Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount to trade on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.</li>
<li>There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX), Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) and NIFTY NEXT50 Indices were announced on 24 February and will be implemented at the close today.
There is a fair amount to trade on the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) stocks given the sizeable passive assets that track the indices.
There is pre-positioning on some of the names and there could be opportunities to build positions to play for a reversal.


NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rbl-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22856:1" rel="noopener">RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 30 March.</li>
<li>Index trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on BOB while selling over 2 days of ADV on RBL. There will be capping changes too.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book and could outperform over the near-term.</li>
</ul>



Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) will replace RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN) in the Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the close of trading on 30 March.
Index trackers will need to buy over 2 days of ADV on BOB while selling over 2 days of ADV on RBL. There will be capping changes too.

Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) trades cheaper than its peers on forward PE and price to book and could outperform over the near-term.


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: BOB to Replace RBL Bank

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSEBANK INDEX</a> ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rbl-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22856:1" rel="noopener">RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 11 days of delivery volume on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-baroda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:545:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)</a> while selling 5 days of delivery volume on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rbl-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22856:1" rel="noopener">RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the NSEBANK INDEX ended on 31 Jan. The rebalance will be effective after the close on 30 March and the announcement will come end February.
Based on the index methodology, we see Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) replacing RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN) in the index.
Passive trackers will need to buy 11 days of delivery volume on Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN) while selling 5 days of delivery volume on RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN).


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: BOB Should Replace RBL Bank

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

NSE Nifty Bank Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Bank underperformance in India typically leads a Nifty top during stretched readings that are building in the Nifty.</li>
<li>Nifty banks are the preferred short (as a pair if you will) over the Nifty currently but will see the Nifty top out and commence a pullback.</li>
<li>Nifty stall zone near October highs with pullback support targets at 17,800 and 17,400 and comes at a time when the global cycle faces late January weaknesss.</li>
</ul>


Bank underperformance in India typically leads a Nifty top during stretched readings that are building in the Nifty.
Nifty banks are the preferred short (as a pair if you will) over the Nifty currently but will see the Nifty top out and commence a pullback.
Nifty stall zone near October highs with pullback support targets at 17,800 and 17,400 and comes at a time when the global cycle faces late January weaknesss.


<ul>
<li>India's Nifty displays deteriorating upside moment at our 18,500 top zone and short area to pressure pivot support at 17,800. Banks showing lead underperformance.</li>
<li>Nifty 18,500 and 18,775 represents our top and overshoot zone with a risk pivot above 18,775. Our downside objective lies at 16,700.</li>
<li>Banks are underperforming but due for a minor cycle bounce that must be factored into a short game plan.</li>
</ul>


India's Nifty displays deteriorating upside moment at our 18,500 top zone and short area to pressure pivot support at 17,800. Banks showing lead underperformance.
Nifty 18,500 and 18,775 represents our top and overshoot zone with a risk pivot above 18,775. Our downside objective lies at 16,700.
Banks are underperforming but due for a minor cycle bounce that must be factored into a short game plan.


India

Nifty Bank Index is a free-float capitalization-weighted index comprised of the most liquid and large capitalized Indian Banking stocks. The index will have 12 stocks from the banking sector, which trade on the National Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 1000 as of January 1, 2000.

NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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P/E	0.00
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NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY)

NIFTY Index Rebalance: Flows at the Close Today

The March rebalance for the NIFTY family of indices will be implemented at the close of trading today. There is a fair amount to trade on the adds,...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance: BOB to Replace RBL Bank

Bank of Baroda replaces RBL Bank in the NSEBANK at the close on 30 March. Passive trackers will need to buy over 2 days ADV on BOB while selling...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: BOB Should Replace RBL Bank

With the review period complete, we see BOB IN replacing RBL IN at the March rebalance. Passive trackers need to buy 11 days of delivery volume on...

Brian Freitas

India Banks Leading a Nifty Top

Bank underperformance in India typically leads a Nifty top during stretched readings that are building in the Nifty where a top is also due with a...

Thomas Schroeder

Nifty Top and Short

India's Nifty displays deteriorating upside moment at our 18,500 top zone and short area to pressure pivot support at 17,800. Banks showing lead...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)