Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.</li>
<li>It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).</li>
</ul>


Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).
Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.
It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).


Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Copper declined below the 9,000 USD/ton levels (WoW by -0.5%) due to weakness in financial markets caused by the Federal Reserve's slowness in cutting rates. </li>
<li>Positive signs for copper were the Yangshan Copper Premium inflecting into positive territory and combined inventory on all exchanges being drawn down by almost 5%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lundin-mining-corp-92352503-3781-4fcb-a4db-62e6f6343783" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25356:1" rel="noopener">Lundin Mining (LUN CN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> will acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42545:1" rel="noopener">Filo (FIL CN)</a> for 4.1 bn CAD and develop the <a href="https://lundinmining.com/news/lundin-mining-and-bhp-to-acquire-filo-and-form-a-5-123162/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Josemaria project in Argentina</a>. </li>
</ul>


Copper declined below the 9,000 USD/ton levels (WoW by -0.5%) due to weakness in financial markets caused by the Federal Reserve's slowness in cutting rates. 
Positive signs for copper were the Yangshan Copper Premium inflecting into positive territory and combined inventory on all exchanges being drawn down by almost 5%. 

Lundin Mining (LUN CN) and BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) will acquire Filo (FIL CN) for 4.1 bn CAD and develop the Josemaria project in Argentina. 


Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with Lundeens</li><li>FMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operations</li><li>Iron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projects</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with LundeensFMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operationsIron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projectsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

<ul><li>Recent changes in Canada's M&amp;A rules have restricted critical metal companies from selling to Chinese investors</li><li>Chinese investors have played a key role in funding the exploration and development of copper porphyries, which are vital for global production</li><li>The uncertainty caused by these rules may lead companies to relocate outside of Canada, potentially harming the country's mining industry and economy</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Recent changes in Canada's M&amp;A rules have restricted critical metal companies from selling to Chinese investorsChinese investors have played a key role in funding the exploration and development of copper porphyries, which are vital for global productionThe uncertainty caused by these rules may lead companies to relocate outside of Canada, potentially harming the country's mining industry and economyThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Warren Irwin on Uranium, Canada & Contrarian Opportunities

<ul><li>BHP and Lundin rumored to be considering a joint bid for Filo Mining in the Vicuna district, an emerging copper super district in Chile and Argentina.</li><li>Lundin Mining owns the most advanced project, Jose Maria, in the region which is permitted and fid ready.</li><li>Argentina now has a supportive business regime, making it an optimal time for development in the region. Lundin Group retains a 33% stake in Filo while BHP owns a 6% stake.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP and Lundin rumored to be considering a joint bid for Filo Mining in the Vicuna district, an emerging copper super district in Chile and Argentina.Lundin Mining owns the most advanced project, Jose Maria, in the region which is permitted and fid ready.Argentina now has a supportive business regime, making it an optimal time for development in the region. Lundin Group retains a 33% stake in Filo while BHP owns a 6% stake.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Canada

Lundin Mining Corporation is a diversified base metals mining company with operations in Chile, Portugal, Sweden, Spain and the United States, producing copper, zinc, lead and nickel. The Company holds interest in the Tenke Fungurume copper/cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo and a cobalt refinery located in Kokkola, Finland.

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Lundin Mining (LUN CN)

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

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Vermilion Research

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

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Warren Irwin on Uranium, Canada & Contrarian Opportunities

Overall, the global outlook for the natural resource industry, particularly in Canada, is being impacted by resource nationalism and M&A rules

Money of Mine

Mega Copper M&A Manoeuvres

BHP and Lundin may team up for a joint bid on Filo Mining, driving up Filo's share price as the Vicuna district in Argentina proves to be a...

Money of Mine

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

Vermilion Research

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

Money of Mine

Warren Irwin on Uranium, Canada & Contrarian Opportunities

Overall, the global outlook for the natural resource industry, particularly in Canada, is being impacted by resource nationalism and M&A rules

Money of Mine

Mega Copper M&A Manoeuvres

BHP and Lundin may team up for a joint bid on Filo Mining, driving up Filo's share price as the Vicuna district in Argentina proves to be a...

Money of Mine

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper