Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp</li>
<li>Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance </li>
<li>An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?</li>
</ul>


Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?


Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

<ul>
<li>We compare Lalatech's scale, P&amp;L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers</li>
<li>On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra</li>
<li>Small, unprofitable GOGOX <em>not</em> an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view</li>
</ul>


We compare Lalatech's scale, P&amp;L, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow to peers
On several measures, Lalatech is comparable to Full Truck Alliance, SF-Intra
Small, unprofitable GOGOX not an appropriate comp for Lalatech, in our view


Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s 3Q2023 results demonstrate a high degree of success in achieving a delicate balance between growth and profitability, with significant progress across all verticals, and a  broadening of product offerings.</li>
<li>The company turned adjusted EBITDA breakeven for the first time in 3Q2023, through lower incentives, cost efficiencies, and lower regional corporate costs, with further progress towards FCF breakeven in 4Q2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a> remains confident about the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&amp;A, which should be earnings accretive and beneficial to the ecosystem. </li>
</ul>



Grab's 3Q2023 results demonstrate a high degree of success in achieving a delicate balance between growth and profitability, with significant progress across all verticals, and a  broadening of product offerings.
The company turned adjusted EBITDA breakeven for the first time in 3Q2023, through lower incentives, cost efficiencies, and lower regional corporate costs, with further progress towards FCF breakeven in 4Q2023.

Grab remains confident about the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&amp;A, which should be earnings accretive and beneficial to the ecosystem. 


Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Steering and Batching Towards Profitability

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Doordash's multiple has come in from 14x to 4x, it is no longer a good standalone short, but its valuation discrepancy vs. Uber means it is a good paired short.</li>
<li>Solid quarter overall, but commentary about pushing on investments remains openended, and with little quantification of unit economics, Dash remains uninvestable to us.</li>
<li>We still prefer Uber to Dash on valuation and long term profitability.</li>
</ul>


Doordash's multiple has come in from 14x to 4x, it is no longer a good standalone short, but its valuation discrepancy vs. Uber means it is a good paired short.
Solid quarter overall, but commentary about pushing on investments remains openended, and with little quantification of unit economics, Dash remains uninvestable to us.
We still prefer Uber to Dash on valuation and long term profitability.


DoorDash 1Q22 Earnings: Are Delivery Platforms More Profitable than Ride Sharing?

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Private Capital Markets

Getir Perakende Lojistik AS / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Getir has been one of the hottest tech companies in Europe from Turkey, with its valuation reaching c. $12 billion in March this year.</li>
<li>Intense competition has put pressure on the topline. There's no clear path to profitability in the medium term, as players in the sector are still burning capital to build scale.</li>
<li>Future consolidation in the Q-commerce sector is given. Diversification is likely the way forward for current leaders to create more ways to monetize from its users.</li>
</ul>


Getir has been one of the hottest tech companies in Europe from Turkey, with its valuation reaching c. $12 billion in March this year.
Intense competition has put pressure on the topline. There's no clear path to profitability in the medium term, as players in the sector are still burning capital to build scale.
Future consolidation in the Q-commerce sector is given. Diversification is likely the way forward for current leaders to create more ways to monetize from its users.


Getir: Turnover Is Vanity, Profit Is Sanity, And Cash Is Reality

United States

Lyft, Inc. provides online ridesharing services. The Company offers ride booking, payment processing, and car transportation services. Lyft serves customers in the United States.

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Lyft (LYFT US)

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

In this insight we compare Lalatech to listed peers Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-city, and GOGOX on a range of factors, including scale, growth,...

Tracking Traffic

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Steering and Batching Towards Profitability

Grab remains confident on the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&A, which should be...

Angus Mackintosh

Getir: Turnover Is Vanity, Profit Is Sanity, And Cash Is Reality

Getir's valuation just reached $12 billion in March this year. But, behind the fancy price tag, what are the challenges brewing in the sector? What...

Alec Tseung

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech Compared to Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-City, and GOGOX in Eleven Easy Charts

In this insight we compare Lalatech to listed peers Full Truck Alliance, SF Intra-city, and GOGOX on a range of factors, including scale, growth,...

Tracking Traffic

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) - Steering and Batching Towards Profitability

Grab remains confident on the outlook with guidance revised upwards, with the company looking at some potentially interesting M&A, which should be...

Angus Mackintosh

DoorDash 1Q22 Earnings: Are Delivery Platforms More Profitable than Ride Sharing?

Doordash’s valuation has come in significantly from 14x Fwd P/S to 4x , but Uber at 2x istoo cheap compared to Dash, give better LT profitability...

Aaron Gabin

Getir: Turnover Is Vanity, Profit Is Sanity, And Cash Is Reality

Getir's valuation just reached $12 billion in March this year. But, behind the fancy price tag, what are the challenges brewing in the sector? What...

Alec Tseung