Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:98:1" rel="noopener">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)</a> Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.</li>
<li>Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.</li>
<li>With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.</li>
</ul>



Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.
Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.
With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.


Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

Torrent Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/torrent-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15762:1" rel="noopener">Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)</a> reported 17% YoY increase in net profit to INR4.5B on  9% YoY growth in revenue to INR28.9B in Q2FY25. EBITDA margin expanded 150bps YoY to 32.5%.</li>
<li>Domestic market revenue increased 13% YoY to INR16B, led by outperformance in focus therapies aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent’s chronic business grew 14% versus IPM growth of 9%.</li>
<li>Torrent has been reporting improvement in EBITDA margin. Going ahead, the company expects 50–100bps annual margin improvement, driven by solid pricing power in the branded business and operating leverage.</li>
</ul>



Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN) reported 17% YoY increase in net profit to INR4.5B on  9% YoY growth in revenue to INR28.9B in Q2FY25. EBITDA margin expanded 150bps YoY to 32.5%.
Domestic market revenue increased 13% YoY to INR16B, led by outperformance in focus therapies aided by strong new launch performance. Torrent’s chronic business grew 14% versus IPM growth of 9%.
Torrent has been reporting improvement in EBITDA margin. Going ahead, the company expects 50–100bps annual margin improvement, driven by solid pricing power in the branded business and operating leverage.


Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-transmission-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26712:1" rel="noopener">Adani Energy Solutions</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oberoi-realty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7188:1" rel="noopener">Oberoi Realty</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">Bombay Stock Exchange</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas</a> have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Adani Energy Solutions, Kalyan Jewellers, Alkem Laboratories, Oberoi Realty, Bombay Stock Exchange and Voltas have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.
Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.</li>
<li>Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.</li>
<li>Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) reported stellar performance in Q1FY25, with all key parameters improved sequentially and YoY. The company achieved highest ever operating profit and margin during the quarter.
Sustained growth momentum across all the businesses along with enhanced profitability drove Q1FY25 performance. Execution success of differentiated pipeline in the U.S. and outperformance of India business were particularly noteworthy.
Despite delivering 21% YoY revenue growth in Q1FY25, Zydus reiterated FY25 revenue growth guidance of high teens. The company expects EBITDA margin of 28.5–29.0% for FY25.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.</li>
<li>Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.</li>
<li>The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.</li>
</ul>


Q1FY25 results of the leading Indian pharmaceutical companies showed healthy and broad-based growth of the Indian pharmaceutical market, which grew 8.7% in Q1FY25.
Most of the top listed players registered double-digit revenue growth from their respective India formulation segments. Focus on chronic therapies remained major growth driver.
The Nifty Pharma Index has outperformed the benchmark Nifty 50, rising 32% YTD. The benchmark index has gained just 13% over the same period.


Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

India

Lupin Limited manufactures bulk actives and formulations. The principal bulk actives manufactured by it include Rifampicin, Pyrazinamide, Ethambutol (anti-TB), Cephalosporins (anti-infectives) and cardiovasculars. The company also possesses competencies in phytomedicines, in which medicines are made out of plant and herbal resources supported by the discipline of modern medicine.

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Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

Tina Banerjee

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

​Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN): Domestic Business Drives Q2 Result; Margin Expansion to Continue

​Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

Tina Banerjee

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Q1FY25 PAT Jumps 31%; Increasing Focus on US To Augur Well

​Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Indian Pharmaceutical Market: On A Healthy Growth Path; Momentum to Continue in Rest of the Year

​Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...

Tina Banerjee

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Torrent Pharmaceuticals reported 17% YoY increase in net profit on 9% YoY revenue growth and expanding EBITDA margin in Q2FY25. Going ahead, the...

Zydus Lifesciences reports stellar Q1FY25 performance with highest ever operating profit and margin, driven by the US and India. The company...

Indian pharmaceutical market grew 8.7% in Q1FY25. Most of the top players reported double-digit revenue growth in domestic market. Nifty Pharma...