Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ono-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8979:1" rel="noopener">Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP)</a> is an innovation driven pharmaceutical company, with major focus on oncology. Opdivo, Forxiga, and Orencia are the top three products, together contributing ~75% of product revenue.</li>
<li>While the competition intensified, use of Opdivo for malignant tumors was expanded to first-line treatment for NSCLC, esophageal cancer, and gastric cancer, resulting in FY22 sales of ¥112.4B (+14% y/y).</li>
<li>Ono’s second largest drug Forxiga is also on a double-digit growth path. The company has been expanding its pipeline beyond Opdivo by reinforcement of in-house research and in-licensing activities.</li>
</ul>



Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP) is an innovation driven pharmaceutical company, with major focus on oncology. Opdivo, Forxiga, and Orencia are the top three products, together contributing ~75% of product revenue.
While the competition intensified, use of Opdivo for malignant tumors was expanded to first-line treatment for NSCLC, esophageal cancer, and gastric cancer, resulting in FY22 sales of ¥112.4B (+14% y/y).
Ono’s second largest drug Forxiga is also on a double-digit growth path. The company has been expanding its pipeline beyond Opdivo by reinforcement of in-house research and in-licensing activities.


Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Key Drugs On High Growth Trajectory; Pipeline Expands Beyond Opdivo

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<li>On November 22, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> received emergency regulatory approval for Xocova  in Japan for COVID-19. It is Japan’s first homegrown oral antiviral for SARS-CoV-2 infection.</li>
<li>On November 24, Shionogi has filed for manufacturing and sales approval of S-268019, a recombinant protein-based preventive vaccine, for use in priming and booster (third) doses, against COVID-19.</li>
<li>Although Shionogi continues to expect ¥110 billion revenue from COVID-19-related products in FY23, the company has raised overall revenue guidance to ¥410 billion from ¥400 billion.</li>
</ul>


On November 22, Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) received emergency regulatory approval for Xocova  in Japan for COVID-19. It is Japan’s first homegrown oral antiviral for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
On November 24, Shionogi has filed for manufacturing and sales approval of S-268019, a recombinant protein-based preventive vaccine, for use in priming and booster (third) doses, against COVID-19.
Although Shionogi continues to expect ¥110 billion revenue from COVID-19-related products in FY23, the company has raised overall revenue guidance to ¥410 billion from ¥400 billion.


Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Oral COVID-19 Drug Got Approval; Files Approval for COVID-19 Vaccine

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Merck & Co delivered a decent financial performace surpassing the Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings, with sustained momentum across its key growth drivers and steady progress in its pipeline.</li><li>They collaborated with Ginkgo Bioworks, an American biotech company, to engineer four enzymes for the biocatalysts in Merck's active pharmaceutical manufacturing efforts.</li><li>It continues to advance its programs across its wide cardiovascular pipeline, which includes its Factor XI inhibitor.</li></ul>

Merck & Co delivered a decent financial performace surpassing the Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings, with sustained momentum across its key growth drivers and steady progress in its pipeline.They collaborated with Ginkgo Bioworks, an American biotech company, to engineer four enzymes for the biocatalysts in Merck's active pharmaceutical manufacturing efforts.It continues to advance its programs across its wide cardiovascular pipeline, which includes its Factor XI inhibitor.

Merck & Co: Biocatalysis Update & The Ginkgo Bioworks Collaboration

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moderna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28744:1" rel="noopener">Moderna Inc (MRNA US)</a> reported Q3 revenue of $3.36 billion, below expectation, representing y/y decline of 35% and q/q decrease of 31%, due to lower sales volume of COVID-19 vaccine.</li>
<li>Management now expects 2022 vaccine revenue of $18–19 billion, down earlier expectation of $21 billion, following delay of certain deliveries into 2023 due to short-term supply constraints.  </li>
<li>With the continued higher medical burden of COVID relative to flu, Moderna expects the endemic COVID vaccine market could be as large or larger than flu market volumes over time.</li>
</ul>



Moderna Inc (MRNA US) reported Q3 revenue of $3.36 billion, below expectation, representing y/y decline of 35% and q/q decrease of 31%, due to lower sales volume of COVID-19 vaccine.
Management now expects 2022 vaccine revenue of $18–19 billion, down earlier expectation of $21 billion, following delay of certain deliveries into 2023 due to short-term supply constraints.  
With the continued higher medical burden of COVID relative to flu, Moderna expects the endemic COVID vaccine market could be as large or larger than flu market volumes over time.


Moderna (MRNA US): Q3 Result Misses Expectations; Guidance Slashed As COVID Vax Shipment Deferred

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We compare how a portfolio composed of our top five picks in each of our thematic reports based on datamining technical publications would have performed versus Indices</li>
<li>The size of outperformance for various periods suggests that incorporating innovation quality index that we use to rank companies can be a solid tool to generate alpha.   </li>
<li>We understand that much of the outperformance is generated by positive skew but even backing out the largest two contributors we see solid outperformance.</li>
</ul>


We compare how a portfolio composed of our top five picks in each of our thematic reports based on datamining technical publications would have performed versus Indices
The size of outperformance for various periods suggests that incorporating innovation quality index that we use to rank companies can be a solid tool to generate alpha.   
We understand that much of the outperformance is generated by positive skew but even backing out the largest two contributors we see solid outperformance.


A Look at How a Portfolio Composed of Our Top Five Innovators in Each Report Would Have Performed

United States

Merck & Co., Inc. is a global health care company that delivers health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products, which it markets directly and through its joint ventures. The Company has operations in pharmaceutical, animal health, and consumer care.

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Merck & (MRK UN)

Ono Pharmaceutical (4528 JP): Key Drugs On High Growth Trajectory; Pipeline Expands Beyond Opdivo

Driven by indication expansion, Ono expects Opdivo sales to reach ¥155B in FY23, up 38% y/y. The company is developing clinical pipeline beyond...

Tina Banerjee

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Oral COVID-19 Drug Got Approval; Files Approval for COVID-19 Vaccine

Shionogi got approval for oral COVID drug and is seeking approval for COVID-19 vaccine in Japan. The company expects ¥110 billion revenue (~27% of...

Tina Banerjee

Merck & Co: Biocatalysis Update & The Ginkgo Bioworks Collaboration

Merck & Co delivered a decent financial performace surpassing the Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings, with...

Baptista Research

Moderna (MRNA US): Q3 Result Misses Expectations; Guidance Slashed As COVID Vax Shipment Deferred

Moderna’s Q3 result missed expectations. The company has cut 2022 vaccine revenue guidance. Multiple data readouts for respiratory and cancer...

Tina Banerjee

A Look at How a Portfolio Composed of Our Top Five Innovators in Each Report Would Have Performed

Our datamining reports ranks companies within thematic based on innovation quality. We see strong outperformance in a portfolio built using the top...

Pyari Menon

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