Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Mizuho Financial Group / Technical Analysis

After calling for a mushroom rally in the Nikkei from 21,000 our focus turned to gearing up in Japan bank stocks (SMFG and Mitsubishi UFJ) back in October 2017 in anticipation of the Japan bank/insurance index breaking through the 200 macro breakout barrier. Currently this index is at 212.86 with much higher levels in store. In fact, Japan banks are just starting a major up cycle that will be gather steam once the USD/JPY clears 114.40.With the Nikkei moving into a frothier zone, Mizuho…

After calling for a mushroom rally in the Nikkei from 21,000 our focus turned to gearing up in Japan bank stocks (SMFG and Mitsubishi UFJ) back in October 2017 in anticipation of the Japan bank/insurance index breaking through the 200 macro breakout barrier. Currently this index is at 212.86 with much higher levels in store. In fact, Japan banks are just starting a major up cycle that will be gather steam once the USD/JPY clears 114.40.With the Nikkei moving into a frothier zone, Mizuho…

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:<ul><li>Add exposure to Energy and Materials. </li><li>Financial stocks are strengthening. </li><li>Avoid Australian banks. </li></ul>See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:Add exposure to Energy and Materials. Financial stocks are strengthening. Avoid Australian banks. See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

Asia Commercial Bank/Vietnam / Equity Bottom-Up

* Fully-loaded problem loan figures are a major concern, as is the size of  Level 3 asset and net open short F/X position. Loan loss reserves need a significant shoring up, and there is no doubt, in our view, that some form of major re-capitalization/balance sheet restructure at Asia Commercial Bank (ACB.VN) is on its way.* Not only does Standard Chartered plc (2888.HK/STAN.LN) push the aggressive accounting envelope with its consolidated subsidiaries, but it does so with minority- owned…

* Fully-loaded problem loan figures are a major concern, as is the size of  Level 3 asset and net open short F/X position. Loan loss reserves need a significant shoring up, and there is no doubt, in our view, that some form of major re-capitalization/balance sheet restructure at Asia Commercial Bank (ACB.VN) is on its way.* Not only does Standard Chartered plc (2888.HK/STAN.LN) push the aggressive accounting envelope with its consolidated subsidiaries, but it does so with minority- owned…

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) / Equity Bottom-Up

* Bank Danamon is additive to MUFG’s ASEAN strategy, bringing it's foreign content of EPS to 50%.* From a financial and managerial perspective, Bank Danomon is a time consuming and expensive transaction. Greater EPS accretion could be garnered more simply and without the risks execution, and being in Indonesia.   * Focus, in our view, would be better spent on repairing/restructuring the US operation (s) whose overall business appears to have stalled, and where greater EPS and price performance…

* Bank Danamon is additive to MUFG’s ASEAN strategy, bringing it's foreign content of EPS to 50%.* From a financial and managerial perspective, Bank Danomon is a time consuming and expensive transaction. Greater EPS accretion could be garnered more simply and without the risks execution, and being in Indonesia.   * Focus, in our view, would be better spent on repairing/restructuring the US operation (s) whose overall business appears to have stalled, and where greater EPS and price performance…

MUFG – Bank Danamon Deal Makes Little Sense

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies  - beckoning for major 2018 EPS revisions.* Domestic institutions such as, Bank of America (BAC.US), Goldman Sachs (GS.US), and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) stand out with large DTAs in the US.  * Of the international companies with US subsidiaries, the Swiss financials would post shocking results, while HSBC Holdings could have a 25% EPS adjustment, by our…

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies  - beckoning for major 2018 EPS revisions.* Domestic institutions such as, Bank of America (BAC.US), Goldman Sachs (GS.US), and Morgan Stanley (MS.US) stand out with large DTAs in the US.  * Of the international companies with US subsidiaries, the Swiss financials would post shocking results, while HSBC Holdings could have a 25% EPS adjustment, by our…

HSBC Holdings Plc – Likely Getting a Big Hickey From President Trump

Japan

Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. provides comprehensive financial services through its subsidiaries. The Group provides variety of financial services such as general banking, securities brokerage, trust banking, and assets management.

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Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)

Mizuho Financial Rotation Long

After calling for a mushroom rally in the Nikkei from 21,000 our focus turned to gearing up in Japan bank stocks (SMFG and Mitsubishi UFJ) back in...

Thomas Schroeder

Popular Stocks, Attractive Charts

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform...

Vermilion Research

Asia Commercial Bank – Too Much Credit

* Fully-loaded problem loan figures are a major concern, as is the size of Level 3 asset and net open short F/X position. Loan loss reserves need...

Thomas J. Monaco

MUFG – Bank Danamon Deal Makes Little Sense

* Bank Danamon is additive to MUFG’s ASEAN strategy, bringing it's foreign content of EPS to 50%.* From a financial and managerial perspective,...

Thomas J. Monaco

HSBC Holdings Plc – Likely Getting a Big Hickey From President Trump

* Despite bottom-line improvement on a go-forward basis, deferred tax asset (DTA) write-downs are likely at major global financial companies -...

Thomas J. Monaco

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