provider focusing on China's Technology, Automotive and Consumer Internet sectors. With unique research and due diligence methodology, we provide tailored insights into a wide range of industries and companies, empowering our clients' value-added decisions.

Founded in 2014, EqualOcean is headquartered in Beijing and has offices in Shanghai, Shenzhen and New York.

<ul><li>An eventful year - The semiconductor shortage is both accidental and inevitable</li><li>Dawn in 2022 - The crunch is likely to be relieved in 2022 but it will take years to fully meet the industry's needs. </li><li>Favored electric cars - Albeit auto brands can't get components on time, many of them are now prioritizing EV production. </li></ul>

An eventful year - The semiconductor shortage is both accidental and inevitableDawn in 2022 - The crunch is likely to be relieved in 2022 but it will take years to fully meet the industry's needs. Favored electric cars - Albeit auto brands can't get components on time, many of them are now prioritizing EV production. 

Tesla Can Deal with Supply Chain Shortage, Unlike Most Chinese Peers

<ul>
<li>Despite a great Q3 overall, Tesla in China sees demand reduce as competitors begin to catch up.</li>
<li>Domestic brands are gaining on Tesla's share of Chinese EV market</li>
<li>More players both new and old - Nonetheless, as other emerging players begin to throw their hat in the ring like Xiaomi, Evergrande Auto, as well as international makers like Volkswagen and Toyota, there could be less room for Tesla to dominate demand.</li>
</ul>


Despite a great Q3 overall, Tesla in China sees demand reduce as competitors begin to catch up.
Domestic brands are gaining on Tesla's share of Chinese EV market
More players both new and old - Nonetheless, as other emerging players begin to throw their hat in the ring like Xiaomi, Evergrande Auto, as well as international makers like Volkswagen and Toyota, there could be less room for Tesla to dominate demand.


Tesla's Record Revenue in Q3 Reflective of China's Solid EV Foundation

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

HSCEI Dividend Futures: 2022 Close to Fair; Sell 22/23 Steepener

The HSCEI 2022 dividend futures are trading close to fair but there are a lot more negative catalysts that will have a bigger impact than positive...

Brian Freitas

Didi (Didi US)'s Delisting and Its Implications for Non-Dual Listed China ADS

As Didi races against time to delist from US, it faces, amongst others, lock-up expiry, HK listing review, and potential cybersecurity review. What...

Jason Yap, CFA

China Auto: Another Weak Month

China's overall auto retail sales remained week in November due to limit car storage in dealers (less supply), less promotions and interruptions...

Victoria Li

Tesla Can Deal with Supply Chain Shortage, Unlike Most Chinese Peers

BYD is positioned well, too. The global automotive industry is facing a deepening supply chain crisis

EqualOcean

Tesla's Record Revenue in Q3 Reflective of China's Solid EV Foundation

Share prices for Tesla have soared to all-time highs after earnings and amidst reports of a 100,000-car deal with car rental company Hertz.

EqualOcean

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