Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,463.8 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, CATL, Naura Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,463.8 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials sectors.
We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, CATL, Naura Technology.


Northbound Flows (Mar 1st): Midea, Moutai, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group, CATL, Naura Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 23rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,986.7 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Industrial Bank, ICBC, Wuliangye, Agricultural Bank Of China, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 23rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,986.7 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, communication services.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Industrial Bank, ICBC, Wuliangye, Agricultural Bank Of China, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Wuxi Apptec.


Northbound Flows (Feb 23rd): Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Industrial Bank, ICBC, Wuliangye

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.</li>
<li>Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  </li>
<li>By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.</li>
</ul>


The oversupply of 8"/12" mature technology and price war especially within China for the next 5 years is inevitable, especially negative for SMIC and Hua Hong Semi.
Production moving out of China semi demand might increase to 65-70% in next five years to benefit Globalfoundries, UMC, Vanguard, Powerchip mitigating impacts from rising domestic replacement in China.  
By building up in-house fabs, Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most like semiconductor equipment, material, fab construction, CoWoS interposer, and CoWoS packaging vendors.


No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$753.7 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, and offset by information technology, materials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec, Tianqi Lithium, Wuliangye, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Hygon Information Technology, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 8th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$753.7 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, and offset by information technology, materials, health care.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec, Tianqi Lithium, Wuliangye, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Hygon Information Technology, Midea.


Northbound Flows (Dec 8th): Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor, Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>This is yet another index inclusion for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a> - the stock continues to move higher on expected passive buying over the next two weeks.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, the adds have underperformed the deletes but there has been a significant improvement in performance over the last 2 months.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.
This is yet another index inclusion for Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH) - the stock continues to move higher on expected passive buying over the next two weeks.
Over the last 6 months, the adds have underperformed the deletes but there has been a significant improvement in performance over the last 2 months.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Yet Another Index Inclusion for Hygon

China

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

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NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH)

Northbound Flows (Mar 1st): Midea, Moutai, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group, CATL, Naura Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 23rd): Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Industrial Bank, ICBC, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, CMB, Industrial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications

No Sign of Selling Advanced Scanners by ASML to China Customers, Implications; Huawei and HiSilicon supply chain vendors will be benefited the most

Andrew Lu

Northbound Flows (Dec 8th): Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor, Shanghai, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Will Semiconductor Co.,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Yet Another Index Inclusion for Hygon

There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index. Hygon has been added, making it yet another index inclusion. The adds have started to...

Brian Freitas

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