Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.</li>
<li>We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
<li>Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.</li>
</ul>


Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.
We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.
Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.


Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-suisan-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5095:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP)</a> reported 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by 17% YoY growth in food products business on higher commercial volume and prices.</li>
<li>However, marine products profits tumbled 39% YoY on weakening fish prices and accounting adjustments.</li>
<li>The company raised FY23 sales and operating profit guidance to ¥825B (up 7% YoY) and ¥29B (up 18% YoY), respectively.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP) reported 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by 17% YoY growth in food products business on higher commercial volume and prices.
However, marine products profits tumbled 39% YoY on weakening fish prices and accounting adjustments.
The company raised FY23 sales and operating profit guidance to ¥825B (up 7% YoY) and ¥29B (up 18% YoY), respectively.


Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New regulations due in April are forcing Japan’s logistics industry to evolve rapidly and seek efficiencies to offset a drastic shortage of drivers.</li>
<li>Most firms are aware of the long-term gains that removing inefficiencies in the current system will lead to and should result in improved operating margins.</li>
<li>The government announced new support policies and many consumers say they are willing to accept slower deliveries, which should lower costs for e-commerce.</li>
</ul>


New regulations due in April are forcing Japan’s logistics industry to evolve rapidly and seek efficiencies to offset a drastic shortage of drivers.
Most firms are aware of the long-term gains that removing inefficiencies in the current system will lead to and should result in improved operating margins.
The government announced new support policies and many consumers say they are willing to accept slower deliveries, which should lower costs for e-commerce.


Better Logistics, Slower Shipping, Lower Costs, Higher Profits

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.</li>
<li>Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.
Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."


COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a> is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.</li>
<li>But they are doing better than and are cheaper than peers. And still the stock falls. Today, the stock price hit a 6-year low on dramatic underperformance of peers.</li>
<li>The question is what the proper discount would be for people who question its governance credentials. It's a really big discount now.</li>
</ul>



WH Group (288 HK) is two businesses - a US pork processor and a Chinese one - and both businesses are suffering lower margins than they'd like.
But they are doing better than and are cheaper than peers. And still the stock falls. Today, the stock price hit a 6-year low on dramatic underperformance of peers.
The question is what the proper discount would be for people who question its governance credentials. It's a really big discount now.


WH Group (288 HK) - Now Cheapest in Yonks Outright and Vs Peers

Japan

NH Foods Ltd. produces and sells ham, sausage, and processed meat products. The Company also breeds and raises cattle through its subsidiary. NH Foods owns a professional baseball team, the Nippon Ham Fighters.

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Nh Foods Ltd (2282 JP)

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....

Tina Banerjee

Better Logistics, Slower Shipping, Lower Costs, Higher Profits

Japan's distribution industry is adapting to new regulations due in April, addressing driver shortages and resulting in new efficiencies that will...

Michael Causton

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

WH Group (288 HK) - Now Cheapest in Yonks Outright and Vs Peers

WH Group has always been cheap to its peer group. Now it is worse. Pork prices are underperforming feed prices, lowering margins worldwide. WH has...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

​Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....

Tina Banerjee

Better Logistics, Slower Shipping, Lower Costs, Higher Profits

​Japan's distribution industry is adapting to new regulations due in April, addressing driver shortages and resulting in new efficiencies that will...

Michael Causton

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

WH Group (288 HK) - Now Cheapest in Yonks Outright and Vs Peers

WH Group has always been cheap to its peer group. Now it is worse. Pork prices are underperforming feed prices, lowering margins worldwide. WH has...

Travis Lundy

Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....

Japan's distribution industry is adapting to new regulations due in April, addressing driver shortages and resulting in new efficiencies that will...