Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> reported strong 1Q24 results, with revenue growing 8% YoY to THB6,576M, EBITDA climbing 22% to THB2,676M, and net profit increasing 25% to THB1,985M.</li>
<li>International patients revenue increased 6% YoY. Slow growth in the revenue from international patients can be attributable to high base, as it grew by a whopping 105% YoY in 1Q23.</li>
<li>With tight control on cost, the company has reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) reported strong 1Q24 results, with revenue growing 8% YoY to THB6,576M, EBITDA climbing 22% to THB2,676M, and net profit increasing 25% to THB1,985M.
International patients revenue increased 6% YoY. Slow growth in the revenue from international patients can be attributable to high base, as it grew by a whopping 105% YoY in 1Q23.
With tight control on cost, the company has reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%, respectively.


Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.</li>
<li>Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.</li>
<li>With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.</li>
</ul>


With long-term structural factors supporting growth, healthcare services market is expected to have a low double-digit CAGR over the next five years.
Most of the leading hospitals are operating with high occupancies, which justifies their aggressive plans. Profitable revenue growth and low leverage support their expansion plans.
With expanding scale, the players are well positioned to report faster revenue growth and better margins in coming years than their respective historical figures.


Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Supreme Court's warning to enforce CGHS rates on private hospitals sparks market concerns, leading to a significant correction in hospital company stock prices.</li>
<li>Failure to standardize hospital pricing raises questions about patient affordability, quality of healthcare, and financial viability of private hospitals, impacting investors and healthcare consumers alike.</li>
<li>Explore the complexities of healthcare regulation, implications for hospital companies, and potential investment opportunities amid the evolving landscape of standardized medical treatment costs.</li>
</ul>


Supreme Court's warning to enforce CGHS rates on private hospitals sparks market concerns, leading to a significant correction in hospital company stock prices.
Failure to standardize hospital pricing raises questions about patient affordability, quality of healthcare, and financial viability of private hospitals, impacting investors and healthcare consumers alike.
Explore the complexities of healthcare regulation, implications for hospital companies, and potential investment opportunities amid the evolving landscape of standardized medical treatment costs.


SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihh-healthcare-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:876:1" rel="noopener">IHH Healthcare (IHH MK)</a> reports 11% YoY increase in 4Q23 revenue, due to higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all markets, with all business segments and markets registering growth.</li>
<li>4Q23 EBITDA remained flat at RM1.1B and PATMI (excluding extraordinary income) fell 22% YoY.</li>
<li>The company remains on track to add close to 4,000 beds across all its major markets, including Malaysia, India, Europe, and Hong Kong to its existing 12,000 beds by 2028.</li>
</ul>



IHH Healthcare (IHH MK) reports 11% YoY increase in 4Q23 revenue, due to higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all markets, with all business segments and markets registering growth.
4Q23 EBITDA remained flat at RM1.1B and PATMI (excluding extraordinary income) fell 22% YoY.
The company remains on track to add close to 4,000 beds across all its major markets, including Malaysia, India, Europe, and Hong Kong to its existing 12,000 beds by 2028.


IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

India

Max Healthcare Institute Limited operates a chain of hospitals. The Hospital offers urology, oncology, orthopaedics, eye care, dermatology, lung transplant, nutrition and dietetics, dental care, ganstroenterology, and rehabilitation services. Max Healthcare Institute serves patients in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

Nimish Maheshwari

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): Record High Margins in 1Q24; Reasonable Growth in Foreign Patients

​ With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Hospitals on Expansion Spree; Sectoral Tailwinds and Financial Stability Provide Impetus

​Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Tina Banerjee

SC on Standardisation Rate for Medical Procedures: Likely Impact on Listed Hospital Players

​Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

Nimish Maheshwari

IHH Healthcare (IHH MK): Patient Volume Driven Revenue Growth in 4Q; Profitability Remains Subdued

​IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...

Tina Banerjee

With tight cost control, Bumrungrad reported record high margins in 1Q24, with gross, EBITDA, and net margin reaching 51.7%, 40.7%, and 30.2%,...

Leading Indian hospitals are operating with high occupancies. Most of them chalked out major expansion plans over the next three years to benefit...

Supreme Court's push for CGHS rates on private hospitals triggers stock market turmoil, highlighting issues of pricing, patient affordability, and...

IHH Healthcare reported 11% YoY revenue growth to RM5.5 billion in 4Q23, driven by higher patient volumes and revenue intensity across all...