External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.</li><li>We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.</li><li>We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech value chain (+65%/146%/45%/62% YTD for chip/optical/PCB/server), and we expect profit-taking pressure ahead of 1Q23 earnings season in late April.We suggest to switch into three themes we addressed in Jan (note) which will continue to drive supply chain opportunities into 2Q23E, including demand recovery, MR innovation and localisation.We recommend to focus on recovery plays (Sunny Optical, SG Micro and 3Peak), innovation (Cowell, Luxshare, Goertek for MR) and semi localization (Hua Hong Semi, NAURA, AMEC).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

<ul><li>IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.</li><li>For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.</li><li>By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

<ul><li>Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.</li><li>While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.</li><li>We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.</li><li>We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.</li><li>In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

China

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures and sells connectors. The Company's products are widely used in computers, communication devices, consumer electronics products and automobiles.

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Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH)

China Technology – Switching from AI/ChatGPT to Demand Recovery

After a strong rally driven by AI/ChatGPT theme in past three months (note in Feb), we believe most near-term positives have been priced in AI-tech...

CMB International

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local...

CMB International

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