Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Intel's results last week beat expectations by a wide margin, with margins recovering better than expected by the Street and guided to keep improving through 4Q23E.</li>
<li>New Meteor Lake chips for PCs, branded as 'Intel Core Ultra' will officially launch December 14th and are expected to drive demand for new AI-optimized PCs in 2024E.</li>
<li>Intel said that the PC industry completed its inventory digestion in 1H23, drove sequential demand growth in 3Q23, and this is expected to continue into 4Q23E.</li>
</ul>


Intel's results last week beat expectations by a wide margin, with margins recovering better than expected by the Street and guided to keep improving through 4Q23E.
New Meteor Lake chips for PCs, branded as 'Intel Core Ultra' will officially launch December 14th and are expected to drive demand for new AI-optimized PCs in 2024E.
Intel said that the PC industry completed its inventory digestion in 1H23, drove sequential demand growth in 3Q23, and this is expected to continue into 4Q23E.


PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.</li>
<li>Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.</li>
<li>Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.</li>
</ul>


We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.
Semiconductor inventory to sales and gross margins near record levels, hardware metrics are high as well but less extreme.
Formosa SUMCO, Macronix, Nanya Technology, Hon Hai Precision, and Flexium appear ahead of the inventory correction curve and well-placed as long positions for the current phase of the cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple Announces New AI Features at WDC; Shares Surge to New All-Time Highs</li>
<li>Top Movers: Major Computex Exhibitors See Share Prices Fall Despite Strong Presence</li>
<li>Computex 2024: Chip Companies Notably Competing to Win PC Makers</li>
</ul>


Apple Announces New AI Features at WDC; Shares Surge to New All-Time Highs
Top Movers: Major Computex Exhibitors See Share Prices Fall Despite Strong Presence
Computex 2024: Chip Companies Notably Competing to Win PC Makers


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

<ul>
<li>TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan</li>
<li>More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel</li>
<li>Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements</li>
</ul>


TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan
More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel
Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

<ul>
<li>Massive TSMC Rises 13.8% in Just a Week; Mediatek a Top 10 Gainer for Second Week in a Row</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Sales Should Be Gradually Increasing QoQ in 2024F; IPhone 16 Is on Schedule. </li>
<li>PC Monitor: Long Dell Vs. Short Acer Update; Dell &amp; HPQ Results Indicate Opportunity in Asus </li>
</ul>


Massive TSMC Rises 13.8% in Just a Week; Mediatek a Top 10 Gainer for Second Week in a Row
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Sales Should Be Gradually Increasing QoQ in 2024F; IPhone 16 Is on Schedule. 
PC Monitor: Long Dell Vs. Short Acer Update; Dell &amp; HPQ Results Indicate Opportunity in Asus 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

Taiwan

Micro-Star International Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets motherboards and video graphic accelerate (VGA) cards.  The Company exports its products to Europe, North America, and other Asian countries.

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Micro Star International (2377 TT)

PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

New Meteor Lake chips launching in December are anticipated to boost demand for AI-optimized PCs in 2024. The PC industry's inventory digestion is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

Apple's new AI features at WDC lead to record high shares; major Computex exhibitors see share prices drop despite strong presence; chip companies...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

PC Monitor: Inventories Healthy & Intel Expects Over 100 Million AI PCs In Two Years

New Meteor Lake chips launching in December are anticipated to boost demand for AI-optimized PCs in 2024. The PC industry's inventory digestion is...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Who's Ahead of the Inventory Cycle?

We look at where Taiwan tech sits in the cycle and which companies appear better or worse placed to weather the coming inventory correction.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Unveils New AI Capabilities at WDC; PC Makers Feel the Love from Chip CEOs

​Apple's new AI features at WDC lead to record high shares; major Computex exhibitors see share prices drop despite strong presence; chip companies...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

​TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Surge Leads Taiwan Stocks Higher; Advanced Chip Packaging in Focus

​TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Apple's new AI features at WDC lead to record high shares; major Computex exhibitors see share prices drop despite strong presence; chip companies...

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

TSMC and Mediatek see significant stock gains, with TSMC ramping advanced packaging capacity and the iPhone 16 is on schedule. Dell and HPQ...