Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> 4Q21 business updates (26Nov-31Dec21) – Initial results are inline with forecasts</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15848" rel="noopener">First REIT (FIRT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU fell 29.2% YoY; Gradual improvements post completion of restructuring exercises</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oxley-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1097" rel="noopener">Oxley Holdings (OHL SP)</a> 1H22 PATMI -18% YoY; Gearing under control, projects progressing well</li></ul>

Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) 4Q21 business updates (26Nov-31Dec21) – Initial results are inline with forecastsFirst REIT (FIRT SP) 2H21 DPU fell 29.2% YoY; Gradual improvements post completion of restructuring exercisesOxley Holdings (OHL SP) 1H22 PATMI -18% YoY; Gearing under control, projects progressing well

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Feb22) - DHLT Initial Results Inline

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> 2H21 DPU -8.9% YoY; Office cap rates compressed while retail rental reversions improving   </li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> 3Q22 Business Updates – High occupancies a priority against falling reversions</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascott-residence-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560" rel="noopener">Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +14% YoY; RevPAU rebounded strongly with plenty of growth initiatives in the pipelines</li></ul>

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) 2H21 DPU -8.9% YoY; Office cap rates compressed while retail rental reversions improving   Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) 3Q22 Business Updates – High occupancies a priority against falling reversionsAscott Residence Trust (ART SP) 2H21 DPU +14% YoY; RevPAU rebounded strongly with plenty of growth initiatives in the pipelines

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jan22) - CICT Office Cap Rates Compressed

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018</div>
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For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust). 
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT). 
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion. 
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021). 
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate. 
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021). 
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/s-reits-bigger-and-bolder-over-the-years">read </a>the original version.
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    Timeline of SREIT proposed and completed M&As since 2018


For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued at over S$15.3 billion and exceeding S$12.7 billion in total purchase consideration in 2021.

Aside from asset acquisitions, S-Reits have also been active in terms of mergers and acquisition (M&amp;A) opportunities. They have seen at least 5 consolidations since 2018 and could be seeing 2 more this year.

The 5 consolidated S-Reits since 2018 are CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (by CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust), Frasers Logistics &amp; Commercial Trust (by Frasers Commercial Trust and Frasers Logistics &amp; Industrial Trust), Ascott Residence Trust (by Ascott Residence Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Trust), OUE Commercial REIT (OUE Commercial REIT and OUE Hospitality Trust), and ESR-REIT (by ESR-REIT and Viva Industrial Trust).  
Most recently announced on Dec 31, 2021 is the proposed merger between Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MNACT) to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT).  
The proposed merger is expected to propel the combined entity to be the seventh largest REIT listed in Asia with a market capitalisation of approximately S$10.5 billion.  
The combined portfolio will consist of 18 commercial assets diversified across Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea with assets under management (AUM) of approximately S$17.1 billion (per MCT’s AUM as of 30 September 2021 and MNACT’s AUM as of 31 October 2021).  
The proposed merger is expected to be effected by a trust scheme of arrangement with MCT acquiring all MNACT Units in exchange for new units in MCT or a combination of cash and MCT Units.

Reit managers of MCT and MNACT view the merger as an opportunity to bring together 2 leading commercial Reits with highly complementary qualities and see the combined portfolio in providing higher financial flexibility and debt headroom to accelerate its growth and acquisitions.

The new entity is also expected to benefit from the increased representation in key indices and potentially attract a wider investor base and improved trading liquidity.

Another proposed merger in progress is by ESR-Reit and Ara Logos Logistics Trust (ALOG) to form ESR-LOGOS REIT (E-LOG), with a core focus on new economy real estate.  
The combined entity, E-LOG, will hold a diversified portfolio of 87 properties consisting of logistics/warehouse, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.4 billion across Singapore and Australia (as of 30 June 2021).  
Similarly, via a trust scheme, the proposed merger will see ESR-Reit acquire all units in ALOG in exchange for a combination of cash and new units in ESR-Reit.

Reit managers of ESR-Reit and ALOG have noted that the proposed merger will enhance E-LOG's growth trajectory backed by its sponsor, ESR Group, by providing access to the sponsor's new economy pipeline properties in Asia-Pacific worth over US$50 billion.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> proposed merger to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT); DPU and NAV accretive to MCT unitholders</li><li>The transaction will be ~8.9% and ~6.5% of accretive to DPU and NAV, respectively, on a pro forma basis to MCT unitholders. As for MAGIC unitholders, total consideration is at an attractive premium over trading prices and implies a 1.0x P/NAV, translating into a 1-year total return of ~32.2%</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> acquires 50% interest in Sydney office building for ~S$410m; DPU accretive by ~1%</li></ul>

Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) proposed merger to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT); DPU and NAV accretive to MCT unitholdersThe transaction will be ~8.9% and ~6.5% of accretive to DPU and NAV, respectively, on a pro forma basis to MCT unitholders. As for MAGIC unitholders, total consideration is at an attractive premium over trading prices and implies a 1.0x P/NAV, translating into a 1-year total return of ~32.2%Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) acquires 50% interest in Sydney office building for ~S$410m; DPU accretive by ~1%

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jan22) - MCT/MAGIC Merger

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 <div class='content-caption'>Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021</div>
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Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline. 
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent). 
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021. 
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent). 
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance). 
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion. 
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-data-centre-digital-core-reit-to-start-trading-on-monday"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-with-healthcare-and-china-assets-outshine-in-november">read </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021


Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline.  
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent).  
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021.  
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent).  
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance).  
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion.  
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Singapore

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company manages and invests in commercial properties, including logistics, industrial spaces, and office buildings. Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust serves customers in Asia.

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

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Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (11Feb22) - DHLT Initial Results Inline

DHLT initial results inline; FIRT gradual improvements post restructuring; OHL gearing under control; Quarz Capital thinks MAGIC offer value...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jan22) - CICT Office Cap Rates Compressed

MAGIC high occupancy a priority; ART RevPAU rebounded strongly; CDREIT underlying operations recovering; FHT QoQ ongoing recovery; MREIT to acquire...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - S-Reits: Bigger and bolder over the years

For S-Reits, listing on the exchange is the beginning of a journey. Twenty-four S-Reits had announced asset acquisitions valued...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jan22) - MCT/MAGIC Merger

MCT/MAGIC merger; CICT buys Sydney office; KDCREIT buys UK DC; ART buys more US dormitories; ECWREIT buyers backed out; DASIN loan extension; VLL...

SCCM Asia Research

REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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