Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Put-Call Ratio back at 1.30. Put-buying interest returns as Nifty50 scales new All-time-Highs</li>
<li>Nifty50 Vol curve starts the week in Backwardation &amp; moves into Contango as Weekly IVs dip. BankNifty Vol curve showing a kinked shape.</li>
<li>Vol Curve has unwound the skew/smile compression built up over prior weeks</li>
</ul>


Put-Call Ratio back at 1.30. Put-buying interest returns as Nifty50 scales new All-time-Highs
Nifty50 Vol curve starts the week in Backwardation &amp; moves into Contango as Weekly IVs dip. BankNifty Vol curve showing a kinked shape.
Vol Curve has unwound the skew/smile compression built up over prior weeks


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 26-Feb-24 to 01-Mar-24

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The last week was a very busy one. The coming week has some announcements and implementations but is a relatively quieter one.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and STAR100 Index changes for March will be implemented at the close on Friday, the 8th.</li>
<li>Another week of inflows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US)</a> ETF as creations cross US$2bn for 2024. ETF AUM has gone from US$420m in 2021 to US$11bn now!</li>
</ul>


The last week was a very busy one. The coming week has some announcements and implementations but is a relatively quieter one.
The SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index changes for March will be implemented at the close on Friday, the 8th.
Another week of inflows for the iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US) ETF as creations cross US$2bn for 2024. ETF AUM has gone from US$420m in 2021 to US$11bn now!


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

<ul>
<li>There are five changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 27 March. Changes are on expected lines.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> is 10.1% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 22.2bn (US$268m).</li>
<li>Apart from the impact on the adds and deletes, there will be a big impact on some of the non-F&amp;O stocks due to capping and funding flows.</li>
</ul>


There are five changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 27 March. Changes are on expected lines.
Estimated one-way turnover for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) is 10.1% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 22.2bn (US$268m).
Apart from the impact on the adds and deletes, there will be a big impact on some of the non-F&amp;O stocks due to capping and funding flows.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes on Expected Lines; Big Turnover

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Finance (SHFL IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/upl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20776:1" rel="noopener">UPL Ltd (UPLL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> missed out on inclusion and that results in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> staying in the index.</li>
<li>There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Shriram Finance (SHFL IN) will replace UPL Ltd (UPLL IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close of trading on 27 March. This was a high probability change.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) missed out on inclusion and that results in Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) staying in the index.
There is over 11 days of delivery volume to trade in the add and delete and there appears to be significant positioning in one of the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

<ul>
<li>IVs fail to move higher in spite of new highs in NIFTY50 Index </li>
<li>New banking regulations from the RBI causing frothiness in BankNifty options market</li>
<li>Regime Switching Model is in the process of switching from "High &amp; Up" to "High &amp; Down" Vol state</li>
</ul>


IVs fail to move higher in spite of new highs in NIFTY50 Index 
New banking regulations from the RBI causing frothiness in BankNifty options market
Regime Switching Model is in the process of switching from "High &amp; Up" to "High &amp; Down" Vol state


EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 19-Feb-24 to 23-Feb-24

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 26-Feb-24 to 01-Mar-24

Put-buying interest returns as Nifty50 hits new highs. Volatility curves oscillate between backwardation & contango. BankNifty vol curve exhibits...

AceGama Advisors

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes on Expected Lines; Big Turnover

There are 5 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 in March. The changes were forecast and there will be positioning. There are capping changes for non-FnO...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

Shriram Finance replaces UPLL in the NIFTY at the close on 27 March. Trent misses out on inclusion and that saves BPCL. There is over 11 days of...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 19-Feb-24 to 23-Feb-24

Despite new highs in NIFTY50 Index, IVs remain stagnant; RBI banking regulations lead to frothiness in BankNifty options market; Regime Switching...

AceGama Advisors

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 26-Feb-24 to 01-Mar-24

​Put-buying interest returns as Nifty50 hits new highs. Volatility curves oscillate between backwardation & contango. BankNifty vol curve exhibits...

AceGama Advisors

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR50/100, FXI, NIFTY/NEXT50, S&P500, KOSPI, Goodman, Ecopro BM

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes on Expected Lines; Big Turnover

There are 5 changes for the NIFTY NEXT50 in March. The changes were forecast and there will be positioning. There are capping changes for non-FnO...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Shriram Finance to Replace UPL

Shriram Finance replaces UPLL in the NIFTY at the close on 27 March. Trent misses out on inclusion and that saves BPCL. There is over 11 days of...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Volatility Update / 19-Feb-24 to 23-Feb-24

​Despite new highs in NIFTY50 Index, IVs remain stagnant; RBI banking regulations lead to frothiness in BankNifty options market; Regime Switching...

AceGama Advisors

Put-buying interest returns as Nifty50 hits new highs. Volatility curves oscillate between backwardation & contango. BankNifty vol curve exhibits...

Despite new highs in NIFTY50 Index, IVs remain stagnant; RBI banking regulations lead to frothiness in BankNifty options market; Regime Switching...