Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>There are few financials in Asia that compare with India’s gold lender, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muthoot-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15425:1" rel="noopener">Muthoot Finance (MUTH IN)</a>. While private lenders, state banks and housing finance companies suffer from the seemingly never-ending bad loan crisis in India, MUTH sits in glorious contrast. We further look to longer term relative profit of the gold lender to peer private banks and another regional powerhouse, which too shows its relative profit strength, over a sustained period of time. </p>

There are few financials in Asia that compare with India’s gold lender, Muthoot Finance (MUTH IN). While private lenders, state banks and housing finance companies suffer from the seemingly never-ending bad loan crisis in India, MUTH sits in glorious contrast. We further look to longer term relative profit of the gold lender to peer private banks and another regional powerhouse, which too shows its relative profit strength, over a sustained period of time. 

<ul>
<li>Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ</li>
<li>Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ</li>
<li>There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands</li>
</ul>


Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ
Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ
There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands


Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Muthoot Microfin / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muthoot-microfin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39950:1" rel="noopener">Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muthoot-microfin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39950:1" rel="noopener"> </a>raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.</li>
<li>Muthoot Microfin is a microfinance institution providing micro-loans to women customers with a focus on the rural regions of India.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN) raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.
Muthoot Microfin is a microfinance institution providing micro-loans to women customers with a focus on the rural regions of India.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry - Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance

Clarence Chu

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their stakes in the IPO
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
Coming up for six-month lockup expiry on 18th Jun 2024 are the firm's pre-IPO shareholders and a portion of the promoters’ stakes.


India Shelter Finance US$240m Lock-Up Expiry - Multi-Bagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

Belstar Microfinance Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belstar-microfinance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43409:1" rel="noopener">Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN)</a> is looking to raise US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are ICICI Securities, Axis Capital, HDFC Bank, SBI Capital Markets.</li>
<li>Belstar Microfinance (Belstar) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans.</li>
<li>As per the CRISIL report, the firm was the ninth largest NBFC - Micro Finance Institution (NBFC-MFI) in terms of assets under management (AUM) as of Dec 2023.</li>
</ul>



Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are ICICI Securities, Axis Capital, HDFC Bank, SBI Capital Markets.
Belstar Microfinance (Belstar) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) in India with a focus on furnishing micro-enterprise loans.
As per the CRISIL report, the firm was the ninth largest NBFC - Micro Finance Institution (NBFC-MFI) in terms of assets under management (AUM) as of Dec 2023.


Belstar Microfinance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

India

Muthoot Finance Ltd. is a gold financing company. The Company provides personal and business loans secured by gold jewellery, or Gold Loans primarily to individuals who possess gold jewelry but can't access formal credit lines.

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Muthoot Finance (MUTH IN)

Muthoot Finance – 173 Tonnes Of Gold

With rising gold prices, which is the key collateral for this non-banking finance company, it is worth revisiting Muthoot Finance.

Daniel Tabbush

Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

Canara Bank continues to see improvements in credit metrics. Less focus on MSMEs and more on retail can support this. LDR contract QoQ may reverse...

Daniel Tabbush

Muthoot Microfin Lockup Expiry - Pre-IPO Investors Well in the Money Despite the Stock’s Performance

Muthoot Microfin (MUTHOOTM IN) raised around US$115m in its Indian IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of its IPO range at INR291/share.

Ethan Aw

India Shelter Finance US$240m Lock-Up Expiry - Multi-Bagger Gains Are Ripe for the Taking

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) listed in India on 20th Dec 2023 after raising US$144m. The pre-IPO investors had trimmed a portion of their...

Clarence Chu

Belstar Microfinance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Belstar Microfinance Ltd (3624918Z IN) is looking to raise US$156m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are ICICI Securities,...

Clarence Chu

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