Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.</li>
<li>A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is <em>above</em> $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Max Healthcare Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.</li>
<li>EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.</li>
<li>MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY24, Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) reported revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and occupied bed days.
EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to INR4.5B, leading to a 100 basis point YoY and 190 basis point QoQ margin expansion to 28.7%.
MHIL expect greenfield 300 bed hospital in Dwarka, South-west Delhi will be commissioned in later half of Q4FY24. It was originally expected to be commissioned in Q2FY24.


Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.</li>
<li>After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.</li>
<li>As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (August 7, 2023) we discussed how MSCI EM (EEM-US) was near major 1+ year resistance at $42.
After being unable to break out, EEM-US consolidation has continued, and is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023.
As long as EEM-US is above $37, we are buyers on this pullback.


MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

Equity Capital Markets

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jupiter-life-line-hospitals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39814:1" rel="noopener">Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN)</a> has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS portion.</li>
<li>The company is a multi-specialty tertiary and quaternary healthcare provider in the Mumbai Metropolitan Area and western region of India. It intends to use the IPO proceeds for debt repayment.</li>
<li>In FY23, revenue increased 22% YoY to INR8.9B, while EBITDA margin expanded 210bps to 23.45%. Ramping up of Indore facility and upcoming greenfield hospital in Maharashtra are major growth drivers.</li>
</ul>



Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS portion.
The company is a multi-specialty tertiary and quaternary healthcare provider in the Mumbai Metropolitan Area and western region of India. It intends to use the IPO proceeds for debt repayment.
In FY23, revenue increased 22% YoY to INR8.9B, while EBITDA margin expanded 210bps to 23.45%. Ramping up of Indore facility and upcoming greenfield hospital in Maharashtra are major growth drivers.


Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

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Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Max Healthcare (MAXHEALTH IN): Robust Financial Performance in Q2; Expansion Projects Are On Track

​Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...

Tina Banerjee

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

MSCI EM Index Approaching 10.5-Month Support; Remain Overweight India; Many EM Buys

$EEM is again approaching major 10.5-month support at $37-$37.50, which has been our important line-in-the-sand throughout 2023. As long as $EEM is...

Vermilion Research

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals (0372574D IN) IPO: A Niche Regional Play with Strong Track Record

Jupiter Life Line Hospitals has hit the market to raise INR8.7B via an IPO. The IPO is a combination of a fresh issue and an OFS. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Max Health reported Q2 revenue growth of 17% YoY and 6% QoQ to INR18.3B, driven by higher ARPOB and OBDs. EBITDA grew 21% YoY and 14% QoQ to...