IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a>, a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.</li>
<li>We have previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82294" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82376" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-vs-tokopedia-vs-bukalapak-vs-lazada-vs-shopee" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82473" rel="noopener">Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Blibli (1437710D IJ), a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.
We have previously discussed the IPO in Blibli IPO: The Bull Case, Blibli IPO: The Bear Case and Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the wake of this incident, the presidential office suggested that Kakao Corp should be brought into the framework of regulation as a national infrastructure operator.</li>
<li>This is likely to be the leading investment point that attracts the most attention from the market for Kakao.</li>
<li>Regulatory risks will inevitably act as a structural and long-term discount factor for Kakao Corp, and we need to design a short position based on this angle.</li>
</ul>


In the wake of this incident, the presidential office suggested that Kakao Corp should be brought into the framework of regulation as a national infrastructure operator.
This is likely to be the leading investment point that attracts the most attention from the market for Kakao.
Regulatory risks will inevitably act as a structural and long-term discount factor for Kakao Corp, and we need to design a short position based on this angle.


Shorting Angle on Kakao Corp in the Wake of an Unprecedented Server Failure Incident

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of going long on CJ ENM and going short on HYBE. </li>
<li>CJ ENM's valuations are much more attractive and offer higher value as compared to HYBE. CJ ENM shares are trading at EV/EBITDA of 2.7x versus 10.9x for HYBE in 2023. </li>
<li>The Korean government is likely to require BTS members to conscript for military service which is likely to lead to sharp decline in earnings estimates for HYBE.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of going long on CJ ENM and going short on HYBE. 
CJ ENM's valuations are much more attractive and offer higher value as compared to HYBE. CJ ENM shares are trading at EV/EBITDA of 2.7x versus 10.9x for HYBE in 2023. 
The Korean government is likely to require BTS members to conscript for military service which is likely to lead to sharp decline in earnings estimates for HYBE.


Korea Consumer Discretionary: A Pair Trade (Long CJ ENM and Short HYBE)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Lionheart Studio  / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a> , which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS) , which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


LionHeart Studio Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Appears to Be Well past Its Peak, Founder Cashed In $700m

<ul>
<li>K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering and cut the asking price to below the IPO range. </li>
<li>K Car is a used car marketplace and dealership operating in South Korea.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering and cut the asking price to below the IPO range. 
K Car is a used car marketplace and dealership operating in South Korea.
In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and the upcoming lockup expiry.


K Car Lockup - Small Stock with a Big Lockup - Money Recouped, Any Price Is a Good Price to Sell

South Korea

Naver Corp. provides Internet site with web portal services, such as search engine, online game and content development.  The Company also offers marketing service through text and banner advertisement.

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Naver Corp (035420 KS)

Blibli IPO: Valuation Insights

Bookbuilding will close on 24 October. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.

Arun George

Shorting Angle on Kakao Corp in the Wake of an Unprecedented Server Failure Incident

This post summarizes Kakao's unprecedented server failure incident and examines the leading investment point based on the imminent regulatory risks.

Sanghyun Park

Korea Consumer Discretionary: A Pair Trade (Long CJ ENM and Short HYBE)

In this insight, we discuss a pair trade of going long on CJ ENM and going short on HYBE. CJ ENM's valuations are much more attractive and offer...

Douglas Kim

LionHeart Studio Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Appears to Be Well past Its Peak, Founder Cashed In $700m

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

K Car Lockup - Small Stock with a Big Lockup - Money Recouped, Any Price Is a Good Price to Sell

K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering. Its IPO lockup will expire soon...

Sumeet Singh

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