External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estate</li><li>The meetings were represented by senior and experienced channel partners, CXOs of unlisted companies, and industry experts</li><li>Our primary objective was to check festive season demand along with overall consumption environment, particularly since industries have seen one of the toughest retail inflation environments.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estateThe meetings were represented by senior and experienced channel partners, CXOs of unlisted companies, and industry expertsOur primary objective was to check festive season demand along with overall consumption environment, particularly since industries have seen one of the toughest retail inflation environments.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reality Check: Festive checks—positive trend

<ul><li>Marico: Marico posted an in-line revenue performance, with a marginal beat in EBITDA</li><li>Consolidated revenue was up 1% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were down 4/6% YoY (three-year revenue CAGR at 4% vs that of HUL/Emami/GCPL at 9/3/12%)</li><li>Domestic volume, excluding Saffola (inflationary headwind led a double-digit decline), was up 1% YoY</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico: Marico posted an in-line revenue performance, with a marginal beat in EBITDAConsolidated revenue was up 1% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were down 4/6% YoY (three-year revenue CAGR at 4% vs that of HUL/Emami/GCPL at 9/3/12%)Domestic volume, excluding Saffola (inflationary headwind led a double-digit decline), was up 1% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Marico, IRB Infra, Computer Age Management Services

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22)</li><li>Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural)</li><li>Thereby, the industry is witnessing a similar volume decline in Q1FY23 as seen in Q4FY22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22)Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural)Thereby, the industry is witnessing a similar volume decline in Q1FY23 as seen in Q4FY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

<ul><li>Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).</li><li>Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).</li><li>Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aggregate revenue/EBITDA to grow by 9/4% on three-year CAGR: Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to deliver growth of 9/4% on three-year CAGR in revenue/EBITDA in Q1FY23 (vs. 5/3% in Q1FY22 and 8/6% in Q4FY22).Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).Three-year CAGR: Our coverage universe is expected to deliver 9/4% three- year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs in Q1.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG & Alco Bev -  Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><ul><li>Tepid demand leads to mid-single-digit volume decline in India business: MRCO’s domestic business (~77% of revenue) saw mid-single-digit volume decline in 1QFY23, largely dragged by a sharp drop in Saffola Oils, which had high in-home consumption in the base quarter and also witnessed significant downtrading from super premium to mass segment in Edible Oils.</li><li>Gross margins to stay flat sequentially: Trends seen in certain key raw materials for MRCO in 1QFY23: (i) Copra prices remained soft, (ii) Edible and crude oil prices cooled off to some extent towards the end of the quarter.</li><li>View &amp; Valuation: Barring the recent quarters (affected by overall deceleration in market demand), MRCO’s core portfolio has delivered a strong performance and the company continues to make efforts towards meeting its medium-term growth aspirations.</li></ul></div>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tepid demand leads to mid-single-digit volume decline in India business: MRCO’s domestic business (~77% of revenue) saw mid-single-digit volume decline in 1QFY23, largely dragged by a sharp drop in Saffola Oils, which had high in-home consumption in the base quarter and also witnessed significant downtrading from super premium to mass segment in Edible Oils.Gross margins to stay flat sequentially: Trends seen in certain key raw materials for MRCO in 1QFY23: (i) Copra prices remained soft, (ii) Edible and crude oil prices cooled off to some extent towards the end of the quarter.View &amp; Valuation: Barring the recent quarters (affected by overall deceleration in market demand), MRCO’s core portfolio has delivered a strong performance and the company continues to make efforts towards meeting its medium-term growth aspirations.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Marico Ltd - Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

India

Marico Limited manufactures consumer products and services in the beauty and wellness space. The Company is known for its presence in the following categories: Coconut Oil, Hair Oils, Anti-lice Treatment, Premium Refined Edible Oils and Fabric Care. Marico Limited is present in the Skin Care Services segment through Kaya Skin Clinics.

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Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)

Reality Check: Festive checks—positive trend

We hosted a multi-sector channel check, wherein we hosted participants from auto, FMCG, durable, building materials, jewellery, cement and real estate

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Marico, IRB Infra, Computer Age Management Services

Consolidated revenue was up 1% YoY while domestic revenue/volume were down 4/6% YoY (three-year revenue CAGR at 4% vs that of HUL/Emami/GCPL at 9/3...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Demand continued to be weak due to the elevated commodity pressure impacting affordability (particular in rural). Thereby, the industry is...

HDFC Securities

FMCG & Alco Bev - Sustaining Pressure on Demand and Margin

Gross margin YoY pressures continue in Q1FY23: Commodity pressure continued into Q1FY23, impacting the margin (even sequentially).

HDFC Securities

Marico Ltd - Weak Consumption Trends Weigh on 1QFY23 Volume

As per an update released by Marico Ltd (MRCO) on 5th July’22, the FMCG sector continued to witness subdued consumption with current trends...

Nirmal Bang

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