Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st. </li>
<li>It appears that Alibaba may have been reviewing this deal but it is no longer interested in pursuing 11st.</li>
<li>A deal between Qoo10 and 11st could occur, but this is not certain, which means some of the cash proceeds to FI would need to be burdened by SK Square.</li>
</ul>


On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st. 
It appears that Alibaba may have been reviewing this deal but it is no longer interested in pursuing 11st.
A deal between Qoo10 and 11st could occur, but this is not certain, which means some of the cash proceeds to FI would need to be burdened by SK Square.


SK Square: M&A of 11st - Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?

<ul>
<li>Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square</li>
<li>In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).</li>
<li>We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. </li>
</ul>


Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e-commerce platform owned by SK Square
In 2018, 11st was valued at 2.7 trillion won by financial investors. However, the current valuation of 11st is estimated to have declined to about 1 trillion won (US$760 million).
We estimate that the probability of Alibaba acquiring 11st is about 60-70%. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.</li>
<li>There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game indices. Then there are a couple of changes for the Internet and BBIG indices.
There are four stocks that will have over 2 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers and these stocks could move around announcement of the changes.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


<ul>
<li>On 17 August, Celltrion Inc announced that it will merge with Celltrion Healthcare. The merger ratio is 0.449262 Celltrion Inc share for each share of Celltrion Healthcare.</li>
<li>There was a negative surprise which was that Celltrion Pharm will not be included as part of the three companies merger which has been promised in the past several years. </li>
<li>Overall, we believe that this merger will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices. </li>
</ul>


On 17 August, Celltrion Inc announced that it will merge with Celltrion Healthcare. The merger ratio is 0.449262 Celltrion Inc share for each share of Celltrion Healthcare.
There was a negative surprise which was that Celltrion Pharm will not be included as part of the three companies merger which has been promised in the past several years. 
Overall, we believe that this merger will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices. 


Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare (Phase I First)

South Korea

Kakao Corp. provides Internet portal services such as news, free e-mail, and leisure information.  The Company also offers cross-platform mobile messaging application that allows users to exchange messages.

AfreecaTV CO.,LTD. provides digital media storage, streaming, downloading, video on demand, advertising services, contents delivery network, and internet games.

Daou Technology Inc. designs and constructs Internet-based information systems using system integration technologies.  The Company, through its subsidiary companies, provides on-line security trading service and markets computer peripheral devices, such as printer, hardware, and software.

Connectwave Co., Ltd. operates as an online shopping portal site. The Company provides price comparing and shopping information providing service. Connectwave also generates income from advertisement.

Ahnlab, Inc. designs and develops anti-virus solutions for network server systems, personal computers, and e-business data systems.  The Company also offers consulting service and develops Internet security applications.

Feelingk Co., Ltd. provides end-to-end solutions for the wireless Internet system.  The Company's products includes WAP gateway, Short Messaging Service Center (SMSC), and Push Proxy Gateway (PPG).  Feelingk provides wireless solution to major mobile telecom service providers such as SK and LG telecom.

BusinessOn Communication Co., Ltd operates software as a service company. The Company provides electronic tax bill, integrated purchase management, electronic contract, purchase confirmation, and default registration services. BusinessOn Communication also offers online advertising services.

Kt alpha Co., Ltd. provides Internet connectivity services. The Company also offers web portal services, electronic commerce hosting, media publishing, and application hosting services. Kt alpha offers services in Korea.

Medifron DBT Co., Ltd. researches and develops pharmaceuticals for neuropathic pain, agonists and others. The Company also engages in sale of pharmaceuticals and patent license businesses. The other business division provides real-time voice contents for Internet services and distributes computer peripheral such as LCD monitor, printer, and mouse, through online shopping malls.

e-Credible Co., Ltd. provides an electronic credit evaluation system to help checking business partners' financial status.  The company also develops an enterprise resource supply system to activate e-commerce within the companies network.

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

Akamai Technologies, Inc. provides services for accelerating and improving the delivery of content and applications over the Internet; ranging from live and on-demand streaming video capabilities to conventional content on websites, to tools that help people transact business and reach out to new and existing customers.

East Money Information Co., Ltd. operates online financial information platform.  The Company's products include internet advertising and financial data.

AppFolio, Inc. provides cloud-based software solutions. The Company offers a cloud-based property management software that allows apartment and residential property managers to market, manage, and grow their business. AppFolio conducts business in the United States.

Zillow Group, Inc. provides e-commerce services. The Company provides information about homes, real estate listings, and mortgages through their website and mobile applications. Zillow serves homeowners, buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals throughout the United States.

VeriSign Inc provides domain names and Internet security, enabling the world to connect online with reliability and confidence, anytime, anywhere. The Company ensures the security, stability and resiliency of key Internet infrastructure including the .com and .net top-level domains among others. VeriSign also offers intelligence-driven security services.

Info Edge (India) Limited operates an online job posting website. The website offers services for recruiters, job seekers, and employers. The Company also operates  an online matrimonial website for prospective brides, grooms, and relatives.

GoDaddy, Inc. provides a cloud-based web platform for small businesses, web design professionals and individuals. The Company's platform provides applications that help them connect to their customers, manage their businesses and get found online.

Wix.com Ltd. operates and develops a web platform. The Company's platform offers solutions that enable businesses, organizations, professionals and individuals to develop customized websites and application platforms.

Naver Corp. provides Internet site with web portal services, such as search engine, online game and content development.  The Company also offers marketing service through text and banner advertisement.

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Naver Corp (035420 KS)

SK Square: M&A of 11st - Alibaba Out and Qoo10 In?

On 27 September, Maeil Business Daily reported that SK Square signed an MOU with Qoo10 to pursue a joint management of 11st.

Douglas Kim

SK Square: Will Alibaba Acquire 11st?

Maeil Business Daily reported that Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) is considering on acquiring a controlling stake in 11st, which is a leading e...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period Nearly Complete

The changes to the index were announced post market close on Friday and will be implemented at the close on Thursday. Given that the changes are...

Brian Freitas

Screening for GEMs: September 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Merger Between Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare (Phase I First)

The merger of Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare will have a positive impact on Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's shares as it will...

Douglas Kim

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