Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Executive summary</h2><ul>
<li><em><strong>DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: </strong>After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another strong upward spot price trend (over 30% q/q rebound) for DRAM in 4Q16 but a muted NAND spot price. </em></li>
<li>
<em>After TSMC/Intel guided 1-2% q/q sales decline and AMD guided 18% q/q drop in 4Q16 coupled with likely over 30% q/q iPhone shipment decline in 1Q17, <strong>the seasonal softness might mitigate DRAM/NAND spot price rebound starting late 4Q16 and drive a</strong></em>…</li>
</ul>

Executive summary
DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another strong upward spot price trend (over 30% q/q rebound) for DRAM in 4Q16 but a muted NAND spot price. 

After TSMC/Intel guided 1-2% q/q sales decline and AMD guided 18% q/q drop in 4Q16 coupled with likely over 30% q/q iPhone shipment decline in 1Q17, the seasonal softness might mitigate DRAM/NAND spot price rebound starting late 4Q16 and drive a…


Reasons Why DRAM Price Might Be Better than NAND in 2017

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/017/original/IRF_NewsShocks.png?1476919557" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15017"></figure><div class="content-caption">"News Shocks" to the Japanese Economy (Source: Europacifica)</div><h2>Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform record</h2><p>Until now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese productivity, has revealed few tendencies that might give us hope of an imminent and conclusive end to Japan's deflationary "lost decades" dynamic.  In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/structural-reform-i-the-japanese-financial-sector" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:6375">Structural Reform I: The Japanese Financial Sector</a> we examined some of the structural characteristics within the financial sector that were…</p>

"News Shocks" to the Japanese Economy (Source: Europacifica)Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform recordUntil now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese productivity, has revealed few tendencies that might give us hope of an imminent and conclusive end to Japan's deflationary "lost decades" dynamic.  In Structural Reform I: The Japanese Financial Sector we examined some of the structural characteristics within the financial sector that were…

Structural Reform III: Evidence of Bad Luck over Poor Policy

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<p>In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.</p><p>Some of the investment themes driving these deals include artificial intelligence, the internet of things, MedTech, 3D printing, internet TV, virtual and augmented reality, robotics, cloud computing and the race between the US and China to dominate the next generation of advanced technologies.</p>

In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.Some of the investment themes driving these deals include artificial intelligence, the internet of things, MedTech, 3D printing, internet TV, virtual and augmented reality, robotics, cloud computing and the race between the US and China to dominate the next generation of advanced technologies.

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team.</li><li>Recent Asian additions: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/71" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:71:1">Vocus Communications Ltd (VOC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11649" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1">Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd (6981 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10566" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1">Abacus Property Group (ABP AU)</a> </li><li>Recent Asian deletions: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/957" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:957:1">Ainsworth Game Technology Limited (AGI AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1">Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA AU)</a> </li></ul><p><em>Analyst: Michael Holt, CFA</em></p>

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team.Recent Asian additions: Vocus Communications Ltd (VOC AU), Murata Manufacturing Co Ltd (6981 JP), and Abacus Property Group (ABP AU) Recent Asian deletions: Ainsworth Game Technology Limited (AGI AU) and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia (CBA AU) Analyst: Michael Holt, CFA

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Japan Aviation Electronics / Event-Driven

<p>At the end of May this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17084" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1">NEC Corp</a> (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of shares outstanding in affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9095" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9095:1">Japan Aviation Electronics</a> (JAE) through a tender offer which is expected to begin in November 2016 after the receipt of approvals from various anti-trust authorities and regulatory bodies. The stated goal is to make JAE a subsidiary of NEC (it is currently an equity-method affiliate) and reap synergies in cooperating in…</p>

At the end of May this year, NEC Corp (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of shares outstanding in affiliate Japan Aviation Electronics (JAE) through a tender offer which is expected to begin in November 2016 after the receipt of approvals from various anti-trust authorities and regulatory bodies. The stated goal is to make JAE a subsidiary of NEC (it is currently an equity-method affiliate) and reap synergies in cooperating in…

Japan Aviation Electronics Partial Tender Update:  Launch Expected Next Month

Japan

Kyocera Corporation manufacturers electronic equipment and components. The Company's products include telecommunication equipment, information equipment, optical equipment, ceramic products, semiconductor parts, chips, hybrid integrated circuits, thermal printheads, image sensors, liquid crystal displays, and connectors. Kyocera operates worldwide.

TDK CORPORATION manufactures electronics components such as magnetic tapes and ferrite cores.  The Company also sells power supplies, inductors, transformers, ceramic capacitors, magnets, LAN (Local Area Network) components, sensors, and semiconductors.  TDK markets its products worldwide.

Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic modules and components. The Company produces communication modules, power supply modules, multilayer ceramic capacitors, noise countermeasure components, timing devices, sensor devices, high frequency components, batteries, and other products. Murata Manufacturing markets its products across worldwide.

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

YOKOGAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and markets information technology (IT) solutions, measuring and control equipment, semiconductors, and electronic components.  The Company's products include IT controllers, flowmeters, pressure transmitters, analyzers, data recorder, switching power supplies, and AC (alternating current) adaptors.

OMRON Corporation manufactures electronic components, equipment and systems used for factory automation. The Company provides products and services in a variety of fields including industrial automation, electronic components, automotive electronics, social systems such as ticket gate machines and traffic control, and healthcare.

IBIDEN CO, LTD. develops, produces, and markets ceramics, housing materials, and electronics.  The Company's products include printed circuit boards (PCB), graphite specialties, integrated circuit (IC) packages, ceramic fibers, melamine decorative high-pressure laminates, and pre-cut structural materials.

Shimadzu Corporation is a precision tools and equipment maker.  The Company develops, manufactures, and sells analytical and measuring instruments, medical systems, and  aircraft and industrial equipment.  Shimadzu researches, develops, and markets the products through its related companies in Japan, the US, the UK, and China.

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets motors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots. The Company's products is split into 4 segments such as motion control, robotics, system engineering, and information technology.

Azbil Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets total automation equipment used in industrial and commercial buildings. The Company's products include sensors, switches, recording meters, security systems, air conditioners, pressure transmitters, and flow meters.

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

CDW Corporation of Delaware provides information technology products and services. The Company offers hardware, software, computer peripherals, cloud computing, mobile devices, network communication, and security solutions. CDW serves business, government, education, and healthcare customers throughout North America.

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

Largan Precision Company Limited manufactures and markets optical lens modules and optoelectronic components. The Company offers lenses for liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors, scanners, optical mice, digital still cameras (DSCs), digital versatile discs (DVDs), light emitting diodes (LEDs), and photography mobile phones.

Coherent Corp. designs engineered materials and optoelectronic components. The Company offers products to industrial, optical communications, military, life sciences, semiconductor equipment, and consumer markets. Coherent also manufactures semiconductor lasers and optics for high power industrial lasers, optical communications systems, datacenter connectivity, and 3D sensing.

Zebra Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures enterprise mobile computers, advanced data capture devices, such as laser, 2D and RFID scanners and readers, and specialty printers for barcode labeling and personal identification. The Company also produces WLAN products, real-time location systems, related supplies and application software.

Trimble Navigation Ltd is a leading provider of advanced location-based solutions that maximize productivity and enhance profitability. The Company integrates its positioning expertise in GPS, laser, optical and inertial technologies with application software, wireless communications, and services to provide complete commercial solutions.

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

MURATA MANUFACTURING COMPANY, LTD. manufactures and sells ceramic applied electronic components.  The Company's products include filters, capacitors, thermistors, resistors, noise suppression components, coils, piezoelectric sound components, power supplies, sensors, hybrid integrated circuit (IC), and microwave components.

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Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)

Reasons Why DRAM Price Might Be Better than NAND in 2017

Executive summary DRAM spot price much stronger than NAND's in 4Q16: After over 10% hike in DRAM/NAND spot/contract price in 3Q16, we see another...

Andrew Lu

Structural Reform III: Evidence of Bad Luck over Poor Policy

Room for small hope amid bleak Japanese policy reform recordUntil now, our analysis of Japanese structural reform, centred upon raising Japanese...

Naomi Fink

Tech M&A Targets

In this report, we predict which technology companies will be targeted over the next two years, who is likely to acquire them and why.Some of the...

CM Research

Equity Best Ideas for October 2016

The Best Ideas list is a compilation of stock ideas sourced from Morningstar’s global equity research team. Recent Asian additions: Vocus...

Morningstar, Inc.

Japan Aviation Electronics Partial Tender Update: Launch Expected Next Month

At the end of May this year, NEC Corp (NEC) announced it would spend JPY 19.2bn (~US$170mm) to purchase 10 million shares or approximately 11% of...

Travis Lundy

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