Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The steep part of the chip collapse has run its course, and prices are now following cost</li>
<li>Revenues will rise once demand growth fully offsets price decreases, probably in the fourth quarter</li>
<li>The market will regain profitability only after a new shortage develops, which may be the middle of 2024</li>
</ul>


The steep part of the chip collapse has run its course, and prices are now following cost
Revenues will rise once demand growth fully offsets price decreases, probably in the fourth quarter
The market will regain profitability only after a new shortage develops, which may be the middle of 2024


<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.</li>
<li>Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.</li>
<li>The timing of the next shortage is still in question.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues remain in a decline, although that decline has slowed.
Prices appear to have reached cost.  They should follow cost declines until a shortage returns.
The timing of the next shortage is still in question.


High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

<ul><li>After breaking above the bear market trend line resistance area, last week’s banking sector contagion fears, spotlighted by Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse, pushed the S&amp;P 500 back below its 200 day moving average on high volume.</li><li>Startup-focused lender SVB Financial Group is the largest US bank failure since 2008 and was the 16th biggest in the U.S. at the end of last year with about $209 billion in assets.</li><li>Silicon Valley Bank's failure is the largest since Washington Mutual went bust in 2008.</li></ul>

After breaking above the bear market trend line resistance area, last week’s banking sector contagion fears, spotlighted by Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse, pushed the S&amp;P 500 back below its 200 day moving average on high volume.Startup-focused lender SVB Financial Group is the largest US bank failure since 2008 and was the 16th biggest in the U.S. at the end of last year with about $209 billion in assets.Silicon Valley Bank's failure is the largest since Washington Mutual went bust in 2008.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index will be implemented on 17 March. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF tracks the index and has an AUM of US$7.2bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. The stocks are extremely liquid, the impact on the stocks in terms of ADV to trade is small.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index will be implemented on 17 March. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.
The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF tracks the index and has an AUM of US$7.2bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. The stocks are extremely liquid, the impact on the stocks in terms of ADV to trade is small.


MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Big Flow, Small Impact

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Microchip had a solid fourth quarter that surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.</li><li>Microchip has also increased the raw materials inventory to protect the internal manufacturing chains.</li><li>In terms of new launches, Microchip launched the MIC69303RT, a 3A Low-Dropout Voltage Regulator in the previous quarter.</li></ul>

Microchip had a solid fourth quarter that surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.Microchip has also increased the raw materials inventory to protect the internal manufacturing chains.In terms of new launches, Microchip launched the MIC69303RT, a 3A Low-Dropout Voltage Regulator in the previous quarter.

Microchip Technology Inc: New Launches & Other Drivers

United States

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

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Microchip Technology (MCHP US)

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Startup-focused lender SVB Financial Group is the largest US bank failure since 2008 and was the 16th biggest in the U.S. at the end of last year...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Big Flow, Small Impact

No constituent changes, but there are float/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$356m. Stocks are...

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Microchip Technology Inc: New Launches & Other Drivers

Microchip had a solid fourth quarter that surpassed Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings. Microchip has also...

Baptista Research

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