Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX Closed -1.1% as US Debt Default risks rise; Democrats and Republicans still far apart;  STRONG US new home Sales; Boeing says Supply Chain Resolution will take Time</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Japan likely falls 2nd day ; JP Real Wages Fall most in 8 years; S&amp;P Cuts Softbank's Debt in deeper Junk - Company protests </li>
<li>NUGGET. Japanese Automaker face massive R&amp;D and Capex spend for years to come as they transition to EVs. Free Cash Flow likely turn negative, and profits stagnate.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX Closed -1.1% as US Debt Default risks rise; Democrats and Republicans still far apart;  STRONG US new home Sales; Boeing says Supply Chain Resolution will take Time
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Japan likely falls 2nd day ; JP Real Wages Fall most in 8 years; S&amp;P Cuts Softbank's Debt in deeper Junk - Company protests 
NUGGET. Japanese Automaker face massive R&amp;D and Capex spend for years to come as they transition to EVs. Free Cash Flow likely turn negative, and profits stagnate.


Ohayo Japan |SPX -1.1% as Equities Start to Heed Debt Risks; NUGGET: JP Autos- Painful EV Transition

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The stock is down sharply over the past few weeks as investors price in higher interest rates and weaker spending on durables</li>
<li>Mitsubishi recently unveiled its mid-term plan and further details on its electrification strategy</li>
<li>If management can hit its targets, the stock would have significant upside. We have our doubts</li>
</ul>


The stock is down sharply over the past few weeks as investors price in higher interest rates and weaker spending on durables
Mitsubishi recently unveiled its mid-term plan and further details on its electrification strategy
If management can hit its targets, the stock would have significant upside. We have our doubts


Mitsubishi Motors (7211) | Modelling the Mid Term Plan

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US stocks hit again on contagion fears as Fed takes control of Silicon Valley Bank; Lots of activity over the weekend to shore up confidence.  </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash. USDJPY strengthened to 135. With all activity in the US to shore up confidence,  Japan likely bottoms early; Ueda confiremed as BOJ Governor. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Dainippon Print(7912)  - Confluence of Target, Timing and Tactics. A spectacular win for Elliot, Activism in Japan and for Japan   </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US stocks hit again on contagion fears as Fed takes control of Silicon Valley Bank; Lots of activity over the weekend to shore up confidence.  
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash. USDJPY strengthened to 135. With all activity in the US to shore up confidence,  Japan likely bottoms early; Ueda confiremed as BOJ Governor. 
NUGGET. Dainippon Print(7912)  - Confluence of Target, Timing and Tactics. A spectacular win for Elliot, Activism in Japan and for Japan   


Good Morning Japan |Contagion Fears Dominate; NUGGET: Effective Activism - TARGET, TIMING, TACTICS

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan (7201 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault</a> coming to a new arrangement regarding their working relationship, Renault will be left with a US$4.3bn Nissan stake that it will look to sell eventually.</li>
<li>The selldown will probably take a long while to materialize.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the announcement and take a very early look at the possible selldown.</li>
</ul>


With Nissan (7201 JP) and Renault coming to a new arrangement regarding their working relationship, Renault will be left with a US$4.3bn Nissan stake that it will look to sell eventually.
The selldown will probably take a long while to materialize.
In this note, we talk about the announcement and take a very early look at the possible selldown.


Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Very Early Look - US$4.3bn Prolonged Overhang or Lack Thereof

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>As "disclosed" recently, we have a deal. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)</a> will invest "up to 15%" in Ampere. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:794:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Motors (7211 JP)</a> may join. They have many potential joint projects.</li>
<li>The key is the Governance Framework, which replaces RAMA. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault SA (RNO FP)</a> puts 28.4% of Nissan in an open-ended Trust. Renault and Nissan have 15% reciprocal voting rights.</li>
<li>The webcast is more optimistic than I am. Luca de Meo made special mention of the joint projects. This sounds good. It sounds like what has always been promised.</li>
</ul>


As "disclosed" recently, we have a deal. Nissan Motor (7201 JP) will invest "up to 15%" in Ampere. Mitsubishi Motors (7211 JP) may join. They have many potential joint projects.
The key is the Governance Framework, which replaces RAMA. Renault SA (RNO FP) puts 28.4% of Nissan in an open-ended Trust. Renault and Nissan have 15% reciprocal voting rights.
The webcast is more optimistic than I am. Luca de Meo made special mention of the joint projects. This sounds good. It sounds like what has always been promised.


Renault & Nissan Deal Done: Still a Trading Nothing🍔 So Far, OK Framework but Need Shaq Fingerguns

Japan

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

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Mitsubishi Motors (7211 JP)

Ohayo Japan |SPX -1.1% as Equities Start to Heed Debt Risks; NUGGET: JP Autos- Painful EV Transition

US debt impasse continues - SPX fall -1.1% NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Japan likely falls 2nd day ; JP Real Wages Fall most in 8 years; S&P Cuts...

Mark Chadwick

Mitsubishi Motors (7211) | Modelling the Mid Term Plan

Mitsubishi Motors recently unveiled a bullish mid-term plan and electrification strategy. We see substantial upside if the company hits its...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Contagion Fears Dominate; NUGGET: Effective Activism - TARGET, TIMING, TACTICS

US stocks hit again on contagion fears as Fed takes control of Silicon Valley Bank; Lots of activity over the weekend to shore up confidence; Ueda...

Mark Chadwick

Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Very Early Look - US$4.3bn Prolonged Overhang or Lack Thereof

With Nissan (7201 JP) and Renault (RNO FP) coming to a new arrangement regarding their working relationship, Renault will be left with a US$4.3bn...

Sumeet Singh

Renault & Nissan Deal Done: Still a Trading Nothing🍔 So Far, OK Framework but Need Shaq Fingerguns

Renault and Nissan announced their new deal today. It appears the CEOs are satisfied with it. The governance framework looks good/better but seems...

Travis Lundy

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