Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a> will be added to a global index in a week and then there will be multiple index inflows at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>After underperforming from May to September, the adds have gained ground on the deletes over the last two months and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH) will be added to a global index in a week and then there will be multiple index inflows at the close on 8 December.
After underperforming from May to September, the adds have gained ground on the deletes over the last two months and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Another Inclusion for Hygon

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Takeaways: 1. Semi equipment vendors beat 4Q23E; 2. China and DRAM customers stronger ; 3. Margin stable due to lack of depreciation; 4. Top four controls over 90% of shares;</li>
<li>More takeaways: 5. Semi equipment companies' share price performance should lag behind foundries, foundries should lag behind fabless customers; 6. China semi equipment vendors outperforming global peers on local replacement;</li>
<li>Estimating a flattish global semiconductor equipment sales growth for 2023 and 2024 but expecting a double digit y/y sales growth of 17% for 2025 and 10% for 2026. </li>
</ul>


Takeaways: 1. Semi equipment vendors beat 4Q23E; 2. China and DRAM customers stronger ; 3. Margin stable due to lack of depreciation; 4. Top four controls over 90% of shares;
More takeaways: 5. Semi equipment companies' share price performance should lag behind foundries, foundries should lag behind fabless customers; 6. China semi equipment vendors outperforming global peers on local replacement;
Estimating a flattish global semiconductor equipment sales growth for 2023 and 2024 but expecting a double digit y/y sales growth of 17% for 2025 and 10% for 2026. 


Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-a-h-premium-weekly-sep-8-icbc-abc-ccb-boc-vanke-ncl-rails" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A/H Premium Monitor</a> and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.</li>
</ul>


This is the brand spanking new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.


Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.
We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.


Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,869.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Inspur Electronic Information Industry, Tcl Technology, China Mobile, BYD, Haitian Flavouring, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 14th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,869.4 million, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, financials sectors.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Inspur Electronic Information Industry, Tcl Technology, China Mobile, BYD, Haitian Flavouring, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan).


Northbound Flows (Jul 14th): Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Haitian

China

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

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NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH)

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Another Inclusion for Hygon

There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in Dec. Hygon gains another index inclusion - one takes place later this month...

Brian Freitas

Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025

Takeaways After Global Semi Equipment Model Updated and Our View on 2024/2025; We are providing six takeaways and sales growth estimates for 2024-2026

Andrew Lu

Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) : BYD, ZTE, Zhongji Innolight, Amperex

The Brand-Spanking New Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows Monitor. Tables and Charts of Top 10-30 names/flows, flows and position by...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jul 14th): Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Yangtze Power, China Telecom, Haitian

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, China Yangtze Power, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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