Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2023 based on trading data as of end-February 2023.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.
Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2023 based on trading data as of end-February 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: End-Feb 2023

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mani-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6534:1" rel="noopener">Mani Inc (7730 JP)</a> reported Q2FY22 revenue ahead of guidance, mainly driven by demand recovery in the surgical segment and positive effect of foreign exchange. However, profitability declined year-over-year.</li>
<li>Despite revenue beat in H1FY22, management reiterated FY22 guidance due to geographical risk. Outlook seems to be uncertain for China and India, which together contribute 33% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Mani shares plunged 20% since I published bearish note on the company in January 2022. Investors should avoid Mani due to its uncertain revenue outlook and deteriorating profitability in short-term.</li>
</ul>



Mani Inc (7730 JP) reported Q2FY22 revenue ahead of guidance, mainly driven by demand recovery in the surgical segment and positive effect of foreign exchange. However, profitability declined year-over-year.
Despite revenue beat in H1FY22, management reiterated FY22 guidance due to geographical risk. Outlook seems to be uncertain for China and India, which together contribute 33% of total revenue.
Mani shares plunged 20% since I published bearish note on the company in January 2022. Investors should avoid Mani due to its uncertain revenue outlook and deteriorating profitability in short-term.


Mani Inc (7730 JP): Q2 Result Exceeds Expectation Aided by Demand Recovery; FY22 Guidance Reiterated

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mani-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6534:1" rel="noopener">Mani Inc (7730 JP)</a> shares have plunged 19% since we have published our bearish insight on the company on January 13.</li>
<li>FY22 guidance implies 22% and 56%, y/y, decline in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of parent, respectively, in Q2FY22.</li>
<li>We are cautious on H2FY22 recovery and financial performance of Mani due to worsening COVID-19 condition in China, which is one of its major markets.</li>
</ul>



Mani Inc (7730 JP) shares have plunged 19% since we have published our bearish insight on the company on January 13.
FY22 guidance implies 22% and 56%, y/y, decline in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of parent, respectively, in Q2FY22.
We are cautious on H2FY22 recovery and financial performance of Mani due to worsening COVID-19 condition in China, which is one of its major markets.


Mani (7730 JP): Profit to Decline in Q2; China’s Worsening COVID Outbreak to Weigh on H2 Performance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mani-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6534:1" rel="noopener">Mani Inc (7730 JP)</a> offers medical devices, which are mainly used in the elective procedures including cataract surgery and dental procedures.</li>
<li>In FY21, the company missed its guidance for both revenue and operating income by 2% and 5%, respectively, due to higher-than-expected impact of the COVID-19.</li>
<li>With the rising cases of highly infectious Omicron variant of the COVID-19 in major operating regions, the company is expected to miss or lower its FY22 guidance.</li>
</ul>



Mani Inc (7730 JP) offers medical devices, which are mainly used in the elective procedures including cataract surgery and dental procedures.
In FY21, the company missed its guidance for both revenue and operating income by 2% and 5%, respectively, due to higher-than-expected impact of the COVID-19.
With the rising cases of highly infectious Omicron variant of the COVID-19 in major operating regions, the company is expected to miss or lower its FY22 guidance.


Mani Inc (7730 JP): No Immediate Respite Seen

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

Quantitative Analysis

<div class="content-caption">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/087/536/original/2019-05-12_08-28-48.png?1557617338" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="87536"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/087/537/original/2019-05-12_08-29-53.png?1557617406" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="87537"></figure><p>Source: Japan Analytics</p>
</div><p><strong>SLIP-SLIDIN' AWAY</strong> - Japanese equities have lost 3.9% in the last holiday-shortened week and 4.6% or ¥30t since the bear-market rally peak on 17th April. The new Reiwa 令和 era has yet to see a positive close and the Bank of Japan has intervened to buy ETFs on three out of the last six trading days. A ¥2 appreciation in the Yen has cushioned the blow for non-resident/unhedged investors. For the first time since October 2018, the 50-day moving average of Total Market Value has been decisively breached. The remaining bulls will now be looking for a 'higher low' between ¥600t and ¥625t. </p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/087/533/original/2019-05-12_08-13-49.png?1557616440" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="87533"></figure><div class="content-caption">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/087/538/original/2019-05-12_08-38-11.png?1557617904" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="87538"></figure><p>Source: Japan Analytics</p>
</div><p><strong>BOUNCE AHEAD</strong> - The 5-day Relative Strength Index suggests a short-term recovery in the coming week, or until China announces its 'retaliation' measures to counter the recently-expanded US tariffs. 'Japan Inc.' is now voicing concerns about Japan's trade practices becoming the next focus for the US Trade Representative. Our Value Traded Ratio has also seen the strongest upward move- from 28 (the lowest level in nine months) to 53 (the highest since 21st December) in only eight trading days. Such sharp moves usually mark short-term low points.</p><p><strong>RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS</strong> - In the last four trading days, 1,153 Japanese companies have reported quarterly results, and there have been 855 initial forecasts for FY2020, 101 revision to annual forecasts, 598 initial interim estimates and ten revisions to interim forecasts. We are now at the halfway point of the Spring results announcements.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/087/539/original/2019-05-12_11-25-42.png?1557627962" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="87539"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Japan Analytics</div><p><strong>RESULTS &amp; REVISION SCORE</strong> - Our scoring methodology continues to have a reasonable correlation (0.79) with the Total Market Value. In the DETAIL section below we will analyse the breakdown the three components of the score, update our Sector Scores and look at the best and worst large-cap company results over the week. In the meantime, Simon &amp; Garfunkel can provide some light relief.</p><center><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ZNt5FnMK2sM" width="854" height="480" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"></iframe></center><div class="content-caption">Simon &amp; Garfunkel: Slip-Slidin' Away - The Concert in Central Park, September 19, 1981</div>


Source: Japan Analytics
SLIP-SLIDIN' AWAY - Japanese equities have lost 3.9% in the last holiday-shortened week and 4.6% or ¥30t since the bear-market rally peak on 17th April. The new Reiwa 令和 era has yet to see a positive close and the Bank of Japan has intervened to buy ETFs on three out of the last six trading days. A ¥2 appreciation in the Yen has cushioned the blow for non-resident/unhedged investors. For the first time since October 2018, the 50-day moving average of Total Market Value has been decisively breached. The remaining bulls will now be looking for a 'higher low' between ¥600t and ¥625t. 
Source: Japan Analytics
BOUNCE AHEAD - The 5-day Relative Strength Index suggests a short-term recovery in the coming week, or until China announces its 'retaliation' measures to counter the recently-expanded US tariffs. 'Japan Inc.' is now voicing concerns about Japan's trade practices becoming the next focus for the US Trade Representative. Our Value Traded Ratio has also seen the strongest upward move- from 28 (the lowest level in nine months) to 53 (the highest since 21st December) in only eight trading days. Such sharp moves usually mark short-term low points.RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS - In the last four trading days, 1,153 Japanese companies have reported quarterly results, and there have been 855 initial forecasts for FY2020, 101 revision to annual forecasts, 598 initial interim estimates and ten revisions to interim forecasts. We are now at the halfway point of the Spring results announcements.Source: Japan AnalyticsRESULTS &amp; REVISION SCORE - Our scoring methodology continues to have a reasonable correlation (0.79) with the Total Market Value. In the DETAIL section below we will analyse the breakdown the three components of the score, update our Sector Scores and look at the best and worst large-cap company results over the week. In the meantime, Simon &amp; Garfunkel can provide some light relief.Simon &amp; Garfunkel: Slip-Slidin' Away - The Concert in Central Park, September 19, 1981

🇯🇵 Japan • Spring Results & Revisions & Market Update - Slip-Slidin' Away

Japan

NAKANISHI INC. manufactures gyration equipment for dental and industry use. The Company's products include precision spindles and hand-held grinders.

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Nakanishi Inc (7716 JP)

Quiddity Leaderboard JPX-Nikkei 400: End-Feb 2023

The potential ADDs outperformed the potential DELs by 1% in February 2023. In this insight, I have presented 44 potential ADDs and 44 potential...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Mani Inc (7730 JP): Q2 Result Exceeds Expectation Aided by Demand Recovery; FY22 Guidance Reiterated

I am still bearish on Mani due to its revenue uncertainty caused by high exposure to China. Profitability is expected to decline in second half....

Tina Banerjee

Mani (7730 JP): Profit to Decline in Q2; China’s Worsening COVID Outbreak to Weigh on H2 Performance

China's worsening COIVD-19 outbreak and consequent lockdowns will negatively impact Mani's financial performance in H2FY22, as China is one of the...

Tina Banerjee

Mani Inc (7730 JP): No Immediate Respite Seen

Despite reporting double-digit revenue and operating profit growth in Q1, the company is expected to be negatively impacted by the resurgence of...

Tina Banerjee

🇯🇵 Japan • Spring Results & Revisions & Market Update - Slip-Slidin' Away

SLIP-SLIDIN' AWAY - Japanese equities have lost 3.9% in the last holiday-shortened week and 4.6% or ¥30t since the bear-market rally peak on 17th...

Campbell Gunn

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